Venezia vs Empoli Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Sat, 25 Apr - 3:15 PM
Serie B
Venezia VEN
Versus
Empoli EMP
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Venezia host Empoli at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in a Serie B regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The league leaders in first place enjoy a commanding 19.2-point power advantage over 15th-placed Empoli, with their squad rated at 37.28 compared to the visitors' 18.07. Form scores underline this gap, Venezia's 27.33 towering over Empoli's 10.94, signaling sustained momentum for the home side. Lacking recent outing details, the focus shifts to structural edges, where Venezia's top-table position promises control. Set piece data remains limited due to unavailable xG metrics and low-confidence proxies, but overall metrics favor the hosts decisively. Empoli face a stern test to disrupt Venezia's promotion push.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Venezia top Serie B in 1st place, towering over Empoli in 15th.
  • Form: Venezia's form score of 27.33 crushes Empoli's 10.94.
  • Squad: Venezia hold a 19.2-point power edge at 37.28 versus Empoli's 18.07.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to limited recent data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats limited with low confidence and proxies used.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Baseline split: Venezia 69.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.1% (Δ+0%) | Empoli 11.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
VS
Empoli F. Caserta
F. Caserta
2.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Juve Stabia Rank: W
Monza Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Sampdoria Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: L
Sampdoria Rank: L
Pescara Rank: W
Spezia Rank: D
Mantova Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 6 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Venezia
69.8%
Draw
19.13%
Away Empoli
11.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.28
18.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Venezia
Empoli
Power Score
37.28
18.07
League Position
1
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Empoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Venezia Empoli

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Venezia VEN Home
11 matches
Empoli EMP Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
3
Goals
14
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
14
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:07:30+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Stankovic
1 F. Stankovic
S. Korac
2 S. Korac
M. Svoboda
30 M. Svoboda
M. Sverko
33 M. Sverko
A. Hainaut
18 A. Hainaut
E. Pérez Muñoz
71 E. Pérez Muñoz
G. Busio
6 G. Busio
I. Doumbia
8 I. Doumbia
R. Haps
5 R. Haps
J. Zamora
10 J. Zamora
A. Adorante
9 A. Adorante
A. Fulignati
21 A. Fulignati
B. Moruzzi
27 B. Moruzzi
M. Lovato
20 M. Lovato
G. Guarino
34 G. Guarino
T. Ebuehi
24 T. Ebuehi
N. Haas
32 N. Haas
S. Elia
7 S. Elia
G. Yepes Laut
14 G. Yepes Laut
L. Magnino
8 L. Magnino
D. Fila
17 D. Fila
S. Shpendi
11 S. Shpendi

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Capacity
11150
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Stanković
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper
7.05
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder
7.11
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Midfielder
6.88
10
John Yeboah
John Yeboah Attacker
7.32
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
6.99
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Central Midfield
7.35
2
Seid Korac
Seid Korac Right Back
6.8
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Central Midfield
6.98
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Centre Back
7.13
33
Marin Šverko
Marin Šverko Left Back
6.87
71
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez Central Midfield
7.23

Starting XI ▼

21
Andrea Fulignati
Andrea Fulignati Goalkeeper
6.78
8
Luca Magnino
Luca Magnino Midfielder
6.71
32
Nicolas Haas
Nicolas Haas Midfielder
6.56
17
Daniel Fila
Daniel Fila Attacker
6.67
11
Stiven Shpendi
Stiven Shpendi Attacker
6.9
7
Salvatore Elia
Salvatore Elia Central Midfield
7
14
Gerard Yepes
Gerard Yepes Central Midfield
6.76
20
Matteo Lovato
Matteo Lovato Left Back
6.8
24
Tyronne Ebuehi
Tyronne Ebuehi Right Back
6.56
27
Brando Moruzzi
Brando Moruzzi Left Back
6.79
34
Gabriele Guarino
Gabriele Guarino Right Back
6.93

CONCLUSION

Venezia enter as overwhelming favorites, their league-leading position and superior power score poised to overwhelm a struggling Empoli. The 19.2-point gap in squad ratings and dominant form metrics suggest the hosts will dictate play from the outset at Pierluigi Penzo. While detailed set piece and efficiency insights are sparse, structural advantages point to a routine home win. Empoli's poor away form offers little hope of an upset, allowing Venezia to extend their lead at the Serie B summit in this key regular season encounter.

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