Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Bet365 Stadium Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Stoke City STK
Versus
Portsmouth PTM
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Stoke City welcome Portsmouth to Bet365 Stadium in a mid-table Championship regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 17th and 18th respectively, both sides are closely matched in the standings, but underlying metrics paint a different picture. Portsmouth hold a commanding power score of 29.34 against Stoke's 14.61, translating to a 14.7-point advantage that underscores their superior overall strength. Form scores amplify this gap, with Portsmouth at an impressive 33 compared to Stoke's faltering 4.94. Detailed set piece analysis remains elusive due to unavailable xG data and low-confidence proxies for both teams. Stoke must harness home support to counter Portsmouth's momentum, while the visitors aim to capitalize on their statistical edge in this pivotal clash.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Portsmouth enjoy a 14.7-point power advantage over Stoke City with scores of 29.34 versus 14.61.
  • Form: Portsmouth's form score of 33 towers over Stoke City's 4.94.
  • Squad: Stoke City occupy 17th place, just ahead of Portsmouth in 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to limited underlying data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable as xG data not enabled, using low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG metrics absent for both Stoke City and Portsmouth.
  • Market: Baseline split: Stoke City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Portsmouth 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Stoke City M. Robins
M. Robins
VS
Portsmouth J. Mousinho
J. Mousinho
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Millwall Rank: D
Wrexham Rank: L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: D
Derby County Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
Preston North End Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coventry City Rank: D
Leicester City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: W
Middlesbrough Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: D
Norwich City Rank: D
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Stoke City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Portsmouth
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.61
29.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Power Score
14.61
29.34
League Position
17
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Stoke City — Opponent-weighted form score
Portsmouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Stoke City Portsmouth

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Stoke City STK Home
9 matches
Portsmouth PTM Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
17
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:06:10+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
Bet365 Stadium
Capacity
30089
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

34
Frank Fielding
Frank Fielding Goalkeeper
1
Viktor Johansson
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper
31
Gavin Bazunu
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper
25
Tommy Simkim
Tommy Simkim Goalkeeper
3
Aaron Cresswell
Aaron Cresswell Defender
23
Ben Gibson
Ben Gibson Defender
16
Ben Wilmot
Ben Wilmot Defender
17
Eric Junior Bocat
Eric Junior Bocat Defender
40
Maksym Talovierov
Maksym Talovierov Defender
18
Mohammed Bosun Lawal
Mohammed Bosun Lawal Defender
22
J. Tchamadeu
J. Tchamadeu Defender
26
Ashley Phillips
Ashley Phillips Defender
15
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi
Steven N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi Midfielder
8
Lewis Baker
Lewis Baker Midfielder
4
Ben Pearson
Ben Pearson Midfielder
12
Tatsuki Seko
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder
19
Tomáš Rigo
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder
10
Joon-Ho Bae
Joon-Ho Bae Midfielder
20
Sam Gallagher
Sam Gallagher Attacker
7
Sorba Thomas
Sorba Thomas Attacker
11
Róbert Boženík
Róbert Boženík Attacker
42
Million Manhoef
Million Manhoef Attacker
21
Jesuran Rak-Sakyi
Jesuran Rak-Sakyi Attacker
9
Divin Mubama
Divin Mubama Attacker
29
Lamine Cisse
Lamine Cisse Attacker
—
Ato Ampah
Ato Ampah Attacker
49
Milan Smit
Milan Smit Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Jordan Archer
Jordan Archer Goalkeeper
26
Josef Bursik
Josef Bursik Goalkeeper
30
Ben Killip
Ben Killip Goalkeeper
1
Nicolas Schmid
Nicolas Schmid Goalkeeper
5
Regan Poole
Regan Poole Defender
3
Connor Ogilvie
Connor Ogilvie Defender
4
Josh Knight
Josh Knight Defender
2
Jordan Williams
Jordan Williams Defender
6
Conor Shaughnessy
Conor Shaughnessy Defender
34
Ajibola Alese
Ajibola Alese Defender
22
Zak Swanson
Zak Swanson Defender
17
Ibane Bowat
Ibane Bowat Defender
24
Terry Devlin
Terry Devlin Defender
14
Hayden Matthews
Hayden Matthews Defender
55
Madiodio Dia
Madiodio Dia Defender
8
John Swift
John Swift Midfielder
7
Marlon Pack
Marlon Pack Midfielder
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
38
Ebou Adams
Ebou Adams Midfielder
16
Luke Le Roux
Luke Le Roux Midfielder
18
Márk Kosznovszky
Márk Kosznovszky Midfielder
28
Reuben Swann
Reuben Swann Midfielder
41
Harry Clout
Harry Clout Midfielder
37
Keshi Anderson
Keshi Anderson Attacker
23
Josh Murphy
Josh Murphy Attacker
40
Jacob Brown
Jacob Brown Attacker
9
Colby Bishop
Colby Bishop Attacker
36
Conor Chaplin
Conor Chaplin Attacker
11
Florian Bianchini
Florian Bianchini Attacker
47
Gustavo Caballero
Gustavo Caballero Attacker
27
Millenic Oluwolde Sulaiman Alli
Millenic Oluwolde Sulaiman Alli Attacker
10
Adrian Segečić
Adrian Segečić Attacker
29
Harvey Blair
Harvey Blair Attacker
25
Mackenzie Kirk
Mackenzie Kirk Attacker
15
Franco Umeh
Franco Umeh Attacker
20
Thomas Waddingham
Thomas Waddingham Attacker

CONCLUSION

Portsmouth arrive as the standout team, armed with superior power and form metrics that suggest dominance despite the tight league positions. Stoke City's home venue offers a fighting chance, but their poor recent scoring profile raises doubts about mounting a challenge. Lacking granular set piece or efficiency insights, the contest hinges on Portsmouth's ability to impose their quality. The visitors should edge a hard-fought victory, bolstering their top-half aspirations while exposing Stoke's inconsistencies.

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