Djurgården vs Hammarby Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Djurgården DJU
Versus
Hammarby HAM
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Tele2 Arena sets the stage for a pulsating Stockholm derby in the Allsvenskan regular season, pitting Djurgården against Hammarby in 2026. Djurgården occupies 7th place, just behind Hammarby's 6th, but power scores reveal a stark disparity: visitors lead with 33.11 to hosts' 21.83, translating to an 11.3-point advantage naming Hammarby the stronger side. Form metrics amplify this edge, as Hammarby scores 20.33 against Djurgården's 6.5, signaling momentum in their camp. Projections mirror the imbalance, favoring Hammarby at 40.8% while Djurgården trails at 32.9% with draw at 26.3%. Advanced data like set pieces and efficiency remain elusive due to unavailable xG and low-confidence proxies, leaving focus on raw power and recent showings. Home pride could spark an upset, yet Hammarby's metrics dominate the narrative.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hammarby possesses a commanding 11.3-point power advantage, scoring 33.11 versus Djurgården's 21.83.
  • Form: Hammarby's form reaches 20.33 points, towering over Djurgården's mere 6.5.
  • Squad: League standings place Hammarby 6th and Djurgården 7th, aligning with overall power disparities.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this analysis.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from current fixture evaluation.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable owing to missing xG data and proxy reliance.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Djurgården 32.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Hammarby 40.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
VS
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: D
Malmö FF Rank: L
Kalmar Rank: W
GAIS Rank: W
Öster Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: D
Örgryte Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 9 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Djurgården
32.86%
Draw
26.33%
Away Hammarby
40.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.83
33.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Djurgården
Hammarby
Power Score
21.83
33.11
League Position
7
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Djurgården Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Djurgården Hammarby

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Djurgården DJU Home
32 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
5
Wins
18
9
Draws
9
18
Losses
5
Goals
37
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
37
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:11:38+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
45
Filip Manojlović
Filip Manojlović Goalkeeper
30
Malkolm Nilsson
Malkolm Nilsson Goalkeeper
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Defender
4
Jacob Une-Larsson
Jacob Une-Larsson Defender
2
Piotr Johansson
Piotr Johansson Defender
18
Adam Ståhl
Adam Ståhl Defender
3
Leon Hien
Leon Hien Defender
21
Mikael Josh Marques de Pombal Vivar
Mikael Josh Marques de Pombal Vivar Defender
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Defender
10
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson Midfielder
13
Daniel Stensson
Daniel Stensson Midfielder
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Midfielder
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Midfielder
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Midfielder
6
Peter Langhoff
Peter Langhoff Midfielder
22
Joel Asoro
Joel Asoro Attacker
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels Attacker
23
Nino Žugelj
Nino Žugelj Attacker
29
Santeri Haarala
Santeri Haarala Attacker
15
Oskar Fallenius
Oskar Fallenius Attacker
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Attacker
16
Bo Åsulv Hegland
Bo Åsulv Hegland Attacker
17
Ahmed Saeed
Ahmed Saeed Attacker

Squad

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
27
Felix Jakobsson
Felix Jakobsson Goalkeeper
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6
Ibrahima Breze Fofana
Ibrahima Breze Fofana Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
32
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua Defender
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby Defender
2
Erik Hampus Skoglund
Erik Hampus Skoglund Defender
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
11
Oscar Johansson
Oscar Johansson Midfielder
14
Dennis Collander
Dennis Collander Midfielder
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
33
Bjorn Hedlof
Bjorn Hedlof Midfielder
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström Midfielder
21
Sourou Koné
Sourou Koné Midfielder
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic Attacker
9
Victor Stange Lind
Victor Stange Lind Attacker
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Attacker
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen Attacker
29
Moise Elohim Kabore
Moise Elohim Kabore Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's elevated power rating and superior form position them as frontrunners in this Tele2 Arena showdown, where an 11.3-point edge underscores their structural dominance over Djurgården. Hosts must harness home atmosphere and derby fervor to counter the visitors' momentum, especially with form gaps so pronounced. Absent advanced metrics like set pieces leave emphasis on core strengths, potentially tilting towards Hammarby's clinical approach. Projections reinforce this outlook without deltas shifting perceptions. A tightly contested affair looms, but Hammarby appears primed to extend their table advantage.

Explore League Previews