Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Mon, 27 Apr - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente Gil Vicente
Versus
Casa Pia Casa Pia
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 7:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gil Vicente host Casa Pia in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Domestically, Gil Vicente sit 6th in the table while Casa Pia are 16th. Power ranking favours Casa Pia by 1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gil Vicente holds 6th place in Liga Portugal, significantly ahead of Casa Pia in 16th.
  • Form: Casa Pia edges form with 11.89 score versus Gil Vicente's 7.61.
  • Squad: Squad specifics unavailable in current data sets.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics not provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from available information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Gil Vicente 60.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.1% (Δ+0%) | Casa Pia 15.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gil Vicente P. da Silva Peixoto
P. da Silva Peixoto
VS
Casa Pia Á. Pacheco
Á. Pacheco
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.9
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: L
Tondela Rank: D
AVS Rank: W
Santa Clara Rank: L
Alverca Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: D
Santa Clara Rank: D
Alverca Rank: L
Benfica Rank: D
Estrela Amadora Rank: L
Estoril Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gil Vicente
60.25%
Draw
24.1%
Away Casa Pia
15.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.37
18.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
Power Score
17.37
18.38
League Position
6
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gil Vicente — Opponent-weighted form score
Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gil Vicente Casa Pia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gil Vicente Gil Vicente Home
7 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
3
Goals
8
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
8
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:03:30+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Capacity
12046
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira Goalkeeper
30
Lucas Alexandre Galdino de Azevedo
Lucas Alexandre Galdino de Azevedo Goalkeeper
39
Jonathan Buatu Mananga
Jonathan Buatu Mananga Defender
3
Ghislain Konan
Ghislain Konan Defender
2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves Defender
26
Weverson Moreira da Costa
Weverson Moreira da Costa Defender
45
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi Defender
4
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert Defender
20
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos Defender
48
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Antonio Espigares Morillas Defender
59
Arthur Tchaptchet
Arthur Tchaptchet Defender
10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Luís André Leite Esteves Midfielder
95
Santiago Garcia Gonzalez
Santiago Garcia Gonzalez Midfielder
5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Facundo Agustín Cáseres Midfielder
32
Martín Fernández Benítez
Martín Fernández Benítez Midfielder
6
José Carlos Natário Ferreira
José Carlos Natário Ferreira Midfielder
19
Gil Pinto Martins
Gil Pinto Martins Midfielder
8
Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba
Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba Midfielder
82
Gonçalo Maia Pereira
Gonçalo Maia Pereira Midfielder
23
Héctor Hernández Marrero
Héctor Hernández Marrero Attacker
77
Murilo De Souza Costa
Murilo De Souza Costa Attacker
22
Sergio Bermejo Lillo
Sergio Bermejo Lillo Attacker
11
Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes
Joelson Augusto Mendes Mango Fernandes Attacker
29
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente Attacker
89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa
Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa Attacker
27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales Attacker
7
Tidjany Chabrol Touré
Tidjany Chabrol Touré Attacker
80
Rodrigo Prata Deusdado Rodrigues
Rodrigo Prata Deusdado Rodrigues Attacker

Squad ▼

33
Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista
Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista Goalkeeper
—
Rodrigo Moura Nascimento
Rodrigo Moura Nascimento Goalkeeper
1
Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías
Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías Goalkeeper
95
Ivan Mandić
Ivan Mandić Goalkeeper
6
José Miguel da Rocha Fonte
José Miguel da Rocha Fonte Defender
18
André Geraldes de Barros
André Geraldes de Barros Defender
5
Abdu Conté
Abdu Conté Defender
72
Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea
Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea Defender
4
João Pedro Goulart Silva
João Pedro Goulart Silva Defender
27
Kaique Rocha Lima
Kaique Rocha Lima Defender
43
David Sousa Albino
David Sousa Albino Defender
75
Pedro Silva Rosas
Pedro Silva Rosas Defender
3
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Defender
42
Sebastián Pérez Cardona
Sebastián Pérez Cardona Midfielder
80
Lawrence Ofori
Lawrence Ofori Midfielder
8
Rafael Brito
Rafael Brito Midfielder
24
Iyad Mohamed
Iyad Mohamed Midfielder
19
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado Midfielder
29
Jérémy Livolant
Jérémy Livolant Attacker
90
Cassiano Dias Moreira
Cassiano Dias Moreira Attacker
—
Francisco Pedro Tiago Silva
Francisco Pedro Tiago Silva Attacker
7
Kelian Nsona Wa Saka
Kelian Nsona Wa Saka Attacker
99
Claudio Mendes Vicente
Claudio Mendes Vicente Attacker
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario
Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario Attacker
21
Tiago Fontoura Fonseca Morais
Tiago Fontoura Fonseca Morais Attacker
11
João Miguel Vieira Freitas Silva Marques
João Miguel Vieira Freitas Silva Marques Attacker
17
Xander Severina
Xander Severina Attacker
13
Oluwakorede David Osundina
Oluwakorede David Osundina Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Casa Pia holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Casa Pia a 1-point edge. External projection is Gil Vicente 60.3%, draw 24.1%, and Casa Pia 15.7%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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