Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź Sun, 26 Apr - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
Versus
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Widzew Lodz host Motor Lublin in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź. Domestically, Widzew Lodz sit 17th in the table while Motor Lublin are 8th. Power ranking favours Motor Lublin by 3.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Widzew Lodz sit 17th while Motor Lublin occupy 8th in the Ekstraklasa table.
  • Form: Widzew Lodz hold a form score of 22, edging Motor Lublin's 21.28.
  • Squad: Motor Lublin's higher power score of 26.6 indicates superior squad strength over Widzew's 23.3.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of recent outing details.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable as xG metrics are not enabled.
  • xVariable: xG data absent for both teams, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Widzew Lodz 51.6% (Δ-1%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0.4%) | Motor Lublin 22.8% (Δ+0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
VS
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Radomiak Radom Rank: D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Nieciecza Rank: W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Widzew Lodz
51.62%
Draw
25.6%
Away Motor Lublin
22.79%

Movement

Changes since opening
Widzew Lodz
-1.02%
Draw
+0.42%
Motor Lublin
+0.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.3
26.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
Power Score
23.3
26.6
League Position
17
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Home
3 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
B. Drągowski
1 B. Drągowski
C. Muñoz Obejero
2 C. Muñoz Obejero
P. Wisniewski
25 P. Wisniewski
S. Kapuadi
53 S. Kapuadi
S. Kozlovský
3 S. Kozlovský
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
L. Selahi
18 L. Selahi
J. Shehu
6 J. Shehu
E. Kornvig
8 E. Kornvig
S. Bergier
99 S. Bergier
M. Fornalczyk
7 M. Fornalczyk
G. Tratnik
33 G. Tratnik
F. Luberecki
24 F. Luberecki
B. Ede
42 B. Ede
H. Matthys
3 H. Matthys
P. Stolarski
28 P. Stolarski
J. Łabojko
21 J. Łabojko
B. van Hoeven
19 B. van Hoeven
B. Wolski
68 B. Wolski
I. dos Santos Rodrigues
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
M. Ndiaye
30 M. Ndiaye
R. Dadaşov
77 R. Dadaşov

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Capacity
18018
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.79
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.7
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.96
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Centre Forward
6.93
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Right Back
6.61
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Left Back
6.67
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Central Midfield
7.16
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Central Midfield
7.08
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi Central Midfield
6.85
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Right Back
7.03
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Left Back
6.68

Starting XI ▼

33
Gasper Tratnik
Gasper Tratnik Goalkeeper
6.55
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Midfielder
6.6
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.88
77
Renat Dadashov
Renat Dadashov Centre Forward
6.54
21
Jakub Labojko
Jakub Labojko Defensive Midfield
6.62
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Left Back
6.67
28
Pawel Stolarski
Pawel Stolarski Right Back
6.54
42
Bright Ede
Bright Ede Left Back
6.4
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Central Midfield
7.1
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys Right Back
6.69
7
Ivo Rodrigues
Ivo Rodrigues Central Midfield
6.94

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Motor Lublin holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Motor Lublin a 3.3-point edge. External projection is Widzew Lodz 52.6%, draw 25.2%, and Motor Lublin 22.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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