Reggiana vs Palermo Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Reggiana Reggiana
Versus
Palermo PAL
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Reggiana host Palermo in Serie B (Regular Season) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. Domestically, Reggiana sit 20th in the table while Palermo are 4th. Power ranking favours Palermo by 16.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Palermo enjoy a 16.9-point power advantage over 20th-placed Reggiana, who host 4th-placed visitors.
  • Form: Palermo's form score of 26.61 towers over Reggiana's 10.67.
  • Squad: Palermo's squad rates at 32.09 power, far exceeding Reggiana's 15.16.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxies used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for set pieces and overall performance.
  • Market: Reggiana 15.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Palermo 59.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Reggiana P. Bisoli
P. Bisoli
VS
Palermo F. Inzaghi
F. Inzaghi
0.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.93
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Calcio Padova Rank: L
Carrarese Rank: W
Pescara Rank: L
Virtus Entella Rank: L
Monza Rank: D
Bari 1908 Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cesena Rank: W
Frosinone Rank: D
Avellino Rank: W
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Juve Stabia Rank: D
Monza Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Reggiana
15.85%
Draw
24.6%
Away Palermo
59.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.16
32.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Reggiana
Palermo
Power Score
15.16
32.09
League Position
20
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Reggiana — Opponent-weighted form score
Palermo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Reggiana Palermo

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Reggiana Reggiana Home
6 matches
Palermo PAL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
8
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:03:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Micai
1 A. Micai
L. Libutti
17 L. Libutti
F. Vicari
34 F. Vicari
M. Vanelli Lusuardi
47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi
S. Bonetti
43 S. Bonetti
M. Bertagnoli
26 M. Bertagnoli
T. Reinhart
16 T. Reinhart
K. Bozhanaj
10 K. Bozhanaj
M. Lambourde
93 M. Lambourde
M. Portanova
90 M. Portanova
C. Gondo
11 C. Gondo
A. Gomis
1 A. Gomis
P. Ceccaroni
32 P. Ceccaroni
M. Bani
13 M. Bani
N. Pierozzi
27 N. Pierozzi
T. Augello
3 T. Augello
F. Ranocchia
10 F. Ranocchia
J. Segre
8 J. Segre
R. Muati Modesto
18 R. Muati Modesto
A. Palumbo
5 A. Palumbo
J. Le Douaron
21 J. Le Douaron
J. Pohjanpalo
20 J. Pohjanpalo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Capacity
21584
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Alessandro Micai
Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper
6.84
90
Manolo Portanova
Manolo Portanova Midfielder
6.92
93
Mathis Lambourde
Mathis Lambourde Midfielder
6.61
11
Cedric Gondo
Cedric Gondo Centre Forward
6.84
26
Massimo Bertagnoli
Massimo Bertagnoli Central Midfield
6.74
34
Francesco Vicari
Francesco Vicari Right Back
6.67
43
Simone Bonetti
Simone Bonetti Left Back
6.48
47
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi Left Back
6.66
10
Kleis Bozhanaj
Kleis Bozhanaj Central Midfield
6.6
16
Tobías Reinhart
Tobías Reinhart Central Midfield
7.03
17
Lorenzo Libutti
Lorenzo Libutti Right Back
6.56

Starting XI ▼

1
Alfred Gomis
Alfred Gomis Goalkeeper
6.73
5
Antonio Palumbo
Antonio Palumbo Midfielder
7.17
3
Tommaso Augello
Tommaso Augello Midfielder
7.11
18
Rui Modesto
Rui Modesto Midfielder
6.36
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
Jérémy Le Douaron Midfielder
6.72
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Joel Pohjanpalo Centre Forward
7.23
27
Niccolò Pierozzi
Niccolò Pierozzi Right Back
6.9
10
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia Central Midfield
7.29
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
Pietro Ceccaroni Left Back
7.02
8
Jacopo Segre
Jacopo Segre Central Midfield
6.86
13
Mattia Bani
Mattia Bani Centre Back
7.22

CONCLUSION

Palermo arrive as overwhelming favorites, armed with superior power, form, and league standing to overpower struggling Reggiana. The hosts' lowly position demands a defensive masterclass and opportunistic strikes, but Palermo's quality should prevail in transition and open play. Without standout set-piece edges, expect Palermo to dictate terms and secure a comfortable victory, extending their promotion push while deepening Reggiana's woes. A rare home upset seems improbable given the gulf in metrics.

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