SC Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Abe Lenstra Stadion Sat, 25 Apr - 4:45 PM
Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen HEE
Versus
Fortuna Sittard FOR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 4:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

SC Heerenveen host Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Domestically, SC Heerenveen sit 8th in the table while Fortuna Sittard are 12th. Power ranking favours SC Heerenveen by 5.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Heerenveen enjoys a 5.3-point power advantage (26.48 vs 21.16) and higher league position (8th vs 12th).
  • Form: Heerenveen's form score of 24.78 surpasses Sittard's 16.72.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable in provided data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy metrics used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: SC Heerenveen 61.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.5% (Δ+0%) | Fortuna Sittard 16.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Heerenveen R. Veldman
R. Veldman
VS
Fortuna Sittard D. Buijs
D. Buijs
1.55
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AZ Rank: L
Heracles Almelo Rank: W
NEC Nijmegen Rank: D
Telstar Rank: W
Excelsior Rank: W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
NAC Breda Rank: D
AZ Rank: L
FC Twente Rank: L
FC Volendam Rank: W
Telstar Rank: L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Heerenveen
61.61%
Draw
21.53%
Away Fortuna Sittard
16.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.48
21.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Power Score
26.48
21.16
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Heerenveen — Opponent-weighted form score
Fortuna Sittard — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Heerenveen Fortuna Sittard

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Heerenveen HEE Home
15 matches
Fortuna Sittard FOR Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
6
Goals
24
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
24
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:09:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
B. Klaverboer
22 B. Klaverboer
O. Johansen Braude
45 O. Johansen Braude
S. Kersten
4 S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
3 M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
19 V. Zagaritis
M. Linday
16 M. Linday
J. van Overeem
6 J. van Overeem
J. Trenskow
20 J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
10 R. Meerveld
M. Rivera
7 M. Rivera
L. Nordås
18 L. Nordås
L. Koopmans
1 L. Koopmans
J. Dahlhaus
8 J. Dahlhaus
J. Hubner
28 J. Hubner
S. Adewoye
4 S. Adewoye
N. Kasanwirjo
21 N. Kasanwirjo
P. Brittijn
23 P. Brittijn
S. van Ottele
6 S. van Ottele
K. Peterson
7 K. Peterson
L. Duijvestijn
70 L. Duijvestijn
D. Limnios
18 D. Limnios
K. Sierhuis
9 K. Sierhuis

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Capacity
27224
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Bernt Klaverboer
Bernt Klaverboer Goalkeeper
6.87
18
Lasse Nordås
Lasse Nordås Centre Forward
7.08
7
Maxence Rivera
Maxence Rivera Left Wing
6.8
19
Vasilios Zagaritis
Vasilios Zagaritis Left Back
6.88
45
Oliver Braude
Oliver Braude Right Back
6.82
3
Maas Willemsen
Maas Willemsen Left Back
6.81
4
Sam Kersten
Sam Kersten Right Back
6.7
6
Joris van Overeem
Joris van Overeem Defensive Midfield
7
10
Ringo Meerveld
Ringo Meerveld Attacking Midfield
6.94
16
Marcus Linday
Marcus Linday Defensive Midfield
6.78
20
Jacob Trenskow
Jacob Trenskow Right Wing
7.21

Starting XI ▼

1
Luuk Koopmans
Luuk Koopmans Goalkeeper
6.79
9
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Centre Forward
7.05
4
Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye Right Back
6.62
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Defensive Midfield
6.58
7
Kristoffer Peterson
Kristoffer Peterson Left Wing
6.69
23
Philip Brittijn
Philip Brittijn Defensive Midfield
6.78
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
Jasper Dahlhaus Left Back
6.59
18
Dimitrios Limnios
Dimitrios Limnios Right Wing
6.85
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Neraysho Kasanwirjo Right Back
6.7
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Left Back
6.76
70
Lance Duijvestijn
Lance Duijvestijn Attacking Midfield
7.04

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward SC Heerenveen holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give SC Heerenveen a 5.3-point edge. External projection is SC Heerenveen 61.6%, draw 21.5%, and Fortuna Sittard 16.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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