KFUM vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
KFUM Arena
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
KFUM
KFUM
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Round 6 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
KFUM host Sarpsborg 08 in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at KFUM Arena. Domestically, KFUM sit 12th in the table while Sarpsborg 08 are 11th. Power ranking favours Sarpsborg 08 by 11.7 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Sarpsborg 08 enjoys a 11.7-point power advantage over KFUM, positioning them as the stronger side.
-
Form: KFUM lags with a 4.87 form score against Sarpsborg 08's impressive 14.53.
-
Squad: Higher squad power of 22.43 favors Sarpsborg 08 over KFUM's 10.75 rating.
-
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either KFUM or Sarpsborg 08.
-
Transition: Transition data absent from available analysis for both teams.
-
Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxy data used.
-
xVariable: xG data not accessible as add-on remains disabled for this fixture.
-
Market: KFUM 42% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Sarpsborg 08 32.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
J. Moesgaard
VS
E. Sel
0.56
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.22
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam
Rank:
L
Aalesund
Rank:
D
Sandefjord
Rank:
L
Fredrikstad
Rank:
L
Start
Rank:
W
Sandefjord
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø
Rank:
L
Bodø / Glimt
Rank:
D
Rosenborg
Rank:
L
Start
Rank:
D
Sandefjord
Rank:
W
Molde
Rank:
W
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
KFUM
41.96%
Draw
25.58%
Sarpsborg 08
32.47%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
10.75
22.43
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
KFUM
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
10.75
22.43
League Position
12
11
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
KFUM
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
KFUM Sarpsborg 08
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
KFUM
KFUM
Home
4
matches
Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
5
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:28+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
KFUM Arena
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
KFUM
vs
Vålerenga
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 5:15 PM
Venue: Intility Arena
Sarpsborg 08
vs
Lillestrøm
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 12:30 PM
Venue: Åråsen Stadion
Squad
Manager ▼
J. Moesgaard
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Emil Gundelach Ødegaard
Goalkeeper
25
Håvar Grøntvedt Jensen
Goalkeeper
12
Krzysztof Bąkowski
Goalkeeper
33
Amin Nouri
Defender
19
Eirik Franke Saunes
Defender
3
Ayoub Aleesami
Defender
13
Brage Skaret
Defender
5
Fredrik Tobias Berglie
Defender
4
Momodou Lion Njie
Defender
16
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Defender
2
Daniel Schneider
Defender
7
Robin Rasch
Midfielder
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Midfielder
27
Tore André Sørås
Midfielder
21
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist
Midfielder
6
Mansour Sinyan
Midfielder
8
Simen Hestnes
Midfielder
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Midfielder
30
Marko Vuckovic
Midfielder
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Attacker
10
Moussa Njie
Attacker
28
Magnus Retsius Grødem
Attacker
17
Teodor Haltvik
Attacker
11
Bilal Njie
Attacker
42
David Hickson Gyedu
Attacker
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Attacker
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Attacker
20
Mostafa Najafzadeh
Attacker
Manager ▼
E. Sel
Coach
Squad ▼
13
Carljohan Eriksson
Goalkeeper
40
Leander Øy
Goalkeeper
1
Mamour Ndiaye
Goalkeeper
2
Menno Koch
Defender
5
Magnar Ødegaard
Defender
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Defender
32
Eirik Wichne
Defender
24
Sigurd Rosted
Defender
20
Peter Reinhardsen
Defender
12
Claus Babo Niyukuri
Defender
21
Anders Hiim
Defender
14
Jo Inge Berget
Midfielder
26
Chris Kouakou
Midfielder
8
Sander Johan Christiansen
Midfielder
6
Aimar Sher
Midfielder
33
Andreas Nibe Hansen
Midfielder
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Midfielder
18
Bop Guèye
Midfielder
10
Sondre Sørli
Attacker
16
Frederik Carstensen
Attacker
11
Daniel Seland Karlsbakk
Attacker
17
Noa Williams
Attacker
7
Camil Mmaee
Attacker
15
Michael Opoku
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sarpsborg 08 holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sarpsborg 08 a 11.7-point edge. External projection is KFUM 42%, draw 25.5%, and Sarpsborg 08 32.5%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.