Zenit vs Akhmat Grozny Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Gazprom Arena Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM

Premier League

Zenit ZSP

Akhmat Grozny AKH

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 27 Regular Season

Luiz Henrique - 11'

Aleksandr Sobolev - 8'

CONTEXT

Zenit St. Petersburg delivered a clinical performance to defeat Akhmat Grozny 2-0, securing all their goals in a dominant first half that ended 2-0. With 63% possession, Zenit controlled the tempo from the outset, pressing high and restricting Akhmat to minimal threats. The visitors, holding just 37% of the ball, struggled to penetrate a resolute defense, managing few clear opportunities. No red cards disrupted proceedings, allowing the game to flow smoothly into a second half where Zenit managed the contest professionally without further scoring. As the pre-designated stronger side, Zenit's victory highlighted a significant structural deviation of 100% in their favor, while efficiency remained in line with projections. This result underscores their tactical discipline and reinforces their competitive edge in the league standings.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 100% structural deviation favoring Zenit.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations for both teams.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Outcome perfectly aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations remained unevaluated owing to missing metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or major events influenced the result.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in the scoreline.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Bulanov

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Safjan

1st Assistant

D. Bereznov

2nd Assistant

A. Frolov

4th Official

S. Semak

S. Cherchesov

2.36

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.14

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

18 - 11 - 8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Zenit

Draw

Akhmat Grozny

Team Power Ranking

42.32

18.54

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Zenit

Akhmat Grozny

Power Score

42.32

18.54

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Zenit — Opponent-weighted form score

Akhmat Grozny — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Zenit

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Akhmat Grozny

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zenit ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Akhmat Grozny

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

23.49

40.68

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

40.68

23.49

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Zenit -1.89 Efficiency Index

Akhmat Grozny +1.89 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Zenit

Akhmat Grozny

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zenit ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Akhmat Grozny

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Zenit

Akhmat Grozny

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Zenit

Akhmat Grozny

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Zenit Akhmat Grozny

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Zenit

Akhmat Grozny

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

AKH had peak pressure around 81'.
ZSP started the game with stronger pressure.

ZSP Pressure AKH Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: AKH reached the top pressure at 81' (91.50).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zenit ZSP Home

37 matches

Akhmat Grozny AKH Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+31

Goal Difference

-31

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:07:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

16 D. Adamov

15 V. Karavaev

78 I. Diveev

33 M. Mota Filho

3 D. dos Santos Justino de Melo

5 W. Barrios Terán

8 M. Valle da Silva

11 L. Rosa da Silva

61 D. Kondakov

20 P. Silva dos Santos

7 A. Sobolev

1 V. Uljanov

8 M. Bogosavac

5 K. Cake

4 T. Ibishev

81 M. Sidorov

11 I. Silva Lima

17 E. dos Santos Cacintura

7 L. Sadulaev

19 S. Pryakhin

20 M. Samorodov

77 G. Melkadze

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Gazprom Arena

Capacity :

68000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Evgeni Bulanov

Dmitri Safjan

Denis Bereznov

Anton Frolov

Statistics

Possession

ZSP

60%

AKH

40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

2 Big Chances Created 0

3 Shots 2

56 Dangerous attacks 41

63 Possession 37

5 Corners 5

17 Free kicks 12

0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

104 Ball Safe 70

6 Goal Attempts 6

4 Substitutions 5

0 Injuries 2

2 Assists 0

19 Throwins 20

16 Successful Headers 16

40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35

6 Successful Dribbles 8

15 Dribble Attempts 23

9 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

125 Attacks 77

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 84

462 Successful Passes 256

533 Passes 306

60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

43 Long Passes 36

26 Successful Long Passes 13

Defensive

2 Saves 1

20 Tackles 17

2 Interceptions 19

59 Duels Won 49

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 5

21 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

11 Fouls 16

1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Evgeni Bulanov

Manager ▼

S. Semak Coach

Starting XI ▼

Denis Adamov Goalkeeper

7.03

Douglas Santos Defender

7.04

Vyacheslav Karavaev Defender

7.15

Nino Defender

7.07

Igor Diveev Defender

7.2

Wilmar Barrios Midfielder

6.96

Wendel Midfielder

7.09

Jhon Jhon

Midfielder73'

6.91

Luiz Henrique Midfielder

7.01

Pedro Midfielder

6.9

Vanja Drkusic

Defender82'

6.76

Daniil Kondakov Midfielder

6.55

Aleksandr Erokhin

Midfielder82'

6.61

Aleksandr Sobolev Attacker

6.96

Jhon Durán

Attacker73'

6.62

Substitutes ▼

Jhon Durán

Attacker73'

6.62

Jhon Jhon

Midfielder73'

6.91

Vanja Drkusic

Defender82'

6.76

Aleksandr Erokhin

Midfielder82'

6.61

Bench ▼

Evgeniy Latyshonok Goalkeeper

6.49

Bogdan Moskvichev Goalkeeper

Yuriy Gorshkov Defender

6.83

Arsen Adamov Defender

6.59

Nuraly Alip Defender

6.83

Román Vega Defender

6.89

Andrey Mostovoy Midfielder

6.83

Yaroslav Mikhailov Midfielder

Referee : Evgeni Bulanov