Anderlecht vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Lotto Park Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Anderlecht ADL
Versus
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 5 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In the Pro League Championship Round at Lotto Park, Anderlecht faces league leaders Union Saint-Gilloise in a pivotal 2025/2026 encounter. Union Saint-Gilloise arrives with a dominant power score of 34.64, eclipsing Anderlecht's 24.24 for a clear 10.4-point advantage, marking them as the stronger side. Their form score of 22.89 towers over Anderlecht's modest 10.78, reflecting sharper recent momentum. Sitting atop the standings in 1st place, Union Saint-Gilloise aims to widen the gap on 6th-placed Anderlecht. Detailed set-piece analysis remains elusive, with low-confidence proxy data and no xG available for attack or defense metrics on either team. Absent recent outing specifics, this home fixture tests Anderlecht's resilience against Union Saint-Gilloise's superiority in structure and momentum.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Union Saint-Gilloise holds a 10.4-point power advantage and leads the league in 1st place over Anderlecht's 6th.
  • Form: Union Saint-Gilloise's form score of 22.89 far exceeds Anderlecht's 10.78.
  • Squad: Union Saint-Gilloise rated stronger overall with higher power score of 34.64 versus Anderlecht's 24.24.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence proxies and no xG for both teams' attack and defense.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to lack of data add-on.
  • Market: Baseline split: Anderlecht 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Union Saint-Gilloise 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: D
Mechelen Rank: W
Gent Rank: W
Club Brugge Rank: L
Cercle Brugge Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: W
Mechelen Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Sint-Truiden Rank: W
Dender Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Anderlecht
0%
Draw
0%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.24
34.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Anderlecht
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
24.24
34.64
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Anderlecht Union Saint-Gilloise

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Anderlecht ADL Home
16 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
2
Wins
11
3
Draws
3
11
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
9
-17
Goal Difference
+17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Championship Round
Stadium
Lotto Park
Capacity
21500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
32
Justin Heekeren
Justin Heekeren Goalkeeper
73
Joachim Imbrechts
Joachim Imbrechts Goalkeeper
25
Thomas Foket
Thomas Foket Defender
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Defender
54
Killian Sardella
Killian Sardella Defender
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Defender
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Defender
3
Lucas Hey
Lucas Hey Defender
15
Mihajlo Ilić
Mihajlo Ilić Defender
7
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara Defender
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Defender
4
Mathys Angely
Mathys Angely Defender
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Midfielder
23
Mats Rits
Mats Rits Midfielder
70
Alexis Flips
Alexis Flips Midfielder
10
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren Midfielder
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Midfielder
13
N. Saliba
N. Saliba Midfielder
29
M. Stroeykens
M. Stroeykens Midfielder
78
Anas Tajaouart
Anas Tajaouart Midfielder
99
Ibrahim Kanate
Ibrahim Kanate Midfielder
74
Nathan De Cat
Nathan De Cat Midfielder
21
César Saúl Huerta Valera
César Saúl Huerta Valera Attacker
14
Danylo Sikan
Danylo Sikan Attacker
91
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini Attacker
77
Coba Gomes da Costa
Coba Gomes da Costa Attacker
9
Mihajlo Cvetković
Mihajlo Cvetković Attacker
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Attacker
22
Elyess Dao
Elyess Dao Attacker

Squad ▼

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
21
Jens Teunckens
Jens Teunckens Goalkeeper
1
Vic Chambaere
Vic Chambaere Goalkeeper
18
Giorgi Kavelashvili
Giorgi Kavelashvili Goalkeeper
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess Defender
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Defender
19
Guillaume François
Guillaume François Defender
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister Defender
48
Fedde Leysen
Fedde Leysen Defender
27
Louis Patris
Louis Patris Defender
3
Mamadou Thierno Barry
Mamadou Thierno Barry Defender
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Defender
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs Midfielder
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Midfielder
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Midfielder
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang Midfielder
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli Midfielder
6
Kamiel Van de Perre
Kamiel Van de Perre Midfielder
14
Ivan Pavlic
Ivan Pavlic Midfielder
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
30
Raul Alexander Florucz
Raul Alexander Florucz Attacker
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic Attacker
12
Promise Akinpelu
Promise Akinpelu Attacker
11
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho Attacker
7
Mohammed Gadafi Fuseini
Mohammed Gadafi Fuseini Attacker
13
Kevin José Rodríguez Cortéz
Kevin José Rodríguez Cortéz Attacker
20
Marc Giger
Marc Giger Attacker

CONCLUSION

Union Saint-Gilloise's edge in power, form, and standings positions them to control this Championship Round clash at Lotto Park. Anderlecht must leverage home advantage and disrupt transitions to counter the visitors' momentum. Sparse data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for surprises, but Union Saint-Gilloise's metrics suggest sustained pressure. Anderlecht's lower rankings highlight the challenge ahead, yet Lotto Park's atmosphere could ignite a response. Overall, superior structure favors the leaders in this analytical preview.

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