Fredericia vs Odense BK Expert Preview & Team Analysis

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Monjasa Park Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM

Superliga

Fredericia Fredericia

Odense BK ODE

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM

Round 7 Relegation Round

Fiete Arp - 31'

Ismahila Ouédraogo - 12'

CONTEXT

Fredericia faced Odense BK at home in a match that ended 0-2 in favor of the visitors. Odense BK struck twice in the first half to lead 0-2 at halftime, setting the tone early. Despite Fredericia holding a slight 51% possession edge, they failed to create meaningful chances, while Odense BK maintained control with 49% possession and clinical finishing. No red cards disrupted play, and the second half saw no major adjustments from either side. As the stronger team, Odense BK delivered a professional victory, aligning with pre-match expectations. The minimal structural deviation of 2.1% underscored their dominance without overperformance. Efficiency stayed in line throughout, reflecting a straightforward win for the away side.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 2.1% benefited Odense BK.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment held true for the outcome.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
Event impact: No notable events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Putros

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Rasmussen

2nd Assistant

R. Risum

1st Assistant

S. Aagerup

4th Official

M. Hansen

A. Zorniger

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Fredericia

0.2%

Draw

1.92%

Odense BK

97.89%

Team Power Ranking

19.82

23.65

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Fredericia

Odense BK

Power Score

19.82

23.65

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score

Odense BK — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredericia Odense BK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Fredericia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Odense BK

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fredericia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Odense BK

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

49.31

32.35

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

32.35

49.31

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Fredericia +1.61 Efficiency Index

Odense BK -1.61 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Fredericia

Odense BK

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fredericia ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Odense BK

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Fredericia Odense BK

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Fredericia Odense BK

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Fredericia

Odense BK

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Fredericia

Odense BK

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Fredericia Odense BK

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Fredericia Odense BK

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Fredericia

Odense BK

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

ODE had peak pressure around 68'.
Fredericia started the game with stronger pressure.

Fredericia Pressure ODE Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: ODE reached the top pressure at 68' (77.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredericia Fredericia Home

3 matches

Odense BK ODE Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-4

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-2-2-2

90 V. Thorsen

12 S. Crone

3 A. Nygaard Andersen

5 F. Thykær Rieper

8 J. Jessen

18 A. Andersen

6 F. Winther

16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen

21 J. Holm Lindekilde

17 D. Kristjánsson

25 F. Ubi Etim

16 V. Røsholt Myhra

15 M. McCoy

13 J. Berthel Askou Harvey

5 N. Bürgy

20 L. Owusu

22 I. Ouédraogo

8 R. Falk Jensen

7 J. Arp

18 M. Ejdum

11 J. Niemiec

17 N. Ganaus

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 7 · Relegation Round

Stadium :

Monjasa Park

Capacity :

10000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Sandi Putros

Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen

Rene Risum

Sebastian Friis Aagerup

Statistics

Possession

Fredericia

52%

ODE

48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

0 Big Chances Created 3

9 Shots 10

63 Dangerous attacks 37

51 Possession 49

4 Corners 3

12 Free kicks 13

2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

0 Injuries 2

25 Dribble Attempts 11

27 Throwins 11

0 Assists 1

15 Successful Dribbles 5

11 Goal Kicks 10

11 Goal Attempts 9

73 Ball Safe 83

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

8 Counter Attacks 11

58 Attacks 60

0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

80 Successful Passes Percentage 84

56 Long Passes 52

16 Key Passes 10

480 Passes 459

27 Successful Long Passes 19

384 Successful Passes 385

Defensive

15 Tackles 18

51 Duels Won 48

8 Interceptions 21

1 Saves 5

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 2

25 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

13 Fouls 12

4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Sandi Putros

Manager ▼

M. Hansen Coach

Starting XI ▼

Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper

7.02

Adam Nygaard Andersen Defender

6.55

Frederik Thykær Rieper Defender

Jakob Jessen Defender

6.84

Elias Hansborg-Sørensen

Attacker68'

6.42

Svenn Crone Defender

6.45

Felix Winther Midfielder

7.09

Sofus Johannesen Midfielder

6.84

Emilio Simonsen

Midfielder57'

6.75

Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Midfielder

6.62

Patrick Egelund

Attacker57'

6.67

Andreas Pyndt Midfielder

6.71

Anders Dahl

Defender67'

6.47

Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Midfielder

6.78

Eskild Munk Dall

Attacker84'

6.66

Etim Attacker

6.96

Substitutes ▼

Emilio Simonsen

Midfielder57'

6.75

Patrick Egelund

Attacker57'

6.67

Anders Dahl

Defender67'

6.47

Elias Hansborg-Sørensen

Attacker68'

6.42

Eskild Munk Dall

Attacker84'

6.66

Bench ▼

Christoffer Petersen Goalkeeper

Malthe Ladefoged Defender

6.5

Kristian Pedersen Defender

6.54

Daniel Bisgard Haarbo Midfielder

6.57

Referee : Sandi Putros