Frosinone vs Carrarese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Frosinone FRO
Versus
Carrarese CAR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Frosinone host Carrarese in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Domestically, Frosinone sit 2th in the table while Carrarese are 9th. Power ranking favours Frosinone by 10.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Frosinone hold a 10.3-point power advantage over Carrarese, ranking 2nd versus 9th in Serie B.
  • Form: Hosts edge recent form at 32.28 compared to visitors' 21.28 score.
  • Squad: Frosinone's superior power rating of 34.09 outpaces Carrarese's 23.76.
  • Efficiency: No specific efficiency data available for either side.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Frosinone 58.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Carrarese 18.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Carrarese A. Calabro
A. Calabro
2.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Modena Rank: W
Palermo Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Südtirol Rank: W
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Cesena Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: D
Reggiana Rank: L
Spezia Rank: W
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Sampdoria Rank: W
Juve Stabia Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Frosinone
58.74%
Draw
23.01%
Away Carrarese
18.26%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.09
23.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Carrarese
Power Score
34.09
23.76
League Position
2
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Carrarese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Carrarese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home
4 matches
Carrarese CAR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
7
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:04:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Palmisani
22 L. Palmisani
J. Oyono Omva Torque
20 J. Oyono Omva Torque
I. Monterisi
30 I. Monterisi
G. Calvani
3 G. Calvani
G. Bracaglia
79 G. Bracaglia
G. Calò
14 G. Calò
M. Cichella
16 M. Cichella
F. Gelli
10 F. Gelli
F. Ghedjemis
7 F. Ghedjemis
A. Raimondo
9 A. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze
17 G. Kvernadze
M. Bleve
1 M. Bleve
J. Rouhi
73 J. Rouhi
J. Illanes Minucci
4 J. Illanes Minucci
N. Calabrese
37 N. Calabrese
N. Belloni
7 N. Belloni
L. Hasa
70 L. Hasa
E. Zuelli
17 E. Zuelli
G. Parlanti
77 G. Parlanti
D. Bouah
13 D. Bouah
F. Abiuso
9 F. Abiuso
F. Di Stefano
28 F. Di Stefano

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity
16227
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
7.14
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker
6.77
7
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis Attacker
7.21
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Centre Forward
6.88
20
Jérémy Oyono
Jérémy Oyono Right Back
6.69
3
Gabriele Calvani
Gabriele Calvani Left Back
6.85
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Central Midfield
7.6
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Central Midfield
6.72
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi Right Back
7.08
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Left Back
6.89
10
Francesco Gelli
Francesco Gelli Central Midfield
6.9

Starting XI ▼

1
Marco Bleve
Marco Bleve Goalkeeper
6.85
7
Niccolò Belloni
Niccolò Belloni Midfielder
6.71
13
Devid Eugene Bouah
Devid Eugene Bouah Midfielder
6.69
28
Filippo Distefano
Filippo Distefano Attacker
6.72
9
Fabio Abiuso
Fabio Abiuso Attacker
6.99
73
Jonas Rouhi
Jonas Rouhi Left Back
6.78
77
Gabriele Parlanti
Gabriele Parlanti Central Midfield
6.59
4
Julián Illanes
Julián Illanes Centre Back
6.89
70
Luis Hasa
Luis Hasa Central Midfield
7.05
17
Emanuele Zuelli
Emanuele Zuelli Central Midfield
6.99
37
Nicolò Calabrese
Nicolò Calabrese Right Back
6.77

CONCLUSION

Frosinone enter as clear favorites, leveraging their second-place standing and 10.3-point power edge to dominate Carrarese. Superior form scores and home advantage at Stadio Benito Stirpe position the Ciociari for a routine win, though ninth-placed visitors might scrap for points. Absent detailed set-piece and xG data tempers deeper tactical previews, but raw metrics scream home superiority. Expect Frosinone to control proceedings and secure vital points in the promotion race.

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