Fulham vs Aston Villa Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, England

Craven Cottage Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM

Premier League

Fulham FUL

Aston Villa AVL

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM

Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fulham host Aston Villa in Premier League (Regular Season) at Craven Cottage. Domestically, Fulham sit 12th in the table while Aston Villa are 4th. Power ranking favours Aston Villa by 15.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Aston Villa possesses a clear 15.5-point power advantage over Fulham.
Form: Fulham outperforms Aston Villa in recent form, scoring 13.28 to their 10.11.
Squad: Aston Villa occupies 4th in the league table, ahead of Fulham's 12th spot.
Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team in this matchup.
Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to missing advanced statistics.
Set pieces: Set piece xG unavailable with low confidence and proxy reliance for both sides.
xVariable: xVariable assessment impossible without underlying xG data.
Market: Baseline split: Fulham 35.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Aston Villa 38% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Saraiva Da Silva

U. Emery Etxegoien

1.48

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.76

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 11 - 19

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Fulham

35.49%

Draw

26.56%

Aston Villa

37.95%

Team Power Ranking

20.73

36.23

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Fulham

Aston Villa

Power Score

20.73

36.23

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score

Aston Villa — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham Aston Villa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home

41 matches

Aston Villa AVL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-15

Goal Difference

+15

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-18T02:03:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium

Craven Cottage

Capacity

25700

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Saraiva Da Silva Coach

Squad ▼

Bernd Leno Goalkeeper

Benjamin Lecomte Goalkeeper

Kouassi Ryan Sessegnon Defender

Joachim Andersen Defender

Kenny Tete Defender

Timothy Castagne Defender

Issa Diop Defender

Calvin Bassey Defender

Antonee Robinson Defender

Jorge Cuenca Barreno Defender

Harrison Reed Midfielder

Tom Cairney Midfielder

Sander Berge Midfielder

Saša Lukić Midfielder

Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder

Joshua King Midfielder

Alex Iwobi Attacker

Harry Wilson Attacker

Raúl Alonso Jiménez Rodríguez Attacker

Samuel Chimerenka Chukwueze Attacker

Oscar Bobb Attacker

Rodrigo Muniz Carvalho Attacker

Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo Attacker

Jonah Kusi-Asare Attacker

Manager ▼

U. Emery Etxegoien Coach

Squad ▼

Damián Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper

Marco Bizot Goalkeeper

Tyrone Mings Defender

Matty Cash Defender

Ezri Konsa Ngoyo Defender

Lucas Digne Defender

Victor Nilsson Lindelöf Defender

Pau Francisco Torres Defender

Ian Maatsen Defender

Andrés García Robledo Defender

Ross Barkley Midfielder

Youri Tielemans Midfielder

Boubacar Kamara Midfielder

John McGinn Midfielder

Emiliano Buendía Midfielder

Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo Midfielder

Morgan Rogers Midfielder

Amadou Zeund Georges Mvom Onana Midfielder

Harvey Elliot Midfielder

Lamar Bogarde Midfielder

Kevin Oghenetega Tamaraebi Bakumo-Abraham Attacker

Ollie Watkins Attacker

Leon Bailey Butler Attacker

Jadon Sancho Attacker

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Aston Villa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Aston Villa a 15.5-point edge. External projection is Fulham 35.5%, draw 26.6%, and Aston Villa 38%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT