Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Anfield Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Liverpool LIV
Versus
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Liverpool host Crystal Palace in Premier League (Regular Season) at Anfield. Domestically, Liverpool sit 5th in the table while Crystal Palace are 13th. Power ranking favours Crystal Palace by 1.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Crystal Palace possess a slight 1.3-point power advantage over Liverpool with scores of 29.57 to 28.27.
  • Form: Liverpool lead in form with a 22.72 score compared to Crystal Palace's 19.17.
  • Squad: Liverpool occupy 5th place in the Premier League, while Crystal Palace sit 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece xG data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible as data add-on disabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Liverpool 63.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.7% (Δ+0%) | Crystal Palace 14.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: W
Fulham Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: L
West Ham United Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: D
Newcastle United Rank: W
Leeds United Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Manchester United Rank: L
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: W
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 4 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
63.67%
Draw
21.7%
Away Crystal Palace
14.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.27
29.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Power Score
28.27
29.57
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
30 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
17
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
17
Goals
58
Goals Scored
38
38
Goals Conceded
58
+20
Goal Difference
-20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:05:09+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
?. Pécsi
41 ?. Pécsi
D. Szoboszlai
8 D. Szoboszlai
I. Konaté
5 I. Konaté
V. van Dijk
4 V. van Dijk
A. Robertson
26 A. Robertson
R. Gravenberch
38 R. Gravenberch
C. Jones
17 C. Jones
M. Salah
11 M. Salah
F. Wirtz
7 F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo
18 C. Gakpo
A. Isak
9 A. Isak
D. Henderson
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
3 T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
18 D. Kamada
A. Wharton
20 A. Wharton
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
J. Mateta
14 J. Mateta
I. Sarr
7 I. Sarr

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Anfield
Capacity
61276
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Craig Taylor
Paul Tierney
Simon Bennett
Andy Madley

Expected Lineup

Referee : Andy Madley

Starting XI ▼

41
Ármin Pécsi
Ármin Pécsi Goalkeeper
7.04
9
Alexander Isak
Alexander Isak Centre Forward
6.59
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Right Back
6.96
11
Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah Right Wing
6.88
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Left Back
7.12
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Defensive Midfield
6.82
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Left Wing
7.14
26
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson Left Back
6.68
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Attacking Midfield
7.06
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Defensive Midfield
7.08
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Right Back
7.36
Referee : Andy Madley

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder
7.02
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder
6.83
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
6.94
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
6.88
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Centre Forward
6.81
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Central Midfield
6.82
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Central Midfield
6.96
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Left Back
6.85
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Right Back
6.88
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Centre Back
6.94

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Crystal Palace holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Crystal Palace a 1.3-point edge. External projection is Liverpool 63.7%, draw 21.7%, and Crystal Palace 14.6%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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