Le Havre vs Metz Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Océane
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:15 PM
Ligue 1
Le Havre
LEH
Metz
MTZ
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 31 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Le Havre host Metz in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Océane. Domestically, Le Havre sit 14th in the table while Metz are 18th. Power ranking favours Le Havre by 4.6 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Le Havre holds a 4.6-point power advantage, driven by 15.13 rating over Metz's 10.51.
-
Form: Hosts outperform with 8.78 form score against Metz's trailing 4.56.
-
Squad: 14th-placed Le Havre welcomes struggling 18th-ranked Metz.
-
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for either team.
-
Transition: Transition play data absent from available statistics.
-
Set pieces: Set piece details unavailable owing to missing xG and proxy reliance.
-
xVariable: xG variables not accessible as add-on disabled.
-
Market: Le Havre 55.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Metz 19.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
D. Digard
VS
B. Tavenot
1.09
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.59
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO
Rank:
D
Nice
Rank:
D
Auxerre
Rank:
D
Paris
Rank:
L
Olympique Lyonnais
Rank:
D
Brest
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris
Rank:
L
Olympique Marseille
Rank:
L
Nantes
Rank:
D
Rennes
Rank:
D
Toulouse
Rank:
L
Lens
Rank:
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Le Havre
55.49%
Draw
24.89%
Metz
19.62%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.13
10.51
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Le Havre
Metz
Power Score
15.13
10.51
League Position
14
18
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Le Havre
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Metz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Le Havre Metz
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Le Havre
LEH
Home
3
matches
Metz
MTZ
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:46+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Océane
Capacity
25181
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Le Havre
vs
LOSC Lille
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Metz
vs
Monaco
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 5:00 PM
Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien
Squad
Manager ▼
D. Digard
Coach
Squad ▼
99
Mory Diaw
Goalkeeper
77
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau
Goalkeeper
50
Paul Argney
Goalkeeper
7
Loïc Nego
Defender
4
Gautier Lloris
Defender
18
Yanis Zouaoui
Defender
93
Arouna Sangante
Defender
32
Timothee Pembele
Defender
6
Étienne Youte Kinkoue
Defender
13
Fodé Doucouré
Defender
27
Enzo Koffi Vinette
Defender
29
Stephan Zagadou
Defender
17
Sofiane Boufal
Midfielder
94
Abdoulaye Touré
Midfielder
15
Ayumu Seko
Midfielder
30
Reda Jousef Khadra
Midfielder
14
Rassoul N'Diaye
Midfielder
8
Yassine Kechta
Midfielder
19
Lucas Gourna Douath
Midfielder
26
Simon Ebonog
Midfielder
24
Guy Noël Prince Zohouri
Midfielder
78
Daren Nbenbege Mosengo
Midfielder
25
Mbwana Ally Samatta
Attacker
11
Godson Kyeremeh
Attacker
10
Felix Khonde Mambimbi
Attacker
45
Issa Soumaré
Attacker
20
Noam Obougou Jacquet
Attacker
33
Kenny Quetant
Attacker
Manager ▼
B. Tavenot
Coach
Squad ▼
40
Ousmane Ba
Goalkeeper
1
Jonathan Fischer
Goalkeeper
61
Pape Mamadou Sy
Goalkeeper
2
Maxime Colin
Defender
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Defender
70
Bouna Sarr
Defender
97
Fodé Ballo Touré
Defender
39
Koffi Franck Kouao
Defender
15
Terry Yegbe
Defender
4
Urie-Michel Mboula
Defender
25
Cléo Mélières
Defender
38
Sadibou Sané
Defender
27
Yannis Lawson
Defender
21
Benjamin Stambouli
Midfielder
20
Jessy Deminguet
Midfielder
8
Boubacar Traore
Midfielder
29
Ismaël Guerti
Midfielder
12
Alpha Touré
Midfielder
33
Believe Munongo
Midfielder
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
Attacker
30
Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo
Attacker
10
Gauthier Hein
Attacker
7
Heorhii Tsitaishvili
Attacker
9
Giorgi Abuashvili
Attacker
19
Lucas Michal
Attacker
17
Joseph Mangondo
Attacker
22
Nathan Mbala
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Le Havre's multifaceted superiority in power, form, and league position sets them up favorably against beleaguered Metz at Stade Océane. The 4.6-point edge and higher standing highlight a clear path to victory for the hosts, despite gaps in set piece, efficiency, and transition data. Metz's lower metrics and 18th-place perch signal vulnerability on the road. Projections reinforce this outlook at 53.1% for Le Havre. Home advantage could seal a crucial win, propelling them up the Ligue 1 table while deepening Metz's challenges.