Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Burgos BUR
Versus
Deportivo La Coruña COR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Burgos host Deportivo La Coruña in La Liga 2 (Regular Season) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Domestically, Burgos sit 7th in the table while Deportivo La Coruña are 2th. Power ranking favours Burgos by 1.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Burgos holds a 1.7-point power advantage over second-placed Deportivo La Coruña.
  • Form: Home team excels in form ratings with 31.89 surpassing Deportivo's 25.89.
  • Squad: Burgos boasts superior squad power score of 32.22 against 30.53.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency statistics provided for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics absent due to low confidence and proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG variables not accessible for either squad.
  • Market: Burgos 38.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 33.3% (Δ+0.2%) | Deportivo La Coruña 28.5% (Δ-0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Albacete Rank: W
Ceuta Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Córdoba Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirandés Rank: W
Huesca Rank: D
Málaga Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: D
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Burgos
38.18%
Draw
33.31%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
28.51%

Movement

Changes since opening
Burgos
0%
Draw
+0.19%
Deportivo La Coruña
-0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.22
30.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
32.22
30.53
League Position
7
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home
3 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:08:51+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Capacity
12194
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Ander Cantero Armendáriz
Ander Cantero Armendáriz Goalkeeper
1
Jesús Ruiz Suárez
Jesús Ruiz Suárez Goalkeeper
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Defender
15
Aitor Buñuel Redrado
Aitor Buñuel Redrado Defender
8
Gregorio Sierra Pérez
Gregorio Sierra Pérez Defender
3
Oier Luengo Redondo
Oier Luengo Redondo Defender
6
Sergio González Martínez
Sergio González Martínez Defender
22
Brais Martínez Prado
Brais Martínez Prado Defender
2
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña
Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña Defender
4
Pablo Ignacio Galdames Millán
Pablo Ignacio Galdames Millán Midfielder
5
Miguel Ángel Atienza Villa
Miguel Ángel Atienza Villa Midfielder
10
Kévin Appin
Kévin Appin Midfielder
23
Iván Morante Ruiz
Iván Morante Ruiz Midfielder
14
David Gonzalez Ballesteros
David Gonzalez Ballesteros Midfielder
33
Marcelo Expósito Jiménez
Marcelo Expósito Jiménez Midfielder
28
Saúl del Cerro García
Saúl del Cerro García Midfielder
17
Mario Cantero Mariño
Mario Cantero Mariño Midfielder
30
Hugo Cuenca
Hugo Cuenca Midfielder
20
Mario González Gutiérrez
Mario González Gutiérrez Attacker
16
Francisco José Sánchez Rodríguez
Francisco José Sánchez Rodríguez Attacker
21
Iñigo Córdoba Kerejeta
Iñigo Córdoba Kerejeta Attacker
11
Víctor Mollejo Carpintero
Víctor Mollejo Carpintero Attacker
9
Fernando Niño Rodriguez
Fernando Niño Rodriguez Attacker
7
Mateo Mejia
Mateo Mejia Attacker
31
Fermin Garcia Murillo
Fermin Garcia Murillo Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Germán Parreño Boix
Germán Parreño Boix Goalkeeper
25
Álvaro Fernández Llorente
Álvaro Fernández Llorente Goalkeeper
13
Eric Puerto Huerta
Eric Puerto Huerta Goalkeeper
18
Sergio Escudero Palomo
Sergio Escudero Palomo Defender
23
Joaquín Navarro Jiménez
Joaquín Navarro Jiménez Defender
15
Miguel Loureiro Ameijeda
Miguel Loureiro Ameijeda Defender
3
Arnau Comas Freixas
Arnau Comas Freixas Defender
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Defender
2
Adrià Altimira Reynaldos
Adrià Altimira Reynaldos Defender
5
Daniel Barcia Rama
Daniel Barcia Rama Defender
4
Lucas Noubi Ngnokam
Lucas Noubi Ngnokam Defender
20
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre
José Ángel Jurado de la Torre Midfielder
16
José Gragera Amado
José Gragera Amado Midfielder
14
Ricardo Rodríguez Gil Carcedo
Ricardo Rodríguez Gil Carcedo Midfielder
8
Diego Villares Yáñez
Diego Villares Yáñez Midfielder
21
Mario Soriano Carreño
Mario Soriano Carreño Midfielder
6
Charlie Patino
Charlie Patino Midfielder
17
Cristian Ignacio Herrera Pérez
Cristian Ignacio Herrera Pérez Attacker
22
Juan Diego Molina Martínez
Juan Diego Molina Martínez Attacker
7
Samuele Mulattieri
Samuele Mulattieri Attacker
19
Luis Miguel Cruz Hernández
Luis Miguel Cruz Hernández Attacker
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Zakaria Eddahchouri Attacker
10
Y. Hernández Cubas
Y. Hernández Cubas Attacker
11
David Mella Boullón
David Mella Boullón Attacker
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker

CONCLUSION

Burgos approaches this home clash with tangible edges in power (32.22-30.53) and form (31.89-25.89), despite trailing Deportivo La Coruña in the table at 7th to 2nd. The 1.7-point superiority underscores host potential to disrupt the visitors' promotion charge. Absent detailed set pieces or efficiency insights, emphasis falls on Burgos' overall metrics and venue boost. Deportivo's standing commands caution, yet form disparities favor the hosts securing points. A balanced contest looms, where exploiting advantages could propel Burgos upward while testing Deportivo's resolve.

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