Cracovia Kraków vs Pogoń Szczecin Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego Sat, 25 Apr - 6:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków
Versus
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 6:15 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cracovia Kraków host Pogoń Szczecin in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego. Domestically, Cracovia Kraków sit 13th in the table while Pogoń Szczecin are 14th. Power ranking favours Pogoń