Gent vs Club Brugge Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 11:30 AM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Versus
Club Brugge BRU
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 5 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the Pro League Championship Round at Planet Group Arena, Gent face a formidable challenge against second-placed Club Brugge. Brugge arrive with a commanding 9.4-point power advantage (30.09 vs Gent's 20.65), underscoring their structural superiority in this 2025/2026 season clash. Form metrics tilt heavily Brugge's way too, boasting 19.67 against Gent's 14.72, signaling consistent recent performances. Gent, fourth in the standings, must defy the stats to halt Brugge's momentum. Detailed efficiency and set-piece data remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, leaving questions over specialized threats. Transition play and xG variables also lack specifics, focusing attention on overall team dynamics. Brugge's edge positions them as favorites in this pivotal encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Club Brugge possess a 9.4-point power advantage over Gent, marking them as the stronger side.
  • Form: Club Brugge hold a superior form score of 19.67 compared to Gent's 14.72.
  • Squad: No specific squad news available ahead of this matchup.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both Gent and Club Brugge.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: Baseline split: Gent 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Club Brugge 0% (Δ+0%).
  • Market: Baseline split: Gent 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Club Brugge 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Club Brugge I. Leko
I. Leko
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.04
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: D
Sint-Truiden Rank: D
Anderlecht Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: D
Dender Rank: W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: D
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Anderlecht Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: W
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 15 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
0%
Draw
0%
Away Club Brugge
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.65
30.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Club Brugge
Power Score
20.65
30.09
League Position
4
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Club Brugge

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
60 matches
Club Brugge BRU Away
Match Record
19
Wins
26
15
Draws
15
26
Losses
19
Goals
77
Goals Scored
97
97
Goals Conceded
77
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:11:28+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
Planet Group Arena
Capacity
20185
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
23
Tom Vandenberghe
Tom Vandenberghe Goalkeeper
30
Kjell Peersman
Kjell Peersman Goalkeeper
31
Bas Evers
Bas Evers Goalkeeper
29
Jean-Kevin Duverne
Jean-Kevin Duverne Defender
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Defender
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Defender
3
Maksim Paskotši
Maksim Paskotši Defender
20
Tiago Filipe Alves Araújo
Tiago Filipe Alves Araújo Defender
25
Hatim Essaoubi
Hatim Essaoubi Defender
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Defender
35
Gilles De Meyer
Gilles De Meyer Defender
39
Abdul Rachid Ayindé
Abdul Rachid Ayindé Defender
22
Leonardo da Silva Lopes
Leonardo da Silva Lopes Midfielder
24
Hyeon-seok Hong
Hyeon-seok Hong Midfielder
37
Abdelhak Kadri
Abdelhak Kadri Midfielder
10
Aimé Omgba
Aimé Omgba Midfielder
15
Atsuki Ito
Atsuki Ito Midfielder
18
Matisse Samoise
Matisse Samoise Midfielder
17
Mathias Delorge-Knieper
Mathias Delorge-Knieper Midfielder
62
Wout Asselman
Wout Asselman Midfielder
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Midfielder
28
Mohammed El Âdfaoui
Mohammed El Âdfaoui Midfielder
7
Aka Wilfried Kanga
Aka Wilfried Kanga Attacker
8
Michał Skóraś
Michał Skóraś Attacker
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Attacker
11
Momodou Lamin Sonko
Momodou Lamin Sonko Attacker
19
Moctar Diop
Moctar Diop Attacker
45
Bi Christ Hyllarion Goore
Bi Christ Hyllarion Goore Attacker

Squad ▼

22
Simon Mignolet
Simon Mignolet Goalkeeper
29
Nordin Jackers
Nordin Jackers Goalkeeper
16
Dani van den Heuvel
Dani van den Heuvel Goalkeeper
71
Axl de Corte
Axl de Corte Goalkeeper
44
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Defender
41
Hugo Siquet
Hugo Siquet Defender
64
Kyriani Sabbe
Kyriani Sabbe Defender
58
Jorne Spileers
Jorne Spileers Defender
14
Bjorn Meijer
Bjorn Meijer Defender
65
Joaquin Seys
Joaquin Seys Defender
4
Joel Leandro Ordóñez Guerrero
Joel Leandro Ordóñez Guerrero Defender
24
Vince Chijioke Osuji
Vince Chijioke Osuji Defender
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken Midfielder
10
Hugo Vetlesen
Hugo Vetlesen Midfielder
6
Ludovit Reis
Ludovit Reis Midfielder
15
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike
Raphael Onyedika Nwadike Midfielder
62
Lynnt Audoor
Lynnt Audoor Midfielder
11
Cisse Sandra
Cisse Sandra Midfielder
80
Félix Lemaréchal
Félix Lemaréchal Midfielder
25
Aleksandar Stankovic
Aleksandar Stankovic Midfielder
70
Alejandro Granados Torres
Alejandro Granados Torres Midfielder
19
Gustaf Nilsson
Gustaf Nilsson Attacker
8
Christos Tzolis
Christos Tzolis Attacker
9
Carlos Borges
Carlos Borges Attacker
17
Romeo Vermant
Romeo Vermant Attacker
7
Nicolo Tresoldi
Nicolo Tresoldi Attacker
67
Mamadou Diakhon
Mamadou Diakhon Attacker
84
Shandre Campbell
Shandre Campbell Attacker

CONCLUSION

Club Brugge's clear power and form edges make them poised to extend their strong Championship Round campaign against Gent. Sitting second, they can capitalize on Gent's fourth-place standing and relative dip. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Brugge's overall dominance to secure vital points. Gent need a tactical masterclass at home to counter, but Brugge's metrics suggest control and likely victory in this key fixture.

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