West Ham United vs Everton Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
London Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
West Ham United WHU
2 Winner 1
Everton EVE
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Callum Wilson - 90+2'
Tomáš Souček - 51'
Goal
|
Goal
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall - 88'

CONTEXT

West Ham United defeated Everton 2-1 at home in a match that leveled at 0-0 through halftime. Everton, labeled the stronger team beforehand, held 56% possession to West Ham's 44%, yet the Hammers prevailed with superior conversion. No red cards disrupted play, and no notable second-half adjustments altered dynamics. The outcome marked a significant structural deviation of 61.3% for West Ham United from pre-match assessments. Market alignment confirmed true, with team efficiencies in line with expectations. Absent xG data, chance creation quality remains unquantified, but the scoreline reflects West Ham's clinical edge in key moments. Possession disparity did not translate to dominance for Everton, underscoring West Ham's defensive solidity and opportunistic attack.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: West Ham United exhibited a significant 61.3% structural deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing xG data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without available data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie impacted the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Attwell

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Hatzidakis

1st Assistant

M. Scholes

2nd Assistant

J. Smith

4th Official

West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
VS
Everton D. Moyes
D. Moyes
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: L
Manchester City Rank: D
Fulham Rank: W
Liverpool Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: L
Brentford Rank: D
Chelsea Rank: W
Arsenal Rank: L
Burnley Rank: W
Newcastle United Rank: W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 15 - 23
23

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home West Ham United
38.67%
Draw
27.77%
Away Everton
33.56%

Movement

Changes since opening
West Ham United
-56.05%
Draw
+22.68%
Everton
+33.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.48
23.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
West Ham United
Everton
Power Score
21.48
23.56
League Position
17
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Everton — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) West Ham United Everton

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

West Ham United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Everton

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

West Ham United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Everton
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.18
24.38
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.38
28.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
West Ham United +0.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Everton -0.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
West Ham United
Everton
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

West Ham United ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Everton
Created Set-piece attacking threat
West Ham United Everton
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
West Ham United Everton
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
West Ham United
Everton
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
West Ham United
vs
Everton
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
West Ham United Everton
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
West Ham United 0.21
Everton 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
West Ham United Everton
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
West Ham United 0.02
Everton 0.04
West Ham United
Everton
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • WHU had peak pressure around 55'.
  • EVE started the game with stronger pressure.
WHU Pressure EVE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: WHU reached the top pressure at 55' (77.40).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 49 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

West Ham United WHU Home
49 matches
Everton EVE Away
Match Record
11
Wins
23
15
Draws
15
23
Losses
11
Goals
48
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
48
-26
Goal Difference
+26

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:03:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Hermansen
Denmark
1 M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
England
2 K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos
Greece
15 K. Mavropanos
A. Disasi
France
4 A. Disasi
E. Diouf
Senegal
12 E. Diouf
J. Bowen
Substitution
England
20 J. Bowen
T. Souček
Czech Republic
28 T. Souček
M. Espanha Fernandes
Portugal
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
C. Summerville
Netherlands
7 C. Summerville
P. Pereira de Jesus
Substitution
Portugal
19 P. Pereira de Jesus
V. Castellanos Giménez
Substitution
Argentina
11 V. Castellanos Giménez
Pitch
J. Pickford
England
1 J. Pickford
V. Mykolenko
Ukraine
16 V. Mykolenko
M. Keane
England
5 M. Keane
J. Tarkowski
England
6 J. Tarkowski
J. O´Brien
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
15 J. O´Brien
J. Garner
England
37 J. Garner
I. Gueye
Substitution
Senegal
27 I. Gueye
I. Ndiaye
Senegal
10 I. Ndiaye
K. Dewsbury-Hall
England
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall
D. McNeil
Substitution
England
7 D. McNeil
T. Barry
France
11 T. Barry

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
London Stadium
Capacity :
59623
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stuart Attwell
Constantine Hatzidakis
Mark Scholes
Joshua Smith

Statistics

Possession
WHU
46%
EVE
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 3
48 Dangerous attacks 53
44 Possession 56
3 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

22 Dribble Attempts 19
16 Throwins 23
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
8 Goal Kicks 9
70 Ball Safe 87
12 Successful Dribbles 10
4 Goal Attempts 7
15 Successful Headers 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 1
3 Substitutions 3
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

