Ceuta vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Ceuta Ceuta
Versus
Racing Santander RAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the sun-baked Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta welcomes league leaders Racing Santander for a pivotal La Liga 2 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Racing Santander dominates with a power score of 32.07 against Ceuta's modest 21.79, translating to a clear 10.3-point advantage that underscores their superior structural standing. Atop the table in first place, the visitors contrast sharply with Ceuta's 12th position, while their form score of 24.22 outshines the hosts' 12.89, hinting at sustained momentum. Lacking recent outing details, both sides enter on merit of these metrics alone. Set-piece insights remain elusive due to unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies, shifting emphasis to raw power and form disparities. Ceuta's home turf offers faint hope, yet Racing Santander's pedigree positions them as overwhelming favorites in this mismatch.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Racing Santander enjoys a 10.3-point power advantage and leads the league in first place over Ceuta's 12th spot.
  • Form: Visitors showcase stronger recent form at 24.22 compared to Ceuta's 12.89 score.
  • Squad: Ceuta occupies 12th in La Liga 2 standings while Racing Santander tops the table at 1st.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both Ceuta and Racing Santander.
  • Transition: Transition data absent in current analysis for the matchup.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Ceuta 26.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Racing Santander 48.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ceuta J. Romero Gil
J. Romero Gil
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.28
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.84
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: D
Real Sociedad II Rank: D
SD Eibar Rank: L
Burgos Rank: D
Cádiz Rank: W
Leganés Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Almería Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Real Zaragoza Rank: L
Albacete Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ceuta
26.54%
Draw
24.6%
Away Racing Santander
48.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.79
32.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ceuta
Racing Santander
Power Score
21.79
32.07
League Position
12
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ceuta Racing Santander

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ceuta Ceuta Home
1 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:03:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
G. Vallejo Delgado
13 G. Vallejo Delgado
A. Caparrós Guzmán
4 A. Caparrós Guzmán
C. Hernández Alarcón
6 C. Hernández Alarcón
J. Matos García
3 J. Matos García
C. Redruello Nimo
16 C. Redruello Nimo
A. Tuhami
23 A. Tuhami
Y. Bodiger
14 Y. Bodiger
M. Illescas Montaño
12 M. Illescas Montaño
A. Ahmed Ahmed
7 A. Ahmed Ahmed
M. Fernández Sánchez
9 M. Fernández Sánchez
K. De La Fuente
18 K. De La Fuente
Lars Eriksson
13 Lars Eriksson
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
J. Castro Urdín
5 J. Castro Urdín
J. Hernando Riol
4 J. Hernando Riol
P. Ramón Parra
21 P. Ramón Parra
G. Puerta Molano
19 G. Puerta Molano
M. Gueye
14 M. Gueye
I. Vicente Elorduy
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Guillermo Vallejo
Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper
6.82
18
Konrad de la Fuente
Konrad de la Fuente Attacker
6.69
7
Aisar Ahmed
Aisar Ahmed Attacker
6.67
9
Marcos Fernández
Marcos Fernández Centre Forward
6.9
16
Carlos Redru
Carlos Redru Left Back
6.35
23
Anuar
Anuar Central Midfield
6.74
4
Albert Caparrós
Albert Caparrós Right Back
6.57
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Central Midfield
6.62
3
José Matos
José Matos Left Back
6.71
6
Carlos Hernández
Carlos Hernández Right Back
6.83
12
Marino Illescas
Marino Illescas Central Midfield
6.87

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.62
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Centre Forward
6.94
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Left Wing
7.45
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Defensive Midfield
6.94
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Right Back
6.68
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Left Back
6.69
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Right Wing
7.29
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Defensive Midfield
6.69
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Right Back
6.76
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Left Back
6.79
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Attacking Midfield
7.05

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander's commanding power edge, top-table position, and superior form make them heavy favorites against mid-table Ceuta in this La Liga 2 fixture. Hosting at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube provides Ceuta some psychological boost, but statistical gaps in form (24.22 vs 12.89) and overall strength (32.07 power score) loom large. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece edges, the visitors' momentum should prevail, likely securing an away victory in a contest defined by hierarchy rather than surprises. Expect Racing Santander to extend their lead.

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