Villarreal vs Celta de Vigo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de la Cerámica Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga
Villarreal VIL
Versus
Celta de Vigo CEL
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Villarreal host Celta de Vigo at Estadio de la Cerámica in La Liga's 2025/2026 regular season, a matchup pitting 3rd-placed hosts against 6th-placed visitors. The Yellow Submarine command a 5.1-point power advantage (27.74 vs 22.65), underscoring their structural dominance and home strength. Form favors Villarreal too, with a 23.61 score dwarfing Celta's 13.72, signaling momentum in their campaign. Absent recent outing details or form records, intrigue centers on Villarreal's ability to convert superiority into goals amid Celta's potential for resilient counters. Set-piece metrics remain elusive, with low-confidence proxies and no xG data available, leaving defenses untested in those phases. Projections reflect Villarreal's edge at 49%, draw 26.5%, Celta 24.6%, all deltas neutral, setting up a compelling battle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Villarreal possess a 5.1-point power advantage and higher league position at 3rd versus Celta de Vigo's 6th.
  • Form: Villarreal's form score of 23.61 significantly outstrips Celta de Vigo's 13.72.
  • Squad: Villarreal's squad power score of 27.74 exceeds Celta de Vigo's 22.65.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variable data not available due to add-on absence.
  • Market: Projection split: Villarreal 49% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.5% (Δ+0%) | Celta de Vigo 24.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Villarreal M. García Toral
M. García Toral
VS
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
1.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: D
Athletic Club Rank: W
Girona Rank: L
Real Sociedad Rank: W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: D
Elche Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: D
Real Oviedo Rank: L
Valencia Rank: W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: L
Real Betis Rank: D
Real Madrid Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 7 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Villarreal
48.98%
Draw
26.47%
Away Celta de Vigo
24.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.74
22.65
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Villarreal
Celta de Vigo
Power Score
27.74
22.65
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Villarreal — Opponent-weighted form score
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Villarreal Celta de Vigo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Villarreal VIL Home
31 matches
Celta de Vigo CEL Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
7
Draws
7
11
Losses
13
Goals
51
Goals Scored
41
41
Goals Conceded
51
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:03:58+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de la Cerámica
Capacity
23500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Diego José Conde Alcolado
Diego José Conde Alcolado Goalkeeper
25
Arnau Tenas Ureña
Arnau Tenas Ureña Goalkeeper
1
Luiz Lúcio Reis Júnior
Luiz Lúcio Reis Júnior Goalkeeper
24
Alfonso Pedraza Sag
Alfonso Pedraza Sag Defender
8
Juan Marcos Foyth
Juan Marcos Foyth Defender
2
Logan Costa
Logan Costa Defender
23
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez Defender
4
Rafael Marín Zamora
Rafael Marín Zamora Defender
5
Willy Kambwala
Willy Kambwala Defender
15
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González Defender
12
Renato Palma Veiga
Renato Palma Veiga Defender
3
Alexander Freeman
Alexander Freeman Defender
6
Pau Navarro Badenes
Pau Navarro Badenes Defender
10
Daniel Parejo Muñoz
Daniel Parejo Muñoz Midfielder
16
Thomas Teye Partey
Thomas Teye Partey Midfielder
14
Santiago Comesaña Veiga
Santiago Comesaña Veiga Midfielder
18
Pape Gueye
Pape Gueye Midfielder
37
Carlos Macià Coves
Carlos Macià Coves Midfielder
22
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez
Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez Attacker
19
Nicolas Pépé
Nicolas Pépé Attacker
7
Gerard Moreno Balaguero
Gerard Moreno Balaguero Attacker
11
Alfonso González Martínez
Alfonso González Martínez Attacker
9
Georges Mikautadze
Georges Mikautadze Attacker
17
Tajon Buchanan
Tajon Buchanan Attacker
20
Alberto Moleiro González
Alberto Moleiro González Attacker
33
Pau Cabanes De La Torre
Pau Cabanes De La Torre Attacker
21
Tani Oluwaseyi
Tani Oluwaseyi Attacker
32
Hugo López Cortés
Hugo López Cortés Attacker

Squad ▼

13
Ionuț Andrei Radu
Ionuț Andrei Radu Goalkeeper
1
Iván Villar Martínez
Iván Villar Martínez Goalkeeper
25
Marc Vicente Vidal Girona
Marc Vicente Vidal Girona Goalkeeper
20
Marcos Alonso Mendoza
Marcos Alonso Mendoza Defender
21
Mihailo Ristić
Mihailo Ristić Defender
2
Carl Starfelt
Carl Starfelt Defender
4
Joseph Aidoo
Joseph Aidoo Defender
3
Óscar Mingueza García
Óscar Mingueza García Defender
5
Sergio Carreira Vilariño
Sergio Carreira Vilariño Defender
14
Álvaro Núñez Cobo
Álvaro Núñez Cobo Defender
12
Manuel Fernández Arroyo
Manuel Fernández Arroyo Defender
17
Javier Rueda García
Javier Rueda García Defender
24
Carlos Domínguez Cáceres
Carlos Domínguez Cáceres Defender
29
Yoel Lago Amil
Yoel Lago Amil Defender
32
Javier Rodríguez Galiano
Javier Rodríguez Galiano Defender
15
Matías Vecino Falero
Matías Vecino Falero Midfielder
6
Moriba Kourouma Kourouma
Moriba Kourouma Kourouma Midfielder
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
16
Miguel Román González
Miguel Román González Midfielder
8
Fernando López González
Fernando López González Midfielder
10
Iago Aspas Juncal
Iago Aspas Juncal Attacker
11
Franco Emanuel Cervi
Franco Emanuel Cervi Attacker
7
Borja Iglesias Quintas
Borja Iglesias Quintas Attacker
9
Ferran Jutlgà Blanc
Ferran Jutlgà Blanc Attacker
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg Attacker
18
Pablo Durán Fernández
Pablo Durán Fernández Attacker
23
Hugo Álvarez Antúnez
Hugo Álvarez Antúnez Attacker
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
Jones El-Abdellaoui Attacker

CONCLUSION

Villarreal's home edge and superior power, form, and standings position them strongly against Celta de Vigo's challenge. The 5.1-point gap suggests control for the hosts, who can dictate tempo at Estadio de la Cerámica. Celta, buoyed by 6th place, may target transitions, but lack of set-piece clarity adds unpredictability. Projections reinforce Villarreal's favoritism without deviation, pointing to a likely victory if they capitalize on metrics. Midfield supremacy and clinical finishing will prove decisive in this La Liga encounter.

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