Estoril vs Famalicão Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM

Liga Portugal

Estoril ETR

Famalicão Famalicão

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estoril host Famalicão at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in this Liga Portugal regular season encounter of the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors arrive with clear superiority, holding a power score of 28.12 against Estoril's 17.84, equating to a 10.3-point advantage that underscores their stronger overall structure. Famalicão sit 5th in the table, two places above the 9th-placed hosts. Form metrics amplify the gap, with Famalicão's impressive 29.56 rating towering over Estoril's lowly 6.83, hinting at recent struggles for the home side. Projections reflect this disparity, favouring Famalicão at 43.6% while Estoril lag at 29.6%. Advanced data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remains unavailable without xG support, leaving reliance on broader indicators. Estoril must harness home support to challenge the in-form away team.

TL;DR

Structural: Famalicão possess a 10.3-point power advantage and sit 5th to Estoril's 9th in the Liga Portugal table.
Form: Famalicão's form score of 29.56 vastly outpaces Estoril's 6.83.
Squad: Power ratings show Famalicão at 28.12 versus Estoril's 17.84.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking.
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with no xG; low-confidence proxy applied.
xVariable: xG data absent for attacks, defences, and set pieces on both sides.
Market: Projection split: Estoril 29.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ+0%) | Famalicão 43.6% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

I. Cathro

H. Carvalho Oliveira

1.41

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.59

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 2 - 4

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Estoril

29.6%

Draw

26.83%

Famalicão

43.57%

Team Power Ranking

17.84

28.12

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Estoril

Famalicão

Power Score

17.84

28.12

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Estoril — Opponent-weighted form score

Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estoril Famalicão

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estoril ETR Home

9 matches

Famalicão Famalicão Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-6

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:42+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 02:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Capacity

8000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

I. Cathro Coach

Squad ▼

Joel Robles Blázquez Goalkeeper

Martin Turk Goalkeeper

Diogo Alexandre Aranha Dias Goalkeeper

Francisco Reis Ferreira Defender

Pedro Miguel Gaspar Amaral Defender

Gonçalo Faria Costa Defender

Felix Bacher Defender

Ricard Sánchez Sendra Defender

Antef Tsoungui Defender

Kevin Boma Defender

Or Alon Israelov Defender

Pedro Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho Defender

Miguel Ângelo da Silva Rocha Midfielder

Luís Miguel Afonso Fernandes Midfielder

João António Antunes Carvalho Midfielder

Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder

Alejandro Orellana Gómez Midfielder

Nodar Lominadze Midfielder

Rafik Guitane Attacker

Alejandro José Marqués Méndez Attacker

Yanis Begraoui Attacker

Khayon Edwards Attacker

André Filipe Ferreira Lacximicant Attacker

Manager ▼

H. Carvalho Oliveira Coach

Squad ▼

Lazar Carević Goalkeeper

Ivan Zlobin Goalkeeper

Luís Rafael Soares Alves Defender

Justin de Haas Defender

Leonardo Javier Realpe Montaño Defender

Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira Defender

Gustavo García dos Santos Defender

P. Bondo Francisco Defender

Vojin Serafimović Defender

Renan Cunha Macêdo Santana Defender

Ibrahima Ba Defender

Tom van de Looi Midfielder

Otar Mamageishvili Midfielder

Mathias De Amorim Midfielder

Gustavo Filipe Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá Midfielder

Marcos Peña Ocaña Midfielder

Diogo Filipe Costa Rocha Attacker

Gil Bastião Dias Attacker

Simon Elisor Attacker

Óscar Aranda Subiela Attacker

Antoine Joujou Attacker

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura Attacker

Pedro Miguel Costa Santos Attacker

Roméo Beney Attacker

Umar Abubakar Attacker

CONCLUSION

Famalicão's dominance in power ratings, form, and league standing positions them as clear favourites against a faltering Estoril side. The 10.3-point edge and superior 29.56 form score suggest the visitors control transitions and overall play, even without granular xG insights. Estoril's home venue offers faint hope for resilience, but overcoming such gaps demands peak efficiency and set-piece sharpness, areas clouded by data voids. Projections tilt decisively towards Famalicão securing an away victory in this mismatch.

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STANDINGS

CONTEXT