Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Rams Global Stadium Sun, 26 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Galatasaray GAL
Versus
Fenerbahçe FEN
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Rams Global Stadium. Domestically, Galatasaray sit 1th in the table while Fenerbahçe are 2th. Power ranking favours Fenerbahçe by 1.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fenerbahçe holds a 1.9-point power advantage with 39.96 score over Galatasaray's 38.1.
  • Form: Galatasaray leads in form score at 34.78 against Fenerbahçe's 31.11.
  • Squad: Galatasaray sit 1st in the league while Fenerbahçe occupy 2nd position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of recent outing details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG or goals metrics available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Galatasaray 41.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.3% (Δ+0%) | Fenerbahçe 29.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Galatasaray O. Buruk
O. Buruk
VS
Fenerbahçe D. Tedesco
D. Tedesco
2.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.29
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Kocaelispor Rank: D
Göztepe Rank: W
Trabzonspor Rank: L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 15 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Galatasaray
41.1%
Draw
29.33%
Away Fenerbahçe
29.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.1
39.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Power Score
38.1
39.96
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Galatasaray Fenerbahçe

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Galatasaray GAL Home
43 matches
Fenerbahçe FEN Away
Match Record
10
Wins
18
15
Draws
15
18
Losses
10
Goals
37
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
37
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
U. Çakır
1 U. Çakır
S. Boey
93 S. Boey
D. Sánchez Mina
6 D. Sánchez Mina
A. Bardakcı
42 A. Bardakcı
I. Jakobs
4 I. Jakobs
L. Torreira Di Pascua
34 L. Torreira Di Pascua
G. Gomes Sara
8 G. Gomes Sara
L. Sané
10 L. Sané
Y. Akgün
11 Y. Akgün
B. Yılmaz
53 B. Yılmaz
M. Icardi Rivero
9 M. Icardi Rivero
E. Santana de Moraes
31 E. Santana de Moraes
A. Brown
3 A. Brown
C. Söyüncü
4 C. Söyüncü
M. Škriniar
37 M. Škriniar
N. Cabral Semedo
27 N. Cabral Semedo
M. Guendouzi Olié
6 M. Guendouzi Olié
N. Kanté
17 N. Kanté
M. Aktürkoğlu
9 M. Aktürkoğlu
A. Souza Conceição
94 A. Souza Conceição
N. Dorgeles
45 N. Dorgeles
S. Cherif
26 S. Cherif

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Rams Global Stadium
Capacity
53978
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Uğurcan Çakır
Uğurcan Çakır Goalkeeper
7.53
9
Mauro Icardi
Mauro Icardi Centre Forward
7.05
11
Yunus Akgün
Yunus Akgün Attacking Midfield
7.21
42
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
Abdülkerim Bardakcı Left Back
7.05
4
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs Left Back
6.71
8
Gabriel Sara
Gabriel Sara Defensive Midfield
7.29
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz Left Wing
7.25
10
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Right Wing
7.27
6
Davinson Sánchez
Davinson Sánchez Right Back
7.01
34
Lucas Torreira
Lucas Torreira Defensive Midfield
7.05
93
Sacha Boey
Sacha Boey Right Back
6.76

Starting XI ▼

31
Ederson
Ederson Goalkeeper
6.81
26
Sidiki Chérif
Sidiki Chérif Centre Forward
6.54
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Left Back
6.91
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Defensive Midfield
7.3
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
Çağlar Söyüncü Left Back
6.96
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Left Wing
7.12
17
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Defensive Midfield
7.14
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar Right Back
7.06
94
Talisca
Talisca Attacking Midfield
7.32
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Right Back
6.9
45
Dorgeles Nene
Dorgeles Nene Right Wing
7.14

CONCLUSION

Galatasaray's superior form and home advantage at Rams Global Stadium position them as narrow favorites against a structurally stronger Fenerbahçe side. The power scores suggest Fenerbahçe's quality could shine through, but Galatasaray's league-leading status underscores their consistency. Without set piece or efficiency insights, the derby hinges on transitional execution and squad resilience in this evenly matched encounter. Expect a tight affair where small margins in open play decide supremacy, reinforcing the rivalry's reputation for drama and unpredictability.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super Lig View all league clusters