Rostov vs Orenburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Rostov Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Rostov FCR
Versus
Orenburg Orenburg
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rostov hosts Orenburg at the Rostov Arena in a key Premier League regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 10th in the standings, Rostov wields a commanding power score of 17.67 against Orenburg's 13.49, yielding a 4.2-point advantage that underscores their status as the stronger outfit. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Rostov's 11.39 rating eclipsing Orenburg's modest 6.83. Lacking recent outing details or granular form records, the preview hinges on these aggregates. Set-piece analysis reveals low-confidence proxies with no xG data available, limiting insights into dead-ball prowess. Orenburg, mired in 15th, faces a stern test against Rostov's home fortitude in this mid-table versus survival scrap.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rostov possesses a 4.2-point power advantage over Orenburg.
  • Form: Rostov's form score stands at 11.39, surpassing Orenburg's 6.83.
  • Squad: Rostov ranks 10th in the league while Orenburg sits 15th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data and no xG.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Rostov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Orenburg 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rostov J. Alba Cabello
J. Alba Cabello
VS
Orenburg I. Akhmetzyanov
I. Akhmetzyanov
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
CSKA Moskva Rank: D
Sochi Rank: L
Spartak Moskva Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: W
Akhmat Grozny Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: D
Lokomotiv Moskva Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
Dinamo Moskva Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: L
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rostov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Orenburg
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.67
13.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rostov
Orenburg
Power Score
17.67
13.49
League Position
10
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Rostov Opponent-weighted form score
Orenburg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rostov Orenburg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rostov FCR Home
13 matches
Orenburg Orenburg Away
Match Record
7
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
7
Goals
16
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
16
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:03:23+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Rostov Arena
Capacity
15840
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Hidajet Hankič
Hidajet Hankič Goalkeeper
1
Rustam Yatimov
Rustam Yatimov Goalkeeper
71
Daniil Odoevskiy
Daniil Odoevskiy Goalkeeper
78
Dmitriy Chistyakov
Dmitriy Chistyakov Defender
28
Evgeny Chernov
Evgeny Chernov Defender
5
Danila Prokhin
Danila Prokhin Defender
40
Ilya Vakhaniya
Ilya Vakhaniya Defender
3
Oumar Sako
Oumar Sako Defender
87
Andrey Langovich
Andrey Langovich Defender
4
Viktor Melekhin
Viktor Melekhin Defender
34
Eiad El Askalny
Eiad El Askalny Defender
22
David Semenchuk
David Semenchuk Defender
67
German Ignatov
German Ignatov Defender
59
Nikita Babakin
Nikita Babakin Defender
19
Khoren Bayramyan
Khoren Bayramyan Midfielder
18
Konstantin Kuchaev
Konstantin Kuchaev Midfielder
8
Alexey Mironov
Alexey Mironov Midfielder
10
Kirill Shchetinin
Kirill Shchetinin Midfielder
62
Ivan Komarov
Ivan Komarov Midfielder
58
Daniil Shantaliy
Daniil Shantaliy Midfielder
57
Ilya Zhbanov
Ilya Zhbanov Midfielder
69
Egor Golenkov
Egor Golenkov Attacker
99
Timur Suleymanov
Timur Suleymanov Attacker
Stepan Melnikov
Stepan Melnikov Attacker
9
Mohammad Mohebi
Mohammad Mohebi Attacker
7
Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos
Ronaldo Cesar Soares dos Santos Attacker
91
Anton Shamonin
Anton Shamonin Attacker
17
Ibraheem Mahfus Ajasa
Ibraheem Mahfus Ajasa Attacker

Squad

88
Maksim Rudakov
Maksim Rudakov Goalkeeper
99
Nikolay Sysuev
Nikolay Sysuev Goalkeeper
1
Bogdan Ovsyannikov
Bogdan Ovsyannikov Goalkeeper
95
Andrey Khodanovich
Andrey Khodanovich Goalkeeper
18
Fahd Moufi
Fahd Moufi Defender
5
Aleksey Tataev
Aleksey Tataev Defender
3
Danila Vedernikov
Danila Vedernikov Defender
26
Emil Tsenov
Emil Tsenov Defender
4
Danila Khotulev
Danila Khotulev Defender
6
Jhon Alexander Palacios Santos
Jhon Alexander Palacios Santos Defender
38
Artem Kasimov
Artem Kasimov Defender
32
Alexis Javier Cantero Fernandez
Alexis Javier Cantero Fernandez Defender
2
Stanislav Poroykov
Stanislav Poroykov Defender
20
Dmitry Rybchinsky
Dmitry Rybchinsky Midfielder
59
Tigran Avanesian
Tigran Avanesian Midfielder
57
Evgeny Bolotov
Evgeny Bolotov Midfielder
22
Pavel Gorelov
Pavel Gorelov Midfielder
37
Eduardo Santos Queiroz
Eduardo Santos Queiroz Midfielder
21
Damián Puebla
Damián Puebla Midfielder
27
Renat Golybin
Renat Golybin Midfielder
30
Gedeon Guzina
Gedeon Guzina Attacker
9
Maksim Savelyev
Maksim Savelyev Attacker
78
Ruslan Kul
Ruslan Kul Attacker
11
Stepan Oganesyan
Stepan Oganesyan Attacker
19
Alexandre de Jesus Jeruzalem Júnior
Alexandre de Jesus Jeruzalem Júnior Attacker
65
Ivan Gulko
Ivan Gulko Attacker
7
Feyttullah Gürlük
Feyttullah Gürlük Attacker
16
Jordhy Thompson
Jordhy Thompson Attacker
29
Anas El Mahraoui
Anas El Mahraoui Attacker
33
Irakli Kvekveskiri
Irakli Kvekveskiri Coach

CONCLUSION

Rostov enters as the clear frontrunner, armed with superior power ratings and form to dominate Orenburg at home. The 4.2-point edge and higher table position position the hosts to exploit visitor frailties evident in their 15th-place perch. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency breakdowns, Rostov's aggregate strengths should prevail in possession and chance creation. Orenburg must summon a defensive masterclass to counter the onslaught, but Rostov's momentum points to a comfortable victory that bolsters their mid-table ambitions while deepening the guests' relegation worries.

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