Dundee United vs Dundee Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Tannadice Park Sun, 26 Apr - 1:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee United DUD
Versus
Dundee DUD
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 34 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee United host Dundee in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Tannadice Park. Domestically, Dundee United sit 7th in the table while Dundee are 9th. Power ranking favours Dundee United by 1.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee United lead with a 1.3 point power advantage and sit two places higher in 7th versus Dundee's 9th.
  • Form: Dundee United's form score of 20.83 exceeds Dundee's 15.78.
  • Squad: Dundee United's higher power score of 24.66 indicates superior squad strength over Dundee's 23.37.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Dundee United 45.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Dundee 27.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee United J. Goodwin
J. Goodwin
VS
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Livingston Rank: W
Rangers Rank: L
Celtic Rank: W
Dundee Rank: D
St. Mirren Rank: W
Motherwell Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kilmarnock Rank: D
Celtic Rank: L
Hearts Rank: L
Dundee United Rank: D
Motherwell Rank: W
Hibernian Rank: D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 7 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee United
45.33%
Draw
27.33%
Away Dundee
27.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.66
23.37
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee United
Dundee
Power Score
24.66
23.37
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee United — Opponent-weighted form score
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee United Dundee

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee United DUD Home
20 matches
Dundee DUD Away
Match Record
8
Wins
5
7
Draws
7
5
Losses
8
Goals
40
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
40
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:40+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Richards
25 D. Richards
I. Iovu
4 I. Iovu
R. Graham
6 R. Graham
S. Harding
37 S. Harding
R. Strain
2 R. Strain
V. Ševelj
5 V. Ševelj
E. Agyei
12 E. Agyei
W. Ferry
11 W. Ferry
Z. Sapsford
9 Z. Sapsford
N. Farrugia
20 N. Farrugia
M. Watters
36 M. Watters
J. McCracken
1 J. McCracken
D. Wright
7 D. Wright
B. Koumetio
5 B. Koumetio
L. Graham
22 L. Graham
B. Halliday
16 B. Halliday
J. Cotterill
24 J. Cotterill
Y. Dhanda
21 Y. Dhanda
E. Hamilton
48 E. Hamilton
T. Yogane
17 T. Yogane
S. Murray
15 S. Murray
C. Congreve
20 C. Congreve

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 34 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Tannadice Park
Capacity
14268
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

25
Dave Richards
Dave Richards Goalkeeper
6.71
9
Zachary Sapsford
Zachary Sapsford Midfielder
6.77
20
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia Midfielder
6.68
11
Will Ferry
Will Ferry Midfielder
7.15
2
Ryan Strain
Ryan Strain Midfielder
6.58
36
Max Watters
Max Watters Centre Forward
6.7
37
S. Harding
S. Harding Left Back
6.51
5
Vicko Sevelj
Vicko Sevelj Central Midfield
6.85
6
Ross Graham
Ross Graham Centre Back
6.98
4
Iurie Iovu
Iurie Iovu Right Back
6.77
12
Emmanuel Agyei
Emmanuel Agyei Central Midfield
7.13

Starting XI ▼

1
Jon McCracken
Jon McCracken Goalkeeper
6.9
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Centre Forward
6.66
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Attacker
6.76
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Attacker
6.75
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Central Midfield
6.82
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Right Back
6.97
5
Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio Left Back
6.86
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Left Back
6.74
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Right Back
6.75
24
Joel Cotterill
Joel Cotterill Central Midfield
6.69
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Central Midfield
6.81

CONCLUSION

Dundee United enter as marginal favourites, leveraging home advantage at Tannadice, superior power metrics, and better form to target a derby win. Dundee must counter with resilience to exploit any Terrors' lapses in a balanced matchup. Absent detailed set piece and xG insights leave room for surprises, but United's table edge and 1.3 point superiority suggest control. Expect a cagey affair where execution in open play decides the points in this pivotal 2nd Phase encounter.

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