Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Enea stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM

Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznań Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 3:30 PM

Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lech Poznań host Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Enea stadion. Domestically, Lech Poznań sit 1th in the table while Legia Warszawa are 11th. Power ranking favours Lech Poznań by 9.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Lech Poznań dominates structurally as 1st in the Ekstraklasa while Legia Warszawa languishes in 11th.
Form: Legia Warszawa nudges ahead in form score at 30.72 compared to Lech Poznań's 26.
Squad: Higher power score of 38.74 equips Lech Poznań with superior squad strength over Legia's 29.5.
Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team in this matchup.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable from the input data.
Set pieces: Low-confidence proxy data governs set piece evaluation for Lech Poznań and Legia Warszawa.
xVariable: xG unavailable per set pieces metadata for both squads.
Market: Projection split: Lech Poznań 46.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.6% (Δ+0%) | Legia Warszawa 27.8% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

N. Frederiksen

M. Papszun

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.22

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

17 - 11 - 20

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lech Poznań

46.62%

Draw

25.55%

Legia Warszawa

27.83%

Team Power Ranking

38.74

29.5

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lech Poznań

Legia Warszawa

Power Score

38.74

29.5

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score

Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lech Poznań Legia Warszawa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lech Poznań Lech Poznań Home

48 matches

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:14:56+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 03:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season

Stadium

Enea stadion

Capacity

42837

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

N. Frederiksen Coach

Squad ▼

Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper

Plamen Andreev Goalkeeper

Mateusz Pruchniewski Goalkeeper

Antonio Milić Defender

Robert Gumny Defender

Joel Vieira Pereira Defender

Alex Douglas Defender

João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho Defender

Mateusz Skrzypczak Defender

Michał Gurgul Defender

Wojciech Mońka Defender

Hubert Janyszka Defender

Radosław Murawski Midfielder

Filip Jagiełło Midfielder

Leo Bengtsson Midfielder

Pablo Rodríguez Delgado Midfielder

Patrik Wålemark Midfielder

Antoni Kozubal Midfielder

Timothy Ouma Midfielder

Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson Midfielder

Sammy Dudek Midfielder

Mikael Ishak Attacker

Ali Gholizadeh Attacker

Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera Attacker

Daniel Håkans Attacker

Taofeek Ismaheel Attacker

Mel Yannick Joel Agnero Attacker

Kornel Lisman Attacker

Kamil Jakóbczyk Attacker

Wojciech Szymczak Attacker

Manager ▼

M. Papszun Coach

Squad ▼

Gabriel Kobylak Goalkeeper

Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper

Kacper Tobiasz Goalkeeper

Artur Jędrzejczyk Defender

Rafał Augustyniak Defender

Radovan Pankov Defender

Kamil Piątkowski Defender

Jan Leszczyński Defender

Bartosz Kapustka Midfielder

Paweł Wszołek Midfielder

Vahan Bichakhchyan Midfielder

Petar Stojanović Midfielder

Joaquim Claude Gonçalves Araújo Midfielder

Damian Szymański Midfielder

Arkadiusz Reca Midfielder

Patryk Kun Midfielder

Rúben Gonçalo Silva Nascimento Vinagre Midfielder

Juergen Farid Elitim Sepúlveda Midfielder

Kacper Chodyna Midfielder

Ermal Krasniqi Midfielder

Kacper Urbanski Midfielder

Henrique Miguel Sousa Arreiol Midfielder

Samuel Kováčik Midfielder

Wojciech Urbański Midfielder

Pascal Mozie Midfielder

Jakub Żewłakow Midfielder

Antonio-Mirko Čolak Attacker

Jean Pierre Nsamé Attacker

Rafal Adamski Attacker

Mileta Rajovic Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lech Poznań holds the upper hand at home in Enea stadion, buoyed by top league position and 9.2-point power superiority against 11th-placed Legia Warszawa. Though Legia's form score of 30.72 slightly outpaces Lech's 26, overall metrics favor the hosts to dictate tempo. Absent set piece and efficiency insights amplify focus on fluid play and transitions. Projections assign Lech 46.6% likelihood, draw 25.6%, Legia 27.8%, pointing to probable home success. This clash tests Legia's grit versus Lech's command, potentially widening the gap at the summit or igniting a comeback trail.

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STANDINGS

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