Bologna vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Bologna BOL
Versus
Roma ROM
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bologna host Roma in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Domestically, Bologna sit 8th in the table while Roma are 6th. Power ranking favours Roma by 1.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Roma enjoys a 1.7-point power advantage over Bologna with scores of 24.06 to 22.38.
  • Form: Bologna outperforms Roma in recent form, scoring 17 points against 10.83.
  • Squad: Roma ranks higher at 6th in Serie A standings compared to Bologna's 8th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence using proxies, lacking xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent as add-on remains disabled.
  • Market: Bologna 31.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0%) | Roma 39.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juventus Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Cremonese Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: D
Pisa Rank: W
Inter Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Como Rank: L
Genoa Rank: L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 11 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
31.18%
Draw
29.44%
Away Roma
39.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.38
24.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Roma
Power Score
22.38
24.06
League Position
8
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Roma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
36 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
8
Wins
17
11
Draws
11
17
Losses
8
Goals
40
Goals Scored
60
60
Goals Conceded
40
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:07:43+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Ravaglia
13 F. Ravaglia
N. Zortea
20 N. Zortea
J. Lucumí Bonilla
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
T. Heggem
14 T. Heggem
J. Miranda González
33 J. Miranda González
S. Sohm
23 S. Sohm
R. Freuler
8 R. Freuler
T. Pobega
4 T. Pobega
R. Orsolini
7 R. Orsolini
S. Castro
9 S. Castro
N. Cambiaghi
28 N. Cambiaghi
M. Svilar
99 M. Svilar
M. Hermoso Canseco
22 M. Hermoso Canseco
O. N'Dicka
5 O. N'Dicka
G. Mancini
23 G. Mancini
K. Tsimikas
12 K. Tsimikas
N. El Aynaoui
8 N. El Aynaoui
B. Cristante
4 B. Cristante
M. Çelik
19 M. Çelik
S. El Shaarawy
92 S. El Shaarawy
M. Malvano
18 M. Malvano
D. Malen
14 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity
36532
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Federico Ravaglia
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper
6.82
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Attacker
6.82
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Attacker
6.96
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Centre Forward
6.89
4
Tommaso Pobega
Tommaso Pobega Central Midfield
6.71
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Right Back
6.85
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Left Back
7.12
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Central Midfield
6.8
20
Nadir Zortea
Nadir Zortea Right Back
6.66
14
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Left Back
6.69
23
Simon Sohm
Simon Sohm Central Midfield
6.69

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7.02
12
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Konstantinos Tsimikas Midfielder
6.54
18
Matías Soulé
Matías Soulé Midfielder
7.05
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Midfielder
6.81
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy Midfielder
6.78
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Centre Forward
7.08
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante Central Midfield
6.99
5
Evan Ndicka
Evan Ndicka Centre Back
6.95
8
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Central Midfield
6.65
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Left Back
6.93
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Right Back
6.97

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Roma holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Roma a 1.7-point edge. External projection is Bologna 31.2%, draw 29.4%, and Roma 39.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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