Celtic vs Falkirk Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Celtic Park Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Premiership
Celtic CEL
Versus
Falkirk Falkirk
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 34 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Celtic host Falkirk in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Celtic Park. Domestically, Celtic sit 3th in the table while Falkirk are 6th. Power ranking favours Celtic by 15.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic hold a 15.3-point power advantage with scores of 37.88 to Falkirk's 22.59.
  • Form: Celtic's form score of 29.17 outstrips Falkirk's 15.67.
  • Squad: Celtic rank 3rd in the league while Falkirk sit 6th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in provided data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent due to data add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Celtic 64.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.5% (Δ+0%) | Falkirk 15.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Falkirk J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.48
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: W
Dundee Rank: W
Dundee United Rank: L
Motherwell Rank: W
Aberdeen Rank: W
Rangers Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: L
Motherwell Rank: W
St. Mirren Rank: L
Aberdeen Rank: D
Kilmarnock Rank: W
Hearts Rank: L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celtic
64.1%
Draw
20.51%
Away Falkirk
15.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.88
22.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celtic
Falkirk
Power Score
37.88
22.59
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Falkirk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Falkirk

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home
18 matches
Falkirk Falkirk Away
Match Record
15
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
15
Goals
42
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
42
+34
Goal Difference
-34
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:08:59+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
V. Sinisalo
12 V. Sinisalo
A. Ralston
56 A. Ralston
A. Trusty
6 A. Trusty
L. Scales
5 L. Scales
K. Tierney
63 K. Tierney
B. Nygren
8 B. Nygren
A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
C. McGregor
42 C. McGregor
H. Yang
13 H. Yang
T. Čvančara
11 T. Čvančara
D. Maeda
38 D. Maeda
S. Bain
19 S. Bain
F. Lissah
28 F. Lissah
L. Henderson
5 L. Henderson
C. Donaldson
6 C. Donaldson
K. Adams
2 K. Adams
D. Tait
21 D. Tait
B. Spencer
8 B. Spencer
C. Miller
29 C. Miller
F. Yeats
14 F. Yeats
B. Broggio
11 B. Broggio
B. Stewart
16 B. Stewart

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 34 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Celtic Park
Capacity
60411
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

12
Viljami Sinisalo
Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper
6.74
11
Tomas Cvancara
Tomas Cvancara Centre Forward
6.71
13
Hyun-jun Yang
Hyun-jun Yang Attacker
7
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Attacker
6.8
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Left Back
7.1
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Right Back
6.98
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Central Midfield
6.89
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Central Midfield
7.12
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Central Midfield
7.41
56
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston Right Back
6.9
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Left Back
7.26

Starting XI ▼

19
Scott Bain
Scott Bain Goalkeeper
6.85
16
Barney Stewart
Barney Stewart Centre Forward
7.23
28
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Left Back
7.01
29
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Left Wing
6.98
21
Dylan Tait
Dylan Tait Defensive Midfield
6.77
2
Keelan Adams
Keelan Adams Right Back
6.65
5
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Left Back
6.82
6
Coll Donaldson
Coll Donaldson Right Back
6.76
8
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer Defensive Midfield
7.02
11
Benjamin Broggio
Benjamin Broggio Right Wing
14
Finn Yeats
Finn Yeats Attacking Midfield
6.63

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Celtic holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Celtic a 15.3-point edge. External projection is Celtic 64.1%, draw 20.5%, and Falkirk 15.4%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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