Paris vs LOSC Lille Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Jean Bouin Sun, 26 Apr - 3:15 PM
Ligue 1
Paris PFC
Versus
LOSC Lille LOSC
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Paris host LOSC Lille in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Jean Bouin. Domestically, Paris sit 10th in the table while LOSC Lille are 3th. Power ranking favours LOSC Lille by 10.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: LOSC Lille possesses a 10.2-point power advantage at 37.06 over Paris's 26.83 and sits 3rd compared to Paris's 10th.
  • Form: Lille's form score of 42.5 greatly exceeds Paris's 26.22.
  • Squad: Lille's squad strength, reflected in higher power metrics, outrates Paris significantly.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable, but Lille's power edge suggests superior play.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used and no xG available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as the add-on is not enabled for this fixture.
  • Market: Paris 24.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.3% (Δ+0%) | LOSC Lille 49.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paris A. Kombouare
A. Kombouare
VS
LOSC Lille B. Génésio
B. Génésio
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.82
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metz Rank: W
Monaco Rank: W
Lorient Rank: D
Le Havre Rank: W
Strasbourg Rank: D
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nice Rank: D
Toulouse Rank: W
Lens Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: W
Rennes Rank: W
Lorient Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris
24.37%
Draw
26.25%
Away LOSC Lille
49.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.83
37.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris
LOSC Lille
Power Score
26.83
37.06
League Position
10
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris — Opponent-weighted form score
LOSC Lille — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris LOSC Lille

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris PFC Home
1 matches
LOSC Lille LOSC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:51+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Jean Bouin
Capacity
15097
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

35
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper
1
Rémy Riou
Rémy Riou Goalkeeper
16
Obed Nkambadio
Obed Nkambadio Goalkeeper
15
Timothée Kolodziejczak
Timothée Kolodziejczak Defender
14
Hamari Traoré
Hamari Traoré Defender
28
Thibault De Smet
Thibault De Smet Defender
22
Sofiane Alakouch
Sofiane Alakouch Defender
31
Samir Chergui
Samir Chergui Defender
2
Tuomas Ollila
Tuomas Ollila Defender
5
Moustapha Mbow
Moustapha Mbow Defender
6
Otavio Ataide da Silva
Otavio Ataide da Silva Defender
42
Diego Coppola
Diego Coppola Defender
19
Nhoa Sangui
Nhoa Sangui Defender
21
Maxime Lopez
Maxime Lopez Midfielder
4
Vincent Marchetti
Vincent Marchetti Midfielder
33
Pierre Lees Melou
Pierre Lees Melou Midfielder
17
Adama Camara
Adama Camara Midfielder
18
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi Midfielder
23
Rudy Matondo
Rudy Matondo Midfielder
36
Ciro Immobile
Ciro Immobile Attacker
27
Moses Daddy Simon
Moses Daddy Simon Attacker
93
Nanitamo Jonathan Ikoné
Nanitamo Jonathan Ikoné Attacker
13
Mathieu Cafaro
Mathieu Cafaro Attacker
29
Pierre-Yves Hamel
Pierre-Yves Hamel Attacker
7
Alimami Gory
Alimami Gory Attacker
20
Julien Yves Rémi López Baila
Julien Yves Rémi López Baila Attacker
11
Jean-Philippe Krasso
Jean-Philippe Krasso Attacker
10
Ilan Kebbal
Ilan Kebbal Attacker
9
Willem Geubbels
Willem Geubbels Attacker
26
Mamadou Lamine Gueye
Mamadou Lamine Gueye Attacker
24
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho Attacker

Squad ▼

30
Marc-Aurèle Caillard
Marc-Aurèle Caillard Goalkeeper
1
Berke Özer
Berke Özer Goalkeeper
16
Arnaud Bodart
Arnaud Bodart Goalkeeper
18
Chancel Mbemba Mangulu
Chancel Mbemba Mangulu Defender
24
Calvin Verdonk
Calvin Verdonk Defender
12
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier Defender
23
Aïssa Mandi
Aïssa Mandi Defender
15
Romain Perraud
Romain Perraud Defender
4
Alexsandro Victor Souza Ribeiro
Alexsandro Victor Souza Ribeiro Defender
3
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy Defender
—
Rafael Tavares Gomes Fernandes
Rafael Tavares Gomes Fernandes Defender
36
Ousmane Touré
Ousmane Touré Defender
22
Tiago Santos Carvalho
Tiago Santos Carvalho Defender
6
Nabil Bentaleb
Nabil Bentaleb Midfielder
21
Benjamin André
Benjamin André Midfielder
10
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson Midfielder
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ngal'ayel Mukau Midfielder
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Midfielder
9
Olivier Giroud
Olivier Giroud Attacker
28
Gaëtan Perrin
Gaëtan Perrin Attacker
11
Osame Sahraoui
Osame Sahraoui Attacker
27
Felix Alexandre Andrade Sanches Correia
Felix Alexandre Andrade Sanches Correia Attacker
29
Igmane Hamza
Igmane Hamza Attacker
14
Marius Sivertsen Broholm
Marius Sivertsen Broholm Attacker
7
Matias Fernandez Pardo
Matias Fernandez Pardo Attacker
8
Ethan Mbappé Lottin
Ethan Mbappé Lottin Attacker
20
Noah Edjouma
Noah Edjouma Attacker
35
Soriba Diaoune
Soriba Diaoune Attacker

CONCLUSION

LOSC Lille's blend of superior power, form, and league position gives them a clear upper hand against mid-table Paris at Stade Jean Bouin. Projections align with Lille's 49.4% implied edge, though home advantage could spark Paris resistance. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, Lille's overall metrics point to controlled possession and clinical finishing. Paris needs defensive solidity and quick counters to stay competitive, but Lille's momentum likely propels them to victory in this uneven matchup.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ligue 1 View all league clusters