OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Pro League
OH Leuven OHL
Versus
Sporting Charleroi SPC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 5 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

OH Leuven host Sporting Charleroi at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion in the Conference League Play-off Group, part of the 2025/2026 Pro League season. The home side holds a decisive power edge of 3.8 points, with scores of 19.99 against the visitors' 16.16, confirming OH Leuven as the stronger team overall. Form metrics further favor the hosts at 17.78 compared to Charleroi's modest 9.11. League positions are close, with Charleroi in 11th and OH Leuven 12th, setting up a competitive international cup encounter. Detailed efficiency and set piece data remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG stats, limiting deeper tactical insights. This fixture hinges on OH Leuven's superior recent momentum and home advantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural: OH Leuven (12th) face Sporting Charleroi (11th) in a closely positioned Pro League Conference League Play-off Group match at home.
  • Form: OH Leuven's form score of 17.78 significantly outstrips Sporting Charleroi's 9.11.
  • Squad: OH Leuven's squad power rating of 19.99 exceeds Sporting Charleroi's 16.16 by 3.8 points.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable due to limited recent outing data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, preventing variable analysis of attacking and defensive phases.
  • Market: OH Leuven 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Charleroi 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
VS
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: L
Genk Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: D
Standard Liège Rank: L
Antwerp Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 8 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home OH Leuven
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sporting Charleroi
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.99
16.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
OH Leuven
Sporting Charleroi
Power Score
19.99
16.16
League Position
12
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) OH Leuven Sporting Charleroi

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

OH Leuven OHL Home
22 matches
Sporting Charleroi SPC Away
Match Record
9
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
9
Goals
27
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
27
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
1.46
xG
2.52
2.52
xGA
1.46

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:06:36+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 5 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Capacity
10020
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

16
Maxence Andre Prévôt
Maxence Andre Prévôt Goalkeeper
1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
61
Owen Jochmans
Owen Jochmans Goalkeeper
95
Théo Radelet
Théo Radelet Goalkeeper
3
Noë Dussenne
Noë Dussenne Defender
77
Thibault Vlietinck
Thibault Vlietinck Defender
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Defender
27
Óscar Gil Regaño
Óscar Gil Regaño Defender
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Defender
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Defender
15
Viktor Damjanić
Viktor Damjanić Defender
63
Moyé Christ Souanga
Moyé Christ Souanga Defender
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku Defender
4
Birger Verstraete
Birger Verstraete Midfielder
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder
33
Mathieu Maertens
Mathieu Maertens Midfielder
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Midfielder
24
Łukasz Łakomy
Łukasz Łakomy Midfielder
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha Midfielder
48
Bryang Kayo
Bryang Kayo Midfielder
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Midfielder
7
Thibaud Verlinden
Thibaud Verlinden Attacker
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba Attacker
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Attacker
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Attacker
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Attacker
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker

Squad ▼

33
Théo Defourny
Théo Defourny Goalkeeper
30
Mohamed Kone
Mohamed Kone Goalkeeper
55
Martin Delavalée
Martin Delavalée Goalkeeper
60
Nicolas Closset
Nicolas Closset Goalkeeper
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Defender
23
Jules Gaudin
Jules Gaudin Defender
27
Lewin Blum
Lewin Blum Defender
24
Mardochee Nzita
Mardochee Nzita Defender
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Defender
95
Check keita
Check keita Defender
32
Mehdi Boukamir
Mehdi Boukamir Defender
50
Robin Denuit
Robin Denuit Defender
44
Massamba Sow
Massamba Sow Defender
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke Midfielder
5
E. Camara
E. Camara Midfielder
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas Midfielder
22
Yacine Titraoui
Yacine Titraoui Midfielder
40
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi Midfielder
56
Amine Boukamir
Amine Boukamir Midfielder
51
Mory Kera
Mory Kera Midfielder
7
Isaac Mbenza
Isaac Mbenza Attacker
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Attacker
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Attacker
25
Antoine Colassin
Antoine Colassin Attacker
9
Filip Szymczak
Filip Szymczak Attacker
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Attacker
43
Quentin Benaets
Quentin Benaets Attacker

CONCLUSION

OH Leuven approach this matchup with clear advantages in power and form, positioning them as favorites in the home environment of King Power at Den Dreef Stadion. Sporting Charleroi's slight edge in league standing offers little consolation against the hosts' superior metrics. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on OH Leuven's ability to convert momentum into control. Expect a tactical battle where the stronger side imposes its game plan early. Home victory seems likely in this Conference League Play-off Group test.

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