AC Milan vs Juventus Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Sun, 26 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
AC Milan MIL
Versus
Juventus JUV
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the iconic Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, AC Milan host Juventus in a high-stakes Serie A regular season encounter from the 2025/2026 campaign. The Rossoneri sit proudly in 2nd place, chasing the Scudetto, while Juventus lurk in 4th, harboring ambitions of a top-three finish. Juventus enter with a clear power advantage, boasting a 37.65 rating against Milan's 31.48—a 6.2-point edge signaling deeper squad quality and tactical cohesion. Form tilts further toward the visitors at 36.5 versus Milan's 22.89, hinting at momentum in Turin. Milan's home fortress could level the scales, but Juventus' structural superiority promises a tactical chess match. Lacking detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, this duel hinges on execution in open play and resilience under pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Juventus possess a 6.2-point power advantage with 37.65 over AC Milan's 31.48.
  • Form: Juventus lead in form scores at 36.5 compared to AC Milan's 22.89.
  • Squad: AC Milan hold 2nd in Serie A, with Juventus in 4th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available.
  • Transition: No transition metrics provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG not enabled, low confidence proxy used.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: AC Milan 33.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.2% (Δ+0%) | Juventus 36.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AC Milan M. Allegri
M. Allegri
VS
Juventus L. Spalletti
L. Spalletti
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.96
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Udinese Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Torino Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Inter Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: W
Atalanta Rank: W
Genoa Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: D
Udinese Rank: W
Pisa Rank: W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 13 - 25
25
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AC Milan
32.92%
Draw
30.24%
Away Juventus
36.84%

Movement

Changes since opening
AC Milan
-0.51%
Draw
+0.06%
Juventus
+0.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.48
37.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AC Milan
Juventus
Power Score
31.48
37.65
League Position
2
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score
Juventus — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AC Milan Juventus

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AC Milan MIL Home
48 matches
Juventus JUV Away
Match Record
10
Wins
25
13
Draws
13
25
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
44
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:44+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity
75817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
1
Pietro Terracciano
Pietro Terracciano Goalkeeper
96
Lorenzo Torriani
Lorenzo Torriani Goalkeeper
23
Fikayo Tomori
Fikayo Tomori Defender
2
Pervis Josué Estupiñán Tenorio
Pervis Josué Estupiñán Tenorio Defender
46
Matteo Gabbia
Matteo Gabbia Defender
31
Strahinja Pavlović
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
5
Koni De Winter
Koni De Winter Defender
33
Davide Bartesaghi
Davide Bartesaghi Defender
27
David Uyoyo Odogu
David Uyoyo Odogu Defender
24
Zachary Athekame
Zachary Athekame Defender
14
Luka Modrić
Luka Modrić Midfielder
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder
12
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
56
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder
19
Youssouf Fofana
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder
4
Samuele Ricci
Samuele Ricci Midfielder
30
Ardon Jasari
Ardon Jasari Midfielder
9
Niclas Füllkrug
Niclas Füllkrug Attacker
11
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Attacker
18
Christopher Nkunku
Christopher Nkunku Attacker
10
Rafael Alexandre Conceição Leão
Rafael Alexandre Conceição Leão Attacker
7
Santiago Tomás Giménez
Santiago Tomás Giménez Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Mattia Perin
Mattia Perin Goalkeeper
23
Carlo Pinsoglio
Carlo Pinsoglio Goalkeeper
16
Michele Di Gregorio
Michele Di Gregorio Goalkeeper
6
Lloyd Kelly
Lloyd Kelly Defender
3
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento
Gleison Bremer Silva Nascimento Defender
15
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa
Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa Defender
2
Emil Holm
Emil Holm Defender
27
Andrea Cambiaso
Andrea Cambiaso Defender
32
Juan David Cabal Murillo
Juan David Cabal Murillo Defender
4
Federico Gatti
Federico Gatti Defender
18
Filip Kostić
Filip Kostić Midfielder
8
Teun Koopmeiners
Teun Koopmeiners Midfielder
5
Manuel Locatelli
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder
22
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
19
Khéphren Thuram-Ulien
Khéphren Thuram-Ulien Midfielder
21
Fabio Miretti
Fabio Miretti Midfielder
17
Vasilije Adžić
Vasilije Adžić Midfielder
13
Jeremie Boga
Jeremie Boga Attacker
14
Arkadiusz Milik
Arkadiusz Milik Attacker
9
Dušan Vlahović
Dušan Vlahović Attacker
20
Lois Openda
Lois Openda Attacker
11
Edon Zhegrova
Edon Zhegrova Attacker
30
Jonathan David
Jonathan David Attacker
7
Francisco Fernandes Conceição
Francisco Fernandes Conceição Attacker
10
Kenan Yildiz
Kenan Yildiz Attacker

CONCLUSION

Juventus arrive as the marginally stronger outfit, armed with superior power and form metrics that underscore their quality edge over AC Milan. Yet, the San Siro's roar could ignite the hosts, who remain Scudetto contenders in 2nd. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the battle may unfold in fluid transitions and midfield control. Expect a cagey affair where Juventus' depth tests Milan's resolve, but home passion keeps it competitive. The visitors' 6.2-point lead suggests slight favoritism, though Milan's position demands respect in this evenly poised Serie A showdown.

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