Catanzaro vs Spezia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo Sat, 25 Apr - 10:30 AM

Serie B

Catanzaro CAT

Versus

Spezia SPE

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 10:30 AM

Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Catanzaro hosts Spezia at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in a Serie B regular season fixture for 2025/2026. The Giallorossi, sitting pretty in 5th place, hold a commanding power score of 26.04 compared to Spezia's 14.88, giving them an 11.2-point edge and marking them as the stronger team. Form tells a similar story, with Catanzaro's 17.5 rating towering over Spezia's meager 4.11, highlighting the hosts' momentum against the visitors' struggles in 20th position. Home advantage at this Calabrian fortress could prove decisive, as Catanzaro aims to solidify their promotion push while Spezia battles relegation woes. Detailed breakdowns on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain elusive due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies, but the structural disparities point to a favorable setup for the hosts.

TL;DR

Structural: Catanzaro possesses a 11.2-point power advantage over Spezia and occupies 5th place versus 20th.
Form: Catanzaro's form score of 17.5 far exceeds Spezia's 4.11.
Squad: Catanzaro's higher power score reflects superior squad strength compared to Spezia.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy data and no xG available for Catanzaro or Spezia.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
Market: Baseline split: Catanzaro 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Spezia 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

A. Aquilani

VS

L. D'Angelo

1.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.04

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

2

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

2 - 2 - 3

3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Catanzaro

0%

Draw

0%

Spezia

0%

Team Power Ranking

26.04

14.88

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Catanzaro

Spezia

Power Score

26.04

14.88

League Position

5

20

Global Rank

-

-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score

Spezia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Catanzaro Spezia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Catanzaro CAT Home

7 matches

Spezia SPE Away

Match Record

2

Wins

3

2

Draws

2

3

Losses

2

Goals

6

Goals Scored

6

6

Goals Conceded

6

0

Goal Difference

0

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T02:03:21+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 10:30 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Capacity

14650

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

A. Aquilani Coach

Squad ▼

22

Mirko Pigliacelli Goalkeeper

1

Christian Marietta Goalkeeper

99

Edoardo Borrelli Goalkeeper

23

Nicolo Brighenti Defender

4

Matias Antonini Lui Defender

84

Tommaso Cassandro Defender

2

Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves Defender

26

Bruno Verrengia Defender

33

Mario Paura Defender

6

Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco Defender

5

Ervin Bashi Defender

28

Rémi Oudin Midfielder

10

Jacopo Petriccione Midfielder

20

Simone Pontisso Midfielder

21

Marco Pompetti Midfielder

98

Davide Buglio Midfielder

30

Gabriele Alesi Midfielder

27

Costantino Favasuli Midfielder

80

Alphadjo Cisse Midfielder

62

Ruggero Frosinini Midfielder

14

Mattia Liberali Midfielder

32

Fabio Rispoli Midfielder

77

Marco D'Alessandro Attacker

94

Federico Di Francesco Attacker

9

Pietro Iemmello Attacker

39

N'Dri Philippe Koffi Attacker

8

Filippo Pittarello Attacker

19

Patrick Amoako Nuamah Attacker

Manager ▼

L. D'Angelo Coach

Squad ▼

1

Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr Goalkeeper

22

Boris Radunović Goalkeeper

16

Leonardo Loria Goalkeeper

12

Diego Mascardi Goalkeeper

55

Petko Hristov Defender

37

Aleš Matějů Defender

32

Luca Vignali Defender

17

Leonardo Sernicola Defender

11

Pietro Beruatto Defender

4

Marco Ruggero Defender

31

Giuseppe Aurelio Defender

94

Giovanni Bonfanti Defender

24

Andrea Bertoncini Defender

8

Ádám Nagy Midfielder

5

Mattia Valoti Midfielder

29

Francesco Cassata Midfielder

6

Alessandro Bellemo Midfielder

25

Filippo Bandinelli Midfielder

14

Szymon Żurkowski Midfielder

70

Emanuele Adamo Midfielder

19

Hamse Shagaxle Midfielder

60

Alessandro Gianni Romano Midfielder

34

Cristian Comotto Midfielder

10

Gianluca Lapadula Attacker

20

Giuseppe Di Serio Attacker

9

Gabriele Artistico Attacker

90

Laurs Skjellerup Attacker

99

Vanja Vlahović Attacker

CONCLUSION

Catanzaro approaches this home clash with every metric in their favor, from superior power ratings and league standing to dominant form scores. Spezia's bottom-table position and weak recent showings expose clear vulnerabilities, particularly on the road. While granular insights into set pieces, efficiency, and transitions are limited by data gaps, the hosts' overall edge suggests control and chance creation. Expect Catanzaro to press their structural superiority, likely securing a comfortable victory to boost their top-half ambitions in Serie B.