Rukh Vynnyky vs Karpaty Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion im. Bohdan Markevycha Sat, 25 Apr - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky
Versus
Karpaty Karpaty
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 3:00 PM
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ukrainian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, Rukh Vynnyky host Karpaty at Stadion im. Bohdan Markevycha, a matchup highlighting a clear disparity. Karpaty, sitting 8th in the standings, wield a formidable power score of 27.58 against Rukh Vynnyky's 13.65, yielding a 13.9-point advantage that marks them as the stronger outfit. Form metrics amplify this edge, with Karpaty's 24.61 rating dwarfing the hosts' 2.83, signaling recent struggles for Rukh Vynnyky in 14th place. Advanced data on set pieces and efficiency remains unavailable due to absent xG figures and low-confidence proxies, leaving analysis rooted in core power and positional insights. Rukh Vynnyky seek a turnaround at home, yet Karpaty's superior profile suggests control in transitions and overall structure. This encounter tests resilience against evident superiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Karpaty hold a 13.9-point power advantage with a score of 27.58 over Rukh Vynnyky's 13.65.
  • Form: Karpaty's form score reaches 24.61, far exceeding Rukh Vynnyky's 2.83.
  • Squad: Rukh Vynnyky occupy 14th in the league while Karpaty sit 8th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from available records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unassessable due to missing xG data and low confidence.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as proxy data used with low confidence.
  • Market: Projection split: Rukh Vynnyky 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Karpaty 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rukh Vynnyky I. Fedyk
I. Fedyk
VS
Karpaty F. Fernández Díaz
F. Fernández Díaz
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: D
Oleksandria Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: W
SK Poltava Rank: W
Kudrivka Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rukh Vynnyky
0%
Draw
0%
Away Karpaty
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
13.65
27.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rukh Vynnyky
Karpaty
Power Score
13.65
27.58
League Position
14
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Rukh Vynnyky Opponent-weighted form score
Karpaty Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rukh Vynnyky Karpaty

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky Home
3 matches
Karpaty Karpaty Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:07:11+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im. Bohdan Markevycha
Capacity
3742
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Yurii-Volodymyr Gereta
Yurii-Volodymyr Gereta Goalkeeper
28
Yehor Klymenko
Yehor Klymenko Goalkeeper
23
Yurii Kopyna
Yurii Kopyna Defender
93
Vitaliy Roman
Vitaliy Roman Defender
17
Denys Sliusar
Denys Sliusar Defender
75
Andrii Kitela
Andrii Kitela Defender
76
Oleksii Tovarnytskyi
Oleksii Tovarnytskyi Defender
4
Mykola Kyrychok
Mykola Kyrychok Defender
33
Arsen Zalypka
Arsen Zalypka Defender
79
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
Volodymyr Yasinskyi Defender
25
Bogdan Levytskyi
Bogdan Levytskyi Defender
30
Talles Brener de Paula
Talles Brener de Paula Midfielder
10
Ostap Prytula
Ostap Prytula Midfielder
8
Vlad Răileanu
Vlad Răileanu Midfielder
15
Denys Pidgurskyi
Denys Pidgurskyi Midfielder
56
Maksym Boyko
Maksym Boyko Midfielder
47
Kostiantyn Kvas
Kostiantyn Kvas Midfielder
50
Ivan Denysov
Ivan Denysov Midfielder
78
Mukhammad Dzhumabaiev
Mukhammad Dzhumabaiev Midfielder
14
Samba Diallo
Samba Diallo Attacker
11
Vasyl Runich
Vasyl Runich Attacker
9
Igor Neves Alves
Igor Neves Alves Attacker
77
Beknaz Almazbekov
Beknaz Almazbekov Attacker
7
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim
Klayver Gabriel dos Santos Chrispim Attacker
70
Nazar Kasarda
Nazar Kasarda Attacker
65
Dmytro Sebro
Dmytro Sebro Attacker
21
Luiz Jorge Alexandrino de Lima
Luiz Jorge Alexandrino de Lima Attacker

Squad

80
Roman Mysak
Roman Mysak Goalkeeper
30
Andriy Klishchuk
Andriy Klishchuk Goalkeeper
1
Nazar Domchak
Nazar Domchak Goalkeeper
11
Denys Miroshnichenko
Denys Miroshnichenko Defender
3
Volodymyr Adamyuk
Volodymyr Adamyuk Defender
55
Timur Stetskov
Timur Stetskov Defender
4
Vladyslav Baboglo
Vladyslav Baboglo Defender
73
Rostyslav Lyakh
Rostyslav Lyakh Defender
5
Andrii Buleza
Andrii Buleza Defender
77
Oleksii Sych
Oleksii Sych Defender
44
Vitalii Kholod
Vitalii Kholod Defender
47
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso
Jean Henrique Carneiro Pedroso Defender
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
Ambrosiy Chachua Midfielder
35
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes
Edson Fernando da Silva Gomes Midfielder
37
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva
Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva Midfielder
15
Valentin Rubchynskyi
Valentin Rubchynskyi Midfielder
26
Yan Kostenko
Yan Kostenko Midfielder
20
Marko Sapuga
Marko Sapuga Midfielder
33
Artur Shakh
Artur Shakh Midfielder
16
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych
Chaban Ivan Ivanovych Midfielder
18
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento
Eriki Daniel Rodrigues Bento Midfielder
7
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira
Paulo Vitor Fernandes Pereira Attacker
70
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena Attacker
19
Yaroslav Karabin
Yaroslav Karabin Attacker
10
Stênio Zanetti Toledo
Stênio Zanetti Toledo Attacker
14
Ilya Kvasnytsya
Ilya Kvasnytsya Attacker
99
Baboucarr Faal
Baboucarr Faal Attacker

CONCLUSION

Karpaty's pronounced power and form superiority positions them as favorites in this Premier League regular season fixture against Rukh Vynnyky. The 13.9-point edge and higher league standing underscore their structural dominance, while the hosts' poor recent showings compound challenges at Stadion im. Bohdan Markevycha. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece insights, the contest hinges on Karpaty's ability to leverage overall strength in transitions and open play. Rukh Vynnyky require a flawless defensive effort and opportunistic attacks to compete, but metrics point toward a Karpaty-driven outcome in the 2025/2026 campaign.

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