102 Attacks 103
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

300 Successful Passes 392
58 Long Passes 51
19 Successful Long Passes 24
80 Successful Passes Percentage 83
8 Key Passes 9
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
373 Passes 470

Defensive

58 Duels Won 56
10 Interceptions 6
21 Tackles 17
1 Saves 1

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 19
4 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

9 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
Kyle Walker-Peters Defender
6.7
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Defender
6.79
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender
6.69
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Defender
6.99
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Midfielder
6.86
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Midfielder
7.05
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Midfielder
6.98
25
Jean-Clair Todibo
Jean-Clair Todibo
Defender90+5'
6.61
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Midfielder
6.72
11
Taty Castellanos
Taty Castellanos Attacker
6.82
32
Freddie Potts
Freddie Potts
Midfielder79'
6.7
19
Pablo
Pablo Attacker
6.78
9
Callum Wilson
Callum Wilson
Attacker81'
6.66
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

1
Jordan Pickford
Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper
6.86
5
Michael Keane
Michael Keane Defender
7.02
6
James Tarkowski
James Tarkowski Defender
7.14
15
Jake O'Brien
Jake O'Brien Defender
6.71
42
Tim Iroegbunam
Tim Iroegbunam
Midfielder65'
6.72
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
Vitaliy Mykolenko Defender
6.68
7
Dwight McNeil
Dwight McNeil Midfielder
6.75
19
Tyrique George
Tyrique George
Attacker65'
6.44
10
Iliman Ndiaye
Iliman Ndiaye Midfielder
6.96
22
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Midfielder
7.09
27
Idrissa Gueye
Idrissa Gueye Midfielder
6.89
24
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz
Midfielder86'
6.77
37
James Garner
James Garner Midfielder
7.35
11
Thierno Barry
Thierno Barry Attacker
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Carlos Alcaraz
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Jean-Clair Todibo → Jarrod Bowen
6th Substitution
90+5'
Event
Callum Wilson
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Axel Disasi
5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Callum Wilson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+2'
88'
Event
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
86'
Event
Carlos Alcaraz → Idrissa Gueye
5th Substitution
Event
Callum Wilson → Pablo 
4th Substitution
81'
Event
Freddie Potts → Taty Castellanos
3rd Substitution
79'
Event
Taty Castellanos
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
70'
65'
Event
Tyrique George → Dwight McNeil
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Tim Iroegbunam → Jake O'Brien
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
James Garner
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Tomáš Souček
Header / 1st Goal
51'
47'
Event
James Tarkowski
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Jake O'Brien
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville wins a free kick for West Ham United in the defensive half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Callum Wilson of West Ham United receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Callum Wilson scores for West Ham United with a right-footed shot from very close range to the center of the goal, assisted by Jarrod Bowen's headed pass. The score is now West Ham United 2, Everton 1.
90
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville commits a foul for West Ham United.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Axel Disasi of West Ham United receives a yellow card for excessive celebration.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Jean-Clair Todibo comes on for Jarrod Bowen.
90
Update Update
Callum Wilson of West Ham United is caught offside.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tyrique George from Everton misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, just to the right. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall provided the assist.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Charly Alcaraz of Everton receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Foul by Charly Alcaraz of Everton.
90
Update Update
James Tarkowski of Everton wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with West Ham United winning 2-1 against Everton.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The match is now 1-1 as Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scores for Everton with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by James Tarkowski's headed pass.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Everton: Charly Alcaraz comes on for Idrissa Gueye.
82
Update Update
Tyrique George of Everton is caught offside.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Ham United: Freddie Potts comes on for Valentín Castellanos.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Everton after Axel Disasi concedes.
77
Update Update
Thierno Barry's header from close range is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Tyrique George.
77
Corner Corner
Everton have been awarded a corner after El Hadji Malick Diouf conceded it.
77
Attempt Attempt
Idrissa Gueye's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Tim Iroegbunam's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by James Tarkowski.
75
Attempt Attempt
Tyrique George's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Tim Iroegbunam.
73
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville commits a foul for West Ham United.
73
Update Update
James Garner of Everton wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Corner Corner
Everton wins a corner after Axel Disasi concedes.
