VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Volkswagen Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg WOB
Versus
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

VfL Wolfsburg host Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga (Regular Season) at Volkswagen Arena. Domestically, VfL Wolfsburg sit 17th in the table while Borussia Mönchengladbach are 13th. Power ranking favours Borussia Mönchengladbach by 1.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Mönchengladbach enjoy a 1.9-point power advantage over 17th-placed VfL Wolfsburg, who host from 13th.
  • Form: Gladbach arrive with a superior form score of 10 compared to Wolfsburg's 9.28.
  • Squad: Gladbach's squad rates higher at 16.63 power score versus Wolfsburg's 14.69.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG metrics and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: VfL Wolfsburg 42% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.8% (Δ+0%) | Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
VfL Wolfsburg D. Hecking
D. Hecking
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach E. Polanski
E. Polanski
0.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: L
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Rank: L
Werder Bremen Rank: L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: D
Hamburger SV Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: D
RB Leipzig Rank: L
Heidenheim Rank: D
FC Köln Rank: D
St. Pauli Rank: W
FC Bayern München Rank: L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 10 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfL Wolfsburg
42.03%
Draw
25.75%
Away Borussia Mönchengladbach
32.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.69
16.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Power Score
14.69
16.63
League Position
17
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfL Wolfsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Mönchengladbach

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfL Wolfsburg WOB Home
39 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Away
Match Record
18
Wins
11
10
Draws
10
11
Losses
18
Goals
60
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
60
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:04:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
K. Grabara
1 K. Grabara
D. Vavro
3 D. Vavro
K. Koulierakis
4 K. Koulierakis
J. Belocian
6 J. Belocian
J. Mæhle
21 J. Mæhle
V. de Souza Costa
5 V. de Souza Costa
C. Dannemann Eriksen
24 C. Dannemann Eriksen
A. Zehnter
25 A. Zehnter
M. Amoura
9 M. Amoura
P. Wimmer
39 P. Wimmer
D. Pejcinovic
17 D. Pejcinovic
M. Nicolas
33 M. Nicolas
F. Cristian Chiarodia
2 F. Cristian Chiarodia
N. Elvedi
30 N. Elvedi
P. Sander
16 P. Sander
J. Castrop
17 J. Castrop
Y. Engelhardt
6 Y. Engelhardt
R. Reitz
27 R. Reitz
J. Scally
29 J. Scally
K. Stöger
7 K. Stöger
H. Bolin
38 H. Bolin
H. Tabakovic
15 H. Tabakovic

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Volkswagen Arena
Capacity
30000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Kamil Grabara
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper
6.88
25
Aaron Zehnter
Aaron Zehnter Midfielder
6.71
9
Mohamed Amoura
Mohamed Amoura Midfielder
6.88
21
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle Midfielder
6.69
39
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer Midfielder
6.75
17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Dzenan Pejcinovic Centre Forward
6.76
3
Denis Vavro
Denis Vavro Right Back
6.61
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis Centre Back
6.73
24
Christian Eriksen
Christian Eriksen Central Midfield
6.98
5
Vinicius de Souza Costa
Vinicius de Souza Costa Central Midfield
6.75
6
Jeanuël Belocian
Jeanuël Belocian Left Back
6.66

Starting XI ▼

33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
7.11
7
Kevin Stöger
Kevin Stöger Midfielder
6.74
17
Jens Castrop
Jens Castrop Midfielder
6.67
29
Joe Scally
Joe Scally Midfielder
6.65
38
Hugo Bolin
Hugo Bolin Midfielder
6.68
15
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Centre Forward
6.92
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Central Midfield
6.79
2
Fabio Chiarodia
Fabio Chiarodia Left Back
6.59
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Right Back
6.93
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Central Midfield
6.89
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Centre Back
6.95

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Borussia Mönchengladbach holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Borussia Mönchengladbach a 1.9-point edge. External projection is VfL Wolfsburg 42%, draw 25.8%, and Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.2%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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