Granada vs Almería Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
La Liga 2
Granada
GRA
Almería
ALM
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
Round 37 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Granada host Almería in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Domestically, Granada sit 14th in the table while Almería are 3th. Power ranking favours Almería by 8.2 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Almería hold structural superiority, sitting 3rd in the league versus Granada's 14th with an 8.2-point power advantage.
-
Form: Almería's form score of 27.22 outstrips Granada's 16.39.
-
Squad: Almería's squad power rates at 31.48, higher than Granada's 23.29.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
-
Transition: No transition metrics provided in available data.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage.
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xVariable: xG data absent, preventing xVariable evaluation.
-
Market: Projection split: Granada 32.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Almería 39.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
J. Rojo Martín
VS
J. Ferrer Sicilia
1.36
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.85
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete
Rank:
L
Cultural Leonesa
Rank:
W
Castellón
Rank:
L
Las Palmas
Rank:
L
Huesca
Rank:
W
Real Sociedad II
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga
Rank:
W
Racing Santander
Rank:
L
Leganés
Rank:
W
Castellón
Rank:
L
Real Sociedad II
Rank:
W
Huesca
Rank:
W
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Granada
32.84%
Draw
27.82%
Almería
39.34%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.29
31.48
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Granada
Almería
Power Score
23.29
31.48
League Position
14
3
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Granada
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Almería
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Granada Almería
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Granada
GRA
Home
13
matches
Almería
ALM
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
6
4
Draws
4
6
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
14
-8
Goal Difference
+8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:13:37+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Capacity
19189
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Granada
vs
Real Zaragoza
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de la Romareda
Almería
vs
Mirandés
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Squad
Manager ▼
J. Rojo Martín
Coach
Squad ▼

Luca Zinedine Zidane
Goalkeeper

Ander Astralaga Aranguren
Goalkeeper

Álvaro Lemos Collazo
Defender

Bambo Diaby
Defender

Manuel Lama Maroto
Defender

Baila Diallo
Defender

Loic Williams Ntambue Kayumba
Defender

Pau Casadesús Castro
Defender

Diego Hormigo Iturralde
Defender

Oscar Naasei Oppong
Defender

Manuel Trigueros Muñoz
Midfielder

Rubén Alcaraz Jiménez
Midfielder

Sergio Ruiz Alonso
Midfielder

Pedro Alemañ Serna
Midfielder

Luka Gagnidze
Midfielder

Izan González Muñoz
Midfielder

José Manuel Arnáiz Díaz
Attacker

Alex Sola López Ocaña
Attacker

Mohamed Bouldini
Attacker

Pablo Saenz Ezquerra
Attacker

Jorge Pascual Medina
Attacker

Sergio Rodelas Pintor
Attacker

Gonzalo Petit Abad
Attacker

Babacar Diocou Ndiaye
Attacker
Manager ▼
J. Ferrer Sicilia
Coach
Squad ▼

Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno
Goalkeeper

Fernando Martínez Rubio
Goalkeeper

Bruno Iribarne Aleman
Goalkeeper

Rodrigo Ely
Defender

Nélson Macedo Monte
Defender

Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel
Defender

Juan Brandariz Movilla
Defender

Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Defender

Federico Bonini
Defender

Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz
Defender

D. Chirino
Defender

Pedro Fidel
Defender

André Filipe Luz Horta
Midfielder

Iddrisu Baba Mohammed
Midfielder

Arnau Puigmal Martínez
Midfielder

Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo
Midfielder

Dion Lopy
Midfielder

Sergio Arribas Calvo
Midfielder

Guilherme Borges Guedes
Midfielder

Stefan Dzodic
Midfielder

Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão
Attacker

Adrián Embarba Blázquez
Attacker

Miguel De la Fuente Escudero
Attacker

Serge Patrick Njoh Soko
Attacker

Ibrahima Koné
Attacker

Jon Morcillo Conesa
Attacker

Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Almería holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Almería a 8.2-point edge. External projection is Granada 32.8%, draw 27.8%, and Almería 39.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
