Parma vs Pisa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Ennio Tardini Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Parma PRM
Versus
Pisa PIS
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Parma host Pisa in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Domestically, Parma sit 14th in the table while Pisa are 20th. Power ranking favours Parma by 9.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Parma possesses a 9.7-point power advantage hosting at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
  • Form: Parma's form score of 15.56 outpaces Pisa's 5.56 markedly.
  • Squad: League positions place Parma 14th ahead of Pisa in 20th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency statistics available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece details absent owing to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG variables not provided for this fixture.
  • Market: Baseline split: Parma 46.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.2% (Δ+0%) | Pisa 24.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Parma C. Antón Cuesta
C. Antón Cuesta
VS
Pisa O. Hiljemark
O. Hiljemark
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.56
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Udinese Rank: W
Napoli Rank: D
Lazio Rank: D
Cremonese Rank: L
Torino Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: L
Roma Rank: L
Torino Rank: L
Como Rank: L
Cagliari Rank: W
Juventus Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Parma
46.7%
Draw
29.19%
Away Pisa
24.11%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.73
12.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Parma
Pisa
Power Score
21.73
12.03
League Position
14
20
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Parma Opponent-weighted form score
Pisa Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Parma Pisa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Parma PRM Home
10 matches
Pisa PIS Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
4
Goals
10
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
10
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:03:44+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
Z. Suzuki
31 Z. Suzuki
A. Circati
39 A. Circati
M. Troilo
37 M. Troilo
N. Ndiaye
3 N. Ndiaye
E. Del Prato
15 E. Del Prato
A. Bernabe Garcia
10 A. Bernabe Garcia
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
41 H. Nicolussi Caviglia
M. Keita
16 M. Keita
E. Valeri
14 E. Valeri
G. Strefezza Rebelato
7 G. Strefezza Rebelato
N. Elphege
23 N. Elphege
A. Šemper
1 A. Šemper
S. Canestrelli
5 S. Canestrelli
A. Caracciolo
4 A. Caracciolo
A. Calabresi
33 A. Calabresi
S. Angori
3 S. Angori
F. Loyola
35 F. Loyola
M. Aebischer
20 M. Aebischer
E. Akinsanmiro
14 E. Akinsanmiro
I. Touré
15 I. Touré
R. Durosinmi
17 R. Durosinmi
S. Moreo
32 S. Moreo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity
27906
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

31
Zion Suzuki
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper
6.92
14
Emanuele Valeri
Emanuele Valeri Midfielder
6.82
15
Enrico Delprato
Enrico Delprato Midfielder
6.7
7
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza Attacker
7.1
23
Nesta Elphege
Nesta Elphege Attacker
6.78
3
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye Left Back
6.53
10
Adrián Bernabé
Adrián Bernabé Central Midfield
7.1
39
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Right Back
6.89
16
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita Central Midfield
6.83
37
Mariano Troilo
Mariano Troilo Centre Back
6.8
41
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Central Midfield
6.65

Starting XI

1
Adrian Semper
Adrian Semper Goalkeeper
6.92
15
Idrissa Touré
Idrissa Touré Midfielder
6.72
3
Samuele Angori
Samuele Angori Midfielder
6.75
17
Rafiu Durosinmi
Rafiu Durosinmi Attacker
6.49
32
Stefano Moreo
Stefano Moreo Attacker
6.91
14
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro Central Midfield
6.79
4
Antonio Caracciolo
Antonio Caracciolo Centre Back
6.72
5
Simone Canestrelli
Simone Canestrelli Left Back
6.64
20
Michel Aebischer
Michel Aebischer Central Midfield
6.85
33
Arturo Calabresi
Arturo Calabresi Right Back
6.52
35
Felipe Loyola
Felipe Loyola Central Midfield
6.47

CONCLUSION

Parma approaches this Serie A home game versus Pisa with compelling strengths in power rating, recent form, and table standing. The 9.7-point edge underscores their dominance at Stadio Ennio Tardini, where fan support amplifies advantages. Pisa's 20th-place position and inferior 5.56 form score signal challenges ahead. Although set piece and efficiency data prove elusive, comprehensive metrics favor Parma decisively. Hosts likely dictate tempo, exploiting disparities for a positive result that aids mid-table progress while hindering Pisa's survival bid.

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