Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Mechelen MEC
Versus
Sint-Truiden SIT
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 5 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the Pro League Championship Round of the 2025/2026 season, Mechelen hosts Sint-Truiden at the AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne in a pivotal mid-table showdown. Mechelen enters as the stronger side, boasting a power score of 19.73 against Sint-Truiden's 17.19, yielding a clear 2.5-point advantage that underscores their structural edge. Currently 5th in the standings to Sint-Truiden's 6th, the hosts also dominate in form with a robust 14.67 rating versus the visitors' modest 5.5, hinting at sustained momentum and sharper recent execution. Absent last outing specifics, analysis pivots to core metrics: set-piece insights reveal low-confidence proxies without xG data, obscuring dead-ball threats. Efficiency and transition elements remain unquantified, yet Mechelen's superior ratings suggest control in open play. This fixture tests Sint-Truiden's resilience against a poised home unit poised for points.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Mechelen sits 5th and Sint-Truiden 6th in the Pro League Championship Round standings.
  • Form: Mechelen's form score of 14.67 significantly outpaces Sint-Truiden's 5.5.
  • Squad: No detailed squad information available; positions indicate comparable league depth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable in current data.
  • Transition: Transition performance data not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to absent xG and low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: Mechelen 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sint-Truiden 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mechelen F. Vanderbiest
F. Vanderbiest
VS
Sint-Truiden W. Vrancken
W. Vrancken
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: D
Anderlecht Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Anderlecht Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht Rank: D
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Genk Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 6 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mechelen
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sint-Truiden
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.73
17.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mechelen
Sint-Truiden
Power Score
19.73
17.19
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mechelen — Opponent-weighted form score
Sint-Truiden — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mechelen Sint-Truiden

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mechelen MEC Home
36 matches
Sint-Truiden SIT Away
Match Record
12
Wins
18
6
Draws
6
18
Losses
12
Goals
40
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
40
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:22+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Capacity
16672
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Ortwin De Wolf
Ortwin De Wolf Goalkeeper
13
Ignacio Mirás Blanco
Ignacio Mirás Blanco Goalkeeper
15
Tijn Van Ingelgom
Tijn Van Ingelgom Goalkeeper
32
Axel Willockx
Axel Willockx Goalkeeper
33
Tommy St. Jago
Tommy St. Jago Defender
3
José Martinez Marsà
José Martinez Marsà Defender
7
Therence Koudou
Therence Koudou Defender
2
Redouane Halhal
Redouane Halhal Defender
22
Lovro Golič
Lovro Golič Defender
4
Gora Diouf
Gora Diouf Defender
23
Moncef Zekri
Moncef Zekri Defender
18
Ian Struyf
Ian Struyf Defender
19
Kerim Mrabti
Kerim Mrabti Midfielder
8
Mory Konate
Mory Konate Midfielder
6
Fredrik Hammar
Fredrik Hammar Midfielder
29
Dikeni-Rafid Salifou
Dikeni-Rafid Salifou Midfielder
17
M. Servais
M. Servais Midfielder
39
Massimo Decoene
Massimo Decoene Midfielder
10
Maxim Kireev
Maxim Kireev Midfielder
11
Bilal Bafdili
Bilal Bafdili Midfielder
14
Benito Raman
Benito Raman Attacker
12
Boureima Hassane Bandé
Boureima Hassane Bandé Attacker
27
Keano Vanrafelghem
Keano Vanrafelghem Attacker
9
Myron van Brederode
Myron van Brederode Attacker
38
Bill Antonio
Bill Antonio Attacker
21
Halil Özdemir
Halil Özdemir Attacker
28
Bouke Boersma
Bouke Boersma Attacker
34
Mauro Lenaerts
Mauro Lenaerts Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Jo Coppens
Jo Coppens Goalkeeper
16
Leo Brian Kokubo
Leo Brian Kokubo Goalkeeper
21
Matt Lendfers
Matt Lendfers Goalkeeper
22
Wolke Janssens
Wolke Janssens Defender
23
Joedrick Pupe
Joedrick Pupe Defender
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu Defender
18
Simen Kristiansen Juklerød
Simen Kristiansen Juklerød Defender
5
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi Defender
4
Loïc Mbe Soh
Loïc Mbe Soh Defender
3
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata Defender
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Defender
34
Hugo Lambotte
Hugo Lambotte Defender
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Midfielder
13
Ryotaro Ito
Ryotaro Ito Midfielder
6
Rihito Yamamoto
Rihito Yamamoto Midfielder
11
Isaias Del Pupo
Isaias Del Pupo Midfielder
14
Ryan Merlen
Ryan Merlen Midfielder
33
Alouis Diriken
Alouis Diriken Midfielder
53
Adam Nhaili
Adam Nhaili Midfielder
31
Illyes Benachour
Illyes Benachour Midfielder
7
Arbnor Muja
Arbnor Muja Attacker
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Attacker
42
Keisuke Goto
Keisuke Goto Attacker
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
Kaito Matsuzawa Attacker
77
Oumar Diouf
Oumar Diouf Attacker
99
Shion Shinkawa
Shion Shinkawa Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Mechelen holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Mechelen a 2.5-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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