Real Oviedo vs Elche Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Real Oviedo OVI
Versus
Elche ELC
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Oviedo host Elche in La Liga (Regular Season) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Domestically, Real Oviedo sit 20th in the table while Elche are 18th. Power ranking favours Real Oviedo by 3.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Real Oviedo holds a 3.9-point power advantage over Elche with scores of 24.7 to 20.78.
  • Form: Oviedo's form score stands at 26.22, surpassing Elche's 15.78.
  • Squad: Oviedo sit 20th and Elche 18th in La Liga standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition data is not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable.
  • Market: Real Oviedo 41% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.8% (Δ+0%) | Elche 30.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
VS
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: D
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Sevilla Rank: W
Levante Rank: L
Valencia Rank: W
Espanyol Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: D
Valencia Rank: W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: L
Mallorca Rank: W
Real Madrid Rank: L
Villarreal Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Oviedo
41.03%
Draw
28.79%
Away Elche
30.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.7
20.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Oviedo
Elche
Power Score
24.7
20.78
League Position
20
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Real Oviedo Opponent-weighted form score
Elche Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Elche

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home
13 matches
Elche ELC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
18
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:32+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Aarón Escandell Banacloche
Aarón Escandell Banacloche Goalkeeper
1
Horaţiu Moldovan
Horaţiu Moldovan Goalkeeper
2
Eric Bertrand Bailly
Eric Bertrand Bailly Defender
4
David Costas Cordal
David Costas Cordal Defender
12
Daniel Pedro Calvo San Román
Daniel Pedro Calvo San Román Defender
22
Ignacio Vidal Miralles
Ignacio Vidal Miralles Defender
24
Lucas Ahijado Quintana
Lucas Ahijado Quintana Defender
16
David Mota Veiga Teixeira Carmo
David Mota Veiga Teixeira Carmo Defender
25
Javier López Carballo
Javier López Carballo Defender
3
A. Alhassane Bonkan
A. Alhassane Bonkan Defender
8
Santiago Cazorla González
Santiago Cazorla González Midfielder
20
Leander Dendoncker
Leander Dendoncker Midfielder
11
Santiago Colombatto
Santiago Colombatto Midfielder
21
Luka Ilić
Luka Ilić Midfielder
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
23
Nicolas Fonseca
Nicolas Fonseca Midfielder
5
Alberto Reina Campos
Alberto Reina Campos Midfielder
27
Pablo Menéndez Agudín
Pablo Menéndez Agudín Midfielder
14
Oviemuno Dominic Ejaria
Oviemuno Dominic Ejaria Attacker
9
Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza
Federico Sebastián Viñas Barboza Attacker
10
Haissem Hassan
Haissem Hassan Attacker
19
Álex Forés Mendoza
Álex Forés Mendoza Attacker
17
Thiago Nicolás Borbas Silva
Thiago Nicolás Borbas Silva Attacker
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Attacker
15
Thiago Cruz Fernández
Thiago Cruz Fernández Attacker

Squad

1
Matías Ezequiel Dituro
Matías Ezequiel Dituro Goalkeeper
13
Ignacio Peña Sotorres
Ignacio Peña Sotorres Goalkeeper
45
Alejandro Iturbe Encabo
Alejandro Iturbe Encabo Goalkeeper
6
Pedro Bigas Rigo
Pedro Bigas Rigo Defender
21
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot Defender
3
Adrià Giner Pedrosa
Adrià Giner Pedrosa Defender
23
Víctor Chust García
Víctor Chust García Defender
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
18
John Nwankwo Donald
John Nwankwo Donald Defender
39
Hector Fort García
Hector Fort García Defender
42
Aboubacar Sangaré Traoré
Aboubacar Sangaré Traoré Defender
14
Aleix Febas Pérez
Aleix Febas Pérez Midfielder
12
Gonzalo Villar del Fraile
Gonzalo Villar del Fraile Midfielder
8
Marc Aguado Pallares
Marc Aguado Pallares Midfielder
16
Martim Carvalho Neto
Martim Carvalho Neto Midfielder
5
Federico Redondo Solari
Federico Redondo Solari Midfielder
9
André Miguel Valente Silva
André Miguel Valente Silva Attacker
10
Rafael Mir Vicente
Rafael Mir Vicente Attacker
17
José Antonio Fernández Pomares
José Antonio Fernández Pomares Attacker
19
Grady Diangana
Grady Diangana Attacker
15
José Antonio Morente Oliva
José Antonio Morente Oliva Attacker
11
German Valera Karabinaite
German Valera Karabinaite Attacker
7
Yago de Santiago
Yago de Santiago Attacker
24
Lucas Cepeda
Lucas Cepeda Attacker
20
Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez Muñoz
Álvaro Daniel Rodríguez Muñoz Attacker
32
Adam Boayar Benaisa
Adam Boayar Benaisa Attacker

CONCLUSION

This La Liga relegation scrap at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere favors Real Oviedo thanks to their power and form superiority, positioning them as marginal home favorites against Elche. The 3.9-point edge underscores structural strength, while better recent results suggest Oviedo can capitalize on home soil. Elche's marginally better table position offers hope, but absent granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the contest hinges on execution in open play. Expect a cagey battle with Oviedo edging a hard-fought win to boost survival hopes.

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