Gençlerbirliği vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Eryaman Stadyumu Sun, 26 Apr - 11:30 AM
Super Lig
Gençlerbirliği GSK
Versus
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gençlerbirliği host Kocaelispor in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Eryaman Stadyumu. Domestically, Gençlerbirliği sit 15th in the table while Kocaelispor are 11th. Power ranking favours Kocaelispor by 7.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kocaelispor hold a 7.9-point power advantage with 22.23 rating over Gençlerbirliği's 14.34.
  • Form: Visitors dominate recent form at 14.89 versus hosts' 2.06 score.
  • Squad: Away squad strength evident in superior league position of 11th to home's 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on disabled for season.
  • Market: Gençlerbirliği 37.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0%) | Kocaelispor 33% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gençlerbirliği V. Demirel
V. Demirel
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray Rank: L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: L
Göztepe Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Alanyaspor Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: D
Galatasaray Rank: D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: D
Alanyaspor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gençlerbirliği
37.59%
Draw
29.37%
Away Kocaelispor
33.04%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.34
22.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gençlerbirliği
Kocaelispor
Power Score
14.34
22.23
League Position
15
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gençlerbirliği — Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gençlerbirliği Kocaelispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gençlerbirliği GSK Home
3 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T01:07:26+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
M. Silva Velho
24 M. Silva Velho
T. da Silva
2 T. da Silva
D. Goutas
6 D. Goutas
A. Dursun
77 A. Dursun
M. Hanousek
23 M. Hanousek
A. Dele-Bashiru
15 A. Dele-Bashiru
G. Gürpüz
11 G. Gürpüz
O. Ülgün
35 O. Ülgün
S. Koita
22 S. Koita
F. Tongya Heubang
70 F. Tongya Heubang
M. Niang
29 M. Niang
S. Öztaşdelen
83 S. Öztaşdelen
M. Haïdara
21 M. Haïdara
H. Smolčić
6 H. Smolčić
A. Dijksteel
2 A. Dijksteel
A. Oğuz
22 A. Oğuz
H. Keita
8 H. Keita
S. Yalçın
23 S. Yalçın
J. Nonge Boende
98 J. Nonge Boende
T. Bingöl
75 T. Bingöl
R. Rivas Vindel
99 R. Rivas Vindel
D. Agyei
7 D. Agyei

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Eryaman Stadyumu
Capacity
20560
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

24
Ricardo Velho
Ricardo Velho Goalkeeper
7.07
11
Göktan Gürpüz
Göktan Gürpüz Midfielder
6.71
70
Franco Tongya
Franco Tongya Midfielder
6.73
29
M'Baye Niang
M'Baye Niang Centre Forward
6.79
2
Thalisson
Thalisson Right Back
6.7
15
Tom Dele-Bashiru
Tom Dele-Bashiru Defensive Midfield
6.79
22
Sékou Koïta
Sékou Koïta Central Midfield
6.78
23
Matej Hanousek
Matej Hanousek Left Back
6.48
35
Oğulcan Ülgün
Oğulcan Ülgün Central Midfield
6.86
77
Abdurrahim Dursun
Abdurrahim Dursun Left Back
6.52
6
Dimitrios Goutas
Dimitrios Goutas Right Back
6.91

Starting XI ▼

83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
7.11
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Attacker
6.58
99
Rigoberto Rivas
Rigoberto Rivas Centre Forward
6.56
75
Tayfur Bingöl
Tayfur Bingöl Attacker
6.83
21
Massadio Haïdara
Massadio Haïdara Left Back
6.82
8
Habib Keïta
Habib Keïta Central Midfield
6.81
98
Joseph Nonge
Joseph Nonge Central Midfield
6.6
6
Hrvoje Smolcic
Hrvoje Smolcic Left Back
7.02
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Right Back
6.97
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Right Back
6.69
23
Samet Yalçın
Samet Yalçın Central Midfield
6.4

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Kocaelispor holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Kocaelispor a 7.9-point edge. External projection is Gençlerbirliği 37.5%, draw 29.5%, and Kocaelispor 33%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig, Türkiye View all league clusters