Krylya Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
Versus
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Krylya Sovetov host Lokomotiv Moskva at Samara Arena in a Premier League regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. Lokomotiv arrive as the stronger outfit, wielding a power score of 25.41 to Krylya's 15.19, translating to a commanding 10.2-point advantage. This structural edge aligns with their 3rd-place standing versus Krylya's mid-table 13th position. Form metrics further favor the visitors at 15.33 compared to the hosts' 9.17, hinting at greater consistency and momentum. Detailed set-piece and efficiency stats remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, but Lokomotiv's overall superiority suggests dominance in key phases like transitions. Krylya will lean on home support to disrupt, yet Lokomotiv's quality positions them to control proceedings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lokomotiv Moskva possess a 10.2-point power advantage over Krylya Sovetov.
  • Form: Lokomotiv Moskva's form score of 15.33 outstrips Krylya Sovetov's 9.17.
  • Squad: Lokomotiv Moskva sit 3rd in the league while Krylya Sovetov languish in 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data unavailable; Lokomotiv's power score implies superior play.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data absent for attack and defense on both sides.
  • Market: Baseline split: Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Lokomotiv Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
Lokomotiv Moskva M. Galaktionov
M. Galaktionov
0.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.64
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: D
CSKA Moskva Rank: D
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zenit Rank: D
Orenburg Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: D
Spartak Moskva Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Rubin Kazan Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 13 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lokomotiv Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.19
25.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
Lokomotiv Moskva
Power Score
15.19
25.41
League Position
13
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Krylya Sovetov Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiv Moskva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov Lokomotiv Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
37 matches
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Away
Match Record
6
Wins
18
13
Draws
13
18
Losses
6
Goals
33
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
33
-18
Goal Difference
+18
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:05:38+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

39
Evgeny Frolov
Evgeny Frolov Goalkeeper
30
Sergey Pesyakov
Sergey Pesyakov Goalkeeper
80
Nikita Kokarev
Nikita Kokarev Goalkeeper
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Defender
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Defender
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Defender
72
Daniel Fernández Fernández
Daniel Fernández Fernández Defender
3
Thomas Ignacio Galdames Millán
Thomas Ignacio Galdames Millán Defender
15
Nikolay Rasskazov
Nikolay Rasskazov Defender
24
Roman Evgenyev
Roman Evgenyev Defender
5
Alois Dominik Oroz
Alois Dominik Oroz Defender
18
Ivan Lepskiy
Ivan Lepskiy Defender
31
Gonzalo Requena
Gonzalo Requena Defender
11
Amar Rahmanović
Amar Rahmanović Midfielder
77
Ilzat Akhmetov
Ilzat Akhmetov Midfielder
8
Maksim Vityugov
Maksim Vityugov Midfielder
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac Midfielder
22
Fernando Peixoto Costanza
Fernando Peixoto Costanza Midfielder
6
Sergey Babkin
Sergey Babkin Midfielder
20
Kirill Stolbov
Kirill Stolbov Midfielder
26
Jimmy Marín
Jimmy Marín Attacker
9
Aleksey Sutormin
Aleksey Sutormin Attacker
19
Ivan Oleynikov
Ivan Oleynikov Attacker
99
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles Attacker
10
Vladimir Khubulov
Vladimir Khubulov Attacker
70
Artem Shumanskiy
Artem Shumanskiy Attacker
91
Vladimir Ignatenko
Vladimir Ignatenko Attacker

Squad

1
Anton Mitryushkin
Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper
22
Ilya Lantratov
Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper
16
Daniil Veselov
Daniil Veselov Goalkeeper
2
Cristian Leonel Ramírez Zambrano
Cristian Leonel Ramírez Zambrano Defender
23
César Jasib Montes Castro
César Jasib Montes Castro Defender
5
Gerzino Nyamsi
Gerzino Nyamsi Defender
24
Maksim Nenakhov
Maksim Nenakhov Defender
45
Aleksandr Silyanov
Aleksandr Silyanov Defender
85
Evgeny Morozov
Evgeny Morozov Defender
3
Lucas Fasson dos Santos
Lucas Fasson dos Santos Defender
59
Egor Pogostnov
Egor Pogostnov Defender
94
Artem Timofeev
Artem Timofeev Midfielder
25
Danila Prutsev
Danila Prutsev Midfielder
32
Lucas Vera
Lucas Vera Midfielder
93
Artem Karpukas
Artem Karpukas Midfielder
88
Mikhail Shchetinin
Mikhail Shchetinin Midfielder
83
Aleksey Batrakov
Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder
90
Danila Godyaev
Danila Godyaev Midfielder
74
Daniil Igorevich Chevardin
Daniil Igorevich Chevardin Midfielder
27
Nikolay Komlichenko
Nikolay Komlichenko Attacker
7
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Zelimkhan Bakaev Attacker
10
Dmitriy Vorobyev
Dmitriy Vorobyev Attacker
8
Vladislav Sarveli
Vladislav Sarveli Attacker
19
Alexander Rudenko
Alexander Rudenko Attacker
9
Sergey Pinyaev
Sergey Pinyaev Attacker
14
Nikita Saltykov
Nikita Saltykov Attacker
99
Ruslan Myalkovskiy
Ruslan Myalkovskiy Attacker
27
Vadim Rakov
Vadim Rakov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lokomotiv Moskva hold clear superiority heading into Samara Arena, with a 25.41 power score dwarfing Krylya Sovetov's 15.19 by 10.2 points and better form at 15.33 versus 9.17. Their 3rd-place league position underscores squad quality against Krylya's 13th. Absent detailed efficiency, set-piece, and xG metrics leave some uncertainty, but Lokomotiv's structural dominance and momentum point to victory. Krylya must harness home advantage for an upset, yet visitors' edge in transitions and overall prowess should secure a positive result in this uneven contest.

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