Cesena vs Sampdoria Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi Sat, 25 Apr - 5:30 PM
Serie B
Cesena CES
Versus
Sampdoria SAM
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 5:30 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cesena host Sampdoria at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi in Serie B's Regular Season clash for 2025/2026. Sitting 8th in the table, Cesena welcome a 14th-placed Sampdoria side, with the visitors holding a power score edge at 24.14 against the hosts' 19.82, translating to a 4.3-point advantage. Form favours Sampdoria too, with a 21.89 rating over Cesena's 14.83, suggesting recent momentum lies away from home. Despite the table gap, Sampdoria's underlying metrics point to potential upset territory in this mid-table encounter. Both teams lack recent outing details, but the venue's intimate atmosphere could rally Cesena supporters. Set-piece data remains unavailable due to low-confidence proxies, leaving efficiency and transition play as unknowns in this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sampdoria enter as the stronger side with a 4.3-point power advantage over Cesena.
  • Form: Sampdoria boast superior recent form at 21.89 compared to Cesena's 14.83.
  • Squad: Cesena sit 8th in Serie B while Sampdoria languish in 14th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Cesena 39.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.4% (Δ+0%) | Sampdoria 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cesena A. Cole
A. Cole
VS
Sampdoria Attilio Lombardo
Attilio Lombardo
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo Rank: L
Juve Stabia Rank: L
Südtirol Rank: D
Catanzaro Rank: W
Mantova Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: L
Pescara Rank: W
Empoli Rank: W
Avellino Rank: W
Carrarese Rank: L
Venezia Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cesena
39.48%
Draw
29.39%
Away Sampdoria
31.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.82
24.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cesena
Sampdoria
Power Score
19.82
24.14
League Position
8
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cesena — Opponent-weighted form score
Sampdoria — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cesena Sampdoria

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cesena CES Home
7 matches
Sampdoria SAM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
3
Goals
11
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
11
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:09:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Klinsmann
33 J. Klinsmann
A. Ciofi
15 A. Ciofi
G. Zaro
19 G. Zaro
M. Piacentini
26 M. Piacentini
T. Corazza
27 T. Corazza
M. Castagnetti
4 M. Castagnetti
D. Bisoli
25 D. Bisoli
C. Shpendi
9 C. Shpendi
T. Berti
14 T. Berti
M. Olivieri
32 M. Olivieri
A. Cerri
7 A. Cerri
T. Martinelli
50 T. Martinelli
S. Giordano
21 S. Giordano
M. Viti
2 M. Viti
O. Abildgaard
28 O. Abildgaard
A. Di Pardo
29 A. Di Pardo
L. Henderson
16 L. Henderson
S. Esposito
94 S. Esposito
F. Conti
33 F. Conti
N. Pierini
77 N. Pierini
M. Brunori Sandri
99 M. Brunori Sandri
T. Begić
11 T. Begić

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Capacity
20194
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Jonathan Klinsmann
Jonathan Klinsmann Goalkeeper
6.66
7
Alberto Cerri
Alberto Cerri Centre Forward
7.08
27
Tommaso Corazza
Tommaso Corazza Left Back
6.76
9
Cristian Shpendi
Cristian Shpendi Right Wing
6.73
19
Giovanni Zaro
Giovanni Zaro Right Back
7.04
32
Marco Olivieri
Marco Olivieri Left Wing
6.65
4
Michele Castagnetti
Michele Castagnetti Defensive Midfield
6.9
14
Tommaso Berti
Tommaso Berti Attacking Midfield
7.04
25
Dimitri Bisoli
Dimitri Bisoli Defensive Midfield
6.83
26
Matteo Piacentini
Matteo Piacentini Left Back
6.65
15
Andrea Ciofi
Andrea Ciofi Right Back
6.79

Starting XI ▼

50
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli Goalkeeper
6.77
77
Nicholas Pierini
Nicholas Pierini Attacker
7.13
11
Tjas Begic
Tjas Begic Attacker
6.89
99
Matteo Luigi Brunori
Matteo Luigi Brunori Centre Forward
6.83
28
Oliver Abildgaard
Oliver Abildgaard Right Back
6.92
29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Alessandro Di Pardo Right Back
6.95
94
Salvatore Esposito
Salvatore Esposito Central Midfield
7.44
2
Mattia Viti
Mattia Viti Left Back
6.7
16
Liam Henderson
Liam Henderson Central Midfield
6.82
21
Simone Giordano
Simone Giordano Left Back
6.69
33
Francesco Conti
Francesco Conti Central Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

Sampdoria's power and form edges make them marginal favourites despite Cesena's higher league standing and home advantage at Dino Manuzzi. The 4.3-point gap underscores visitor quality, potentially exposing Cesena's middling metrics in a tight Serie B scrap. Lacking set-piece or efficiency insights, expect a cagey affair where Sampdoria's momentum could tip the scales. Cesena must leverage crowd support to bridge the divide and climb further up the table.

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