Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Beşiktaş Park Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
Versus
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Beşiktaş host Fatih Karagümrük in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Beşiktaş Park. Domestically, Beşiktaş sit 4th in the table while Fatih Karagümrük are 18th. Power ranking favours Beşiktaş by 6.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Beşiktaş hold a 6.4-point power advantage and 4th vs 18th league position over Fatih Karagümrük.
  • Form: Fatih Karagümrük edge recent form with 21.5 score against Beşiktaş's 15.5.
  • Squad: Beşiktaş's squad rated at 26.92 surpasses Karagümrük's 20.56.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available.
  • Transition: Transition phase data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Beşiktaş 70.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.3% (Δ+0%) | Fatih Karagümrük 11.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Galatasaray Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
70.35%
Draw
18.28%
Away Fatih Karagümrük
11.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.92
20.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Power Score
26.92
20.56
League Position
4
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
9 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Away
Match Record
7
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
7
Goals
18
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
18
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:02:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Vásquez Llach
32 D. Vásquez Llach
T. Bulut
22 T. Bulut
E. Agbadou
12 E. Agbadou
F. Uduokhai
14 F. Uduokhai
R. Yılmaz
33 R. Yılmaz
K. Asllani
23 K. Asllani
C. Ünder
11 C. Ünder
O. Kökçü
10 O. Kökçü
J. Olaitan
15 J. Olaitan
E. Toure
19 E. Toure
H. Oh
9 H. Oh
I. Grbić
13 I. Grbić
F. Mladenović
25 F. Mladenović
D. Biraschi
4 D. Biraschi
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
R. Sousa Esgaio
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
B. Kalayci
72 B. Kalayci
C. Kranevitter
5 C. Kranevitter
B. Elmaz
6 B. Elmaz
A. Traore
88 A. Traore
S. Larsson
23 S. Larsson
S. Da Luiz Junior
70 S. Da Luiz Junior

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

32
Devis Vásquez
Devis Vásquez Goalkeeper
7.05
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder Midfielder
6.95
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Midfielder
6.95
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Centre Forward
7.31
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Central Midfield
7.63
14
Felix Uduokhai
Felix Uduokhai Left Back
7
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Right Back
7.16
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Central Midfield
6.92
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut Right Back
6.39
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Defensive Midfield
6.66
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Left Back
6.72

Starting XI ▼

13
Ivo Grbic
Ivo Grbic Goalkeeper
7.02
88
Ahmed Traore
Ahmed Traore Midfielder
6.56
72
Barış Kalaycı
Barış Kalaycı Midfielder
6.68
23
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Attacker
6.92
70
Serginho
Serginho Attacker
6.86
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Right Back
6.86
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Left Back
6.51
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Central Midfield
6.82
5
Matías Kranevitter
Matías Kranevitter Central Midfield
6.55
25
Filip Mladenovic
Filip Mladenovic Left Back
6.77
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Right Back
6.5

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Beşiktaş holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Beşiktaş a 6.4-point edge. External projection is Beşiktaş 72%, draw 17.7%, and Fatih Karagümrük 10.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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