70
Update Update
James Tarkowski of Everton wins a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Pablo of West Ham United.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United receives a yellow card.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United.
69
Update Update
Iliman Ndiaye of Everton wins a free kick on the right wing.
69
Attempt Attempt
Tim Iroegbunam from Everton misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the left after a set piece situation.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Everton: Tyrique George comes on for Dwight McNeil.
64
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United.
63
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
James Garner of Everton receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by James Garner of Everton.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by James Tarkowski of Everton.
62
Update Update
El Hadji Malick Diouf of West Ham United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
61
Corner Corner
Everton wins a corner after Kyle Walker-Peters concedes.
57
Update Update
Tomás Soucek of West Ham United wins a free kick in the defensive half.
57
Update Update
Foul committed by Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall against Everton.
55
Update Update
Foul by Iliman Ndiaye against Everton.
55
Update Update
Kyle Walker-Peters of West Ham United wins a free kick on the right wing.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! West Ham United 1, Everton 0. Tomás Soucek scores for West Ham United with a header from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Jarrod Bowen's cross after a corner.
50
Corner Corner
West Ham United win a corner after Vitalii Mykolenko concedes.
50
Corner Corner
West Ham United win a corner after Vitalii Mykolenko concedes.
47
Update Update
Foul by James Tarkowski of Everton.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
James Tarkowski from Everton receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
47
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville wins a free kick for West Ham United in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with West Ham United and Everton drawing 0-0.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between West Ham United and Everton.
42
Update Update
Offside called against Everton. Dwight McNeil is the player caught offside.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brien from Everton receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
37
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville wins a free kick for West Ham United on the left wing.
37
Attempt Attempt
Iliman Ndiaye's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Dwight McNeil with a through ball.
35
Corner Corner
Thierno Barry's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Mads Hermansen. The attempt was assisted by James Garner.
33
Update Update
Vitalii Mykolenko of Everton wins a free kick in the defensive half.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Kyle Walker-Peters for West Ham United.
32
Update Update
Michael Keane of Everton commits a handball.
31
Update Update
Foul by Tomás Soucek of West Ham United.
31
Update Update
Dwight McNeil wins a free kick for Everton in the defensive half.
27
Attempt Attempt
Crysencio Summerville from West Ham United misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, sending it high and wide to the right. He was assisted by El Hadji Malick Diouf during a fast break.
24
Update Update
Foul committed by Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United.
24
Update Update
Brien from Everton wins a free kick in the attacking half.
22
Corner Corner
Everton wins a corner after Konstantinos Mavropanos concedes.
19
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville wins a free kick for West Ham United in the attacking half.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Dwight McNeil of Everton.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the left.
18
Attempt Attempt
Crysencio Summerville from West Ham United misses a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, sending it to the right.
15
Corner Corner
West Ham United win a corner after Michael Keane concedes.
15
Attempt Attempt
Mateus Fernandes of West Ham United has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by El Hadji Malick Diouf, who provided a headed pass.
15
Attempt Attempt
Konstantinos Mavropanos from West Ham United has a right-footed shot from the center of the box that is blocked. He was assisted by El Hadji Malick Diouf, who provided a headed pass.
14
Update Update
Foul by Idrissa Gueye of Everton.
14
Update Update
Pablo from West Ham United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
13
Attempt Attempt
Thierno Barry from Everton misses a right-footed shot from very close range, sending the ball to the right. He was assisted by Dwight McNeil during a fast break.
12
Update Update
Tomás Soucek of West Ham United misses the header from the center of the box, sending it too high. El Hadji Malick Diouf provided the assist with a cross after a set piece situation.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by James Garner of Everton.
11
Update Update
Crysencio Summerville of West Ham United wins a free kick in the attacking half.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Valentín Castellanos of West Ham United.
10
Update Update
James Garner of Everton wins a free kick in the defensive half.
9
Attempt Attempt
Jarrod Bowen's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Crysencio Summerville provided the assist.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Tomás Soucek of West Ham United.
9
Update Update
Iliman Ndiaye of Everton wins a free kick in the defensive half.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: West Ham United exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.