Cádiz vs Las Palmas Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla Mon, 27 Apr - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cádiz CAD
Versus
Las Palmas LPA
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 6:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cádiz faces a daunting task hosting Las Palmas at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla in La Liga 2's 2025/2026 regular season. The home team languishes in 18th place, grappling with a power score of just 12.71 and a form rating of 0, signaling struggles across recent outings. In stark contrast, 5th-placed Las Palmas arrives with momentum, boasting a robust 29.04 power score and 26.56 form score, underscoring their 16.3-point advantage as the stronger side. Projections highlight Las Palmas' favoritism at 47.4%, ahead of a 28.4% draw chance and Cádiz's 24.2% prospects. Detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, shifting focus to overall team dynamics. Cádiz must harness home support to disrupt Las Palmas' superiority, but the visitors' elevated standings and form suggest dominance in open play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Las Palmas possess a clear structural advantage, sitting 5th in La Liga 2 while Cádiz occupies 18th.
  • Form: Cádiz shows zero form score, dwarfed by Las Palmas' strong 26.56 rating.
  • Squad: Superior squad power of 29.04 marks Las Palmas ahead of Cádiz's 12.71.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable from current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence with proxies and no xG data for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent, hindering advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Cádiz 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Las Palmas 47.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cádiz S. González Soriano
S. González Soriano
VS
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
0.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
FC Andorra Rank: L
Córdoba Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: L
Ceuta Rank: L
Málaga Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: W
Málaga Rank: L
Huesca Rank: W
Granada Rank: W
SD Eibar Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cádiz
24.63%
Draw
27.99%
Away Las Palmas
47.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.71
29.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cádiz
Las Palmas
Power Score
12.71
29.04
League Position
18
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cádiz Las Palmas

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cádiz CAD Home
14 matches
Las Palmas LPA Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
17
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:03:07+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Aznar
13 V. Aznar
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
B. Kovačević
14 B. Kovačević
I. Ortega
6 I. Ortega
M. Climent Plá
21 M. Climent Plá
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
M. Diakité
5 M. Diakité
Y. Diarra
18 Y. Diarra
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
R. Martí Salvador
9 R. Martí Salvador
?. García Pascual
23 ?. García Pascual
D. Horkaš
1 D. Horkaš
E. Clemente Maza
5 E. Clemente Maza
M. Marmol Medina
3 M. Marmol Medina
S. Barcia Laranxeira
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
2 M. Olawale Akinlabi Park
L. Amatucci
16 L. Amatucci
K. Rodríguez Concepción
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
P. García Mejías
22 P. García Mejías
M. Fuster Lázaro
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
E. Pedrola Fortuny
39 E. Pedrola Fortuny
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Capacity
20724
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Victor Aznar
Victor Aznar Goalkeeper
6.8
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
6.77
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.67
9
Roger Martí
Roger Martí Attacker
6.57
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
6.84
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Left Back
6.7
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Right Back
6.74
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Left Back
6.73
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité Central Midfield
6.8
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic Right Back
6.7
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Central Midfield
6.59

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
6.84
10
Jesé
Jesé Centre Forward
6.92
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Left Back
7.02
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park Right Back
6.84
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Left Back
7.05
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Right Back
7.04
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Defensive Midfield
7
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Attacking Midfield
7.19
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Defensive Midfield
6.74
22
Ale García
Ale García Left Wing
6.83
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Right Wing
6.93

CONCLUSION

Las Palmas enters as the standout force, leveraging 5th place, superior 29.04 power score, and 26.56 form against bottom-feeder Cádiz's woes at 18th with zero form. The 16.3-point edge favors visitors controlling proceedings at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla. Absent detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data emphasizes raw team strength. Projections align with Las Palmas' 47.4% likelihood, suggesting they exploit home vulnerabilities for a likely away success in this La Liga 2 encounter.

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