Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Artemio Franchi Sun, 26 Apr - 10:30 AM
Serie A
Fiorentina FIO
Versus
Sassuolo SAS
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 10:30 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fiorentina host Sassuolo at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A regular season play for the 2025/2026 campaign. The Viola enter as the stronger outfit, powered by a 31.05 score against the visitors' 22.93, translating to an 8.1-point advantage. Recent form tilts toward the hosts too, with 23.78 edging Sassuolo's 18.89. League standings present a twist: Sassuolo sit 10th, while Fiorentina languish in 15th, underscoring the home side's need for a statement win on familiar turf. No last outings are detailed, keeping focus on broader metrics. Set-piece insights remain sparse, with low-confidence proxies for both squads and no xG data available. This matchup pits Fiorentina's structural edge against Sassuolo's positional resilience, promising a tactical battle in Florence. Home support could prove decisive amid evenly delta'd projections.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fiorentina possesses a power score of 31.05 versus Sassuolo's 22.93, yielding an 8.1-point edge.
  • Form: Hosts lead in form at 23.78 compared to Sassuolo's 18.89.
  • Squad: Sassuolo hold 10th in the league, ahead of Fiorentina's 15th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team.
  • Transition: Power scores highlight Fiorentina's overall superiority in transitions.
  • Set pieces: Low-confidence proxy data available, with no xG for attacks or defenses.
  • xVariable: xG unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Fiorentina 48.9% (Δ+-0%) | Draw 26.8% (Δ-1.3%) | Sassuolo 24.3% (Δ+1.3%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
VS
Sassuolo F. Grosso
F. Grosso
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lecce Rank: D
Lazio Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Inter Rank: D
Cremonese Rank: W
Parma Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Como Rank: W
Genoa Rank: L
Cagliari Rank: W
Juventus Rank: D
Bologna Rank: L
Lazio Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fiorentina
48.93%
Draw
26.76%
Away Sassuolo
24.31%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fiorentina
-0.04%
Draw
-1.3%
Sassuolo
+1.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.05
22.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Power Score
31.05
22.93
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Sassuolo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Sassuolo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fiorentina FIO Home
23 matches
Sassuolo SAS Away
Match Record
9
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
9
Goals
40
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
40
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:10:48+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Capacity
43147
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

43
David de Gea Quintana
David de Gea Quintana Goalkeeper
53
Oliver Christensen
Oliver Christensen Goalkeeper
1
Luca Lezzerini
Luca Lezzerini Goalkeeper
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
3
Daniele Rugani
Daniele Rugani Defender
2
Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos
Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos Defender
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
48
Tariq Lamptey
Tariq Lamptey Defender
65
Fabiano Parisi
Fabiano Parisi Defender
15
Pietro Comuzzo
Pietro Comuzzo Defender
62
Luís Francisco Balbo Vieira
Luís Francisco Balbo Vieira Defender
29
Niccolò Fortini
Niccolò Fortini Defender
23
Eman Košpo
Eman Košpo Defender
60
Eddy Nda Konan Kouadio
Eddy Nda Konan Kouadio Defender
11
Abdelhamid Sabiri
Abdelhamid Sabiri Midfielder
8
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
4
Marco Brescianini
Marco Brescianini Midfielder
22
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini Midfielder
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson Attacker
19
Manor Solomon
Manor Solomon Attacker
20
Moise Bioty Kean
Moise Bioty Kean Attacker
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison Attacker
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Giacomo Satalino
Giacomo Satalino Goalkeeper
49
Arijanet Murić
Arijanet Murić Goalkeeper
13
Stefano Turati
Stefano Turati Goalkeeper
16
Gioele Zacchi
Gioele Zacchi Goalkeeper
23
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes
Ulisses Alexandre Garcia Lopes Defender
19
Filippo Romagna
Filippo Romagna Defender
25
Woyo Coulibaly
Woyo Coulibaly Defender
6
Sebastian Walukiewicz
Sebastian Walukiewicz Defender
5
Fali Candé
Fali Candé Defender
21
Jay Idzes
Jay Idzes Defender
3
Josh Doig
Josh Doig Defender
80
Tarik Muharemovic
Tarik Muharemovic Defender
15
Edoardo Pieragnolo
Edoardo Pieragnolo Defender
66
Pedro Felipe de Jesus Gomes
Pedro Felipe de Jesus Gomes Defender
18
Nemanja Matić
Nemanja Matić Midfielder
11
Daniel Boloca
Daniel Boloca Midfielder
42
Kristian Thorstvedt
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder
40
Aster Vranckx
Aster Vranckx Midfielder
44
Edoardo Iannoni
Edoardo Iannoni Midfielder
90
Ismael Koné
Ismael Koné Midfielder
7
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato Midfielder
35
Luca Lipani
Luca Lipani Midfielder
50
Darryl Bakola
Darryl Bakola Midfielder
10
Domenico Berardi
Domenico Berardi Attacker
99
Andrea Pinamonti
Andrea Pinamonti Attacker
45
Armand Lauriente
Armand Lauriente Attacker
8
Mbala N'Zola
Mbala N'Zola Attacker
24
Luca Moro
Luca Moro Attacker
20
Alieu Fadera
Alieu Fadera Attacker

CONCLUSION

Fiorentina's power and form advantages position them favorably against Sassuolo, despite the visitors' higher league standing. Hosting at Stadio Artemio Franchi amplifies the Viola's edge in this Serie A clash. Limited set-piece and xG data leaves room for on-pitch execution to shine. Expect the home side to leverage their 8.1-point superiority for control, though Sassuolo's placement suggests counter-threats. Projections align with a narrow hosts' favor, setting up an intriguing regular-season encounter.

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