Granada vs Almería Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Granada GRA
Versus
Almería ALM
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Granada host Almería in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Domestically, Granada sit 14th in the table while Almería are 3th. Power ranking favours Almería by 8.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Almería hold structural superiority, sitting 3rd in the league versus Granada's 14th with an 8.2-point power advantage.
  • Form: Almería's form score of 27.22 outstrips Granada's 16.39.
  • Squad: Almería's squad power rates at 31.48, higher than Granada's 23.29.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, preventing xVariable evaluation.
  • Market: Projection split: Granada 32.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Almería 39.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Granada J. Rojo Martín
J. Rojo Martín
VS
Almería J. Ferrer Sicilia
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: L
Huesca Rank: W
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: W
Racing Santander Rank: L
Leganés Rank: W
Castellón Rank: L
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Huesca Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Granada
32.84%
Draw
27.82%
Away Almería
39.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.29
31.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Granada
Almería
Power Score
23.29
31.48
League Position
14
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Granada Opponent-weighted form score
Almería Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Granada Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Granada GRA Home
13 matches
Almería ALM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
6
4
Draws
4
6
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
14
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:37+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Capacity
19189
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Luca Zinedine Zidane
Luca Zinedine Zidane Goalkeeper
13
Ander Astralaga Aranguren
Ander Astralaga Aranguren Goalkeeper
18
Álvaro Lemos Collazo
Álvaro Lemos Collazo Defender
17
Bambo Diaby
Bambo Diaby Defender
5
Manuel Lama Maroto
Manuel Lama Maroto Defender
22
Baila Diallo
Baila Diallo Defender
24
Loic Williams Ntambue Kayumba
Loic Williams Ntambue Kayumba Defender
2
Pau Casadesús Castro
Pau Casadesús Castro Defender
3
Diego Hormigo Iturralde
Diego Hormigo Iturralde Defender
28
Oscar Naasei Oppong
Oscar Naasei Oppong Defender
14
Manuel Trigueros Muñoz
Manuel Trigueros Muñoz Midfielder
4
Rubén Alcaraz Jiménez
Rubén Alcaraz Jiménez Midfielder
20
Sergio Ruiz Alonso
Sergio Ruiz Alonso Midfielder
8
Pedro Alemañ Serna
Pedro Alemañ Serna Midfielder
23
Luka Gagnidze
Luka Gagnidze Midfielder
41
Izan González Muñoz
Izan González Muñoz Midfielder
11
José Manuel Arnáiz Díaz
José Manuel Arnáiz Díaz Attacker
7
Alex Sola López Ocaña
Alex Sola López Ocaña Attacker
10
Mohamed Bouldini
Mohamed Bouldini Attacker
21
Pablo Saenz Ezquerra
Pablo Saenz Ezquerra Attacker
19
Jorge Pascual Medina
Jorge Pascual Medina Attacker
26
Sergio Rodelas Pintor
Sergio Rodelas Pintor Attacker
9
Gonzalo Petit Abad
Gonzalo Petit Abad Attacker
40
Babacar Diocou Ndiaye
Babacar Diocou Ndiaye Attacker

Squad

1
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno
Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno Goalkeeper
13
Fernando Martínez Rubio
Fernando Martínez Rubio Goalkeeper
31
Bruno Iribarne Aleman
Bruno Iribarne Aleman Goalkeeper
5
Rodrigo Ely
Rodrigo Ely Defender
4
Nélson Macedo Monte
Nélson Macedo Monte Defender
3
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel Defender
21
Juan Brandariz Movilla
Juan Brandariz Movilla Defender
20
Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Alejandro Centelles Plaza Defender
18
Federico Bonini
Federico Bonini Defender
16
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz
Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz Defender
22
D. Chirino
D. Chirino Defender
32
Pedro Fidel
Pedro Fidel Defender
6
André Filipe Luz Horta
André Filipe Luz Horta Midfielder
14
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed
Iddrisu Baba Mohammed Midfielder
2
Arnau Puigmal Martínez
Arnau Puigmal Martínez Midfielder
10
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo Midfielder
17
Dion Lopy
Dion Lopy Midfielder
11
Sergio Arribas Calvo
Sergio Arribas Calvo Midfielder
8
Guilherme Borges Guedes
Guilherme Borges Guedes Midfielder
29
Stefan Dzodic
Stefan Dzodic Midfielder
12
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão
Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão Attacker
23
Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Adrián Embarba Blázquez Attacker
24
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero
Miguel De la Fuente Escudero Attacker
19
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko
Serge Patrick Njoh Soko Attacker
Ibrahima Koné
Ibrahima Koné Attacker
7
Jon Morcillo Conesa
Jon Morcillo Conesa Attacker
9
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Almería holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Almería a 8.2-point edge. External projection is Granada 32.8%, draw 27.8%, and Almería 39.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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