Benfica vs Moreirense Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM

Liga Portugal

Benfica SLB

Moreirense MOE

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 5:00 PM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Benfica hosts Moreirense at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in a Liga Portugal regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Eagles sit second in the standings with a dominant power score of 43.9, eclipsing the visitors' 18.31 for a substantial 25.6-point edge that marks them as the clearly superior side. Form metrics reinforce this gap, as Benfica's 39.06 rating far outpaces Moreirense's 11.5. League positions highlight the disparity too, with the hosts in contention for the top while Moreirense lingers in eighth. Although detailed set piece and efficiency stats remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, Benfica's overall structural dominance and home advantage set the stage for a lopsided encounter. Projections reflect this imbalance convincingly.

TL;DR

Structural: Benfica possesses a 25.6-point power advantage, confirmed as the stronger team overall.
Form: Hosts register a 39.06 form score, significantly ahead of Moreirense's 11.5.
Squad: Benfica occupies 2nd place in the league, compared to Moreirense in 8th.
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either side in this matchup.
Transition: Transition play data absent from current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable owing to low confidence and proxy reliance.
xVariable: xG variables not present due to disabled add-on.
Market: Projection split: Benfica 80.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 13.4% (Δ+0%) | Moreirense 5.7% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

José Mourinho

V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa

2.45

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.09

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

17 - 5 - 1

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Benfica

80.91%

Draw

13.43%

Moreirense

5.66%

Team Power Ranking

43.9

18.31

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Benfica

Moreirense

Power Score

43.9

18.31

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score

Moreirense — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Moreirense

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Benfica SLB Home

23 matches

Moreirense MOE Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+33

Goal Difference

-33

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:09:23+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Capacity

68100

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

José Mourinho Coach

Squad ▼

Anatolii Trubin Goalkeeper

Samuel Jumpe Soares Goalkeeper

Nicolás Hernán Otamendi Defender

Alexander Hartmann Bah Defender

Amar Dedić Defender

Tomás Lemos Araújo Defender

Samuel Dahl Defender

António João Pereira Albuquerque Tavares Silva Defender

Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender

Daniel Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui Defender

José Pedro Formoso Neto Defender

Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder

Leandro Barreiro Martins Midfielder

Heorhii Sudakov Midfielder

Enzo Barrenechea Midfielder

Richard Rios Montoya Midfielder

Manuel Jorge Silva Midfielder

João Miguel Fins Veloso Midfielder

João Pedro Seno Luis Rêgo Midfielder

Vangelis Pavlidis Attacker

Dodi Lukebakio Attacker

Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva Attacker

Armindo Tué Na Bangna Attacker

Henrique Pereira Araújo Attacker

Franjo Ivanović Attacker

Andreas Schjelderup Attacker

Gianluca Prestianni Gross Attacker

Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral Attacker

Manager ▼

V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa Coach

Squad ▼

Michael Simões Domingues Goalkeeper

Caio Gobbo Secco Goalkeeper

André Filipe Magalhães Ribeiro Ferreira Goalkeeper

Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga Defender

—

Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Defender

Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto Defender

Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos Defender

Álvaro Martínez Navarro Defender

Gilberto Dambi Batista Defender

Diogo Martins Travassos Defender

Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues Defender

Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Defender

Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza Defender

Alan de Souza Guimarães Midfielder

Nile John Midfielder

Vasco José Cardoso Sousa Midfielder

Jimi Gower Midfielder

Rodrigo Alonso Martín Midfielder

Mateja Stjepanovic Midfielder

Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida Midfielder

Miguel Andrade Silva Midfielder

Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Attacker

Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi Attacker

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa Attacker

Luís Hemir Silva Semedo Attacker

Landerson Costa Araujo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Benfica holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Benfica a 25.6-point edge. External projection is Benfica 80.9%, draw 13.4%, and Moreirense 5.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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