Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Championship, England

MATRADE Loftus Road Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM

Championship

Queens Park Rangers QPR

Derby County DRB

KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM

Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Queens Park Rangers host Derby County at MATRADE Loftus Road in a Championship regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. Derby arrive as the stronger side, holding a power score of 26.19 to QPR's 23.28, which equates to a 2.9-point advantage. The Rams sit higher in 8th place compared to the Hoops in 11th, while also edging recent form with 22.78 against 21.39. Home advantage could galvanise QPR in this mid-table tussle, but Derby's superior metrics point to them controlling proceedings. Advanced data on set pieces remains unavailable due to absent xG figures and low-confidence proxies, leaving the emphasis on core strengths and tactical execution.

TL;DR

Structural: Derby County hold a 2.9-point power advantage over Queens Park Rangers.
Form: Derby County lead form scores at 22.78 versus Queens Park Rangers' 21.39.
Squad: Derby County rank 8th and Queens Park Rangers 11th in the Championship table.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition play data unavailable for this matchup.
Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG and low confidence.
xVariable: xG variable metrics unavailable for both sides.
Market: Projection split: Queens Park Rangers 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Derby County 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

J. Stéphan

J. Eustace

1.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.7

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 8 - 11

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Queens Park Rangers

Draw

Derby County

Team Power Ranking

23.28

26.19

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Queens Park Rangers

Derby County

Power Score

23.28

26.19

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Queens Park Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score

Derby County — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Queens Park Rangers Derby County

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Queens Park Rangers QPR Home

30 matches

Derby County DRB Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:06:01+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season

Stadium

MATRADE Loftus Road

Capacity

18500

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

J. Stéphan Coach

Squad ▼

Ben Hamer Goalkeeper

Paul Nardi Goalkeeper

Joe Walsh Goalkeeper

Steve Cook Defender

Jake Clarke-Salter Defender

Jimmy Dunne Defender

Rhys Norrington-Davies Defender

Ziyad Larkeche Defender

Ronnie Edwards Defender

Amadou Salif Mbengue Defender

Kealey Adamson Defender

João Henrique Mendes da Silva Defender

Isaac Hayden Midfielder

Ilias Chair Midfielder

Nicolas Martin Hautorp Madsen Midfielder

Karamoko Kader Dembélé Midfielder

Harvey Vale Midfielder

Jonathan Varane Midfielder

Kieran Morgan Midfielder

Paul Smyth Attacker

Koki Saito Attacker

Rumarn Burrell Attacker

Kwame Poku Attacker

Justin Obikwu Attacker

Rayan Kolli Attacker

Daniel Bennie Attacker

Richard Kone Attacker

Manager ▼

J. Eustace Coach

Squad ▼

Richard O'Donnell Goalkeeper

Josh Vickers Goalkeeper

Jacob Widell Zetterström Goalkeeper

Craig Forsyth Defender

Matt Clarke Defender

Callum Elder Defender

Danny Batth Defender

Dion Sanderson Defender

Derry John Murkin Defender

Sondre Klingen Langås Defender

Max Johnston Defender

Lewis Travis Midfielder

Samuel Szmodics Midfielder

Joe Ward Midfielder

Liam Thompson Midfielder

Bobby Clark Midfielder

Oscar Fraulo Midfielder

David Ozoh Midfielder

Owen Eames Midfielder

Patrick Agyemang Attacker

Carlton Morris Attacker

Ben Brereton Attacker

Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Attacker

Rhian Brewster Attacker

Jaydon Amauri Banel Attacker

CONCLUSION

Derby County enter this Loftus Road encounter with clear edges in power rating, form, and league standing, marking them as the team to beat against Queens Park Rangers. The 2.9-point advantage underscores Derby's structural superiority, though QPR's home atmosphere adds intrigue to the mid-table Championship clash. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, expect a gritty battle where Derby's consistency prevails unless QPR mount a spirited response. The Rams' higher metrics tilt the balance their way in this regular season test.

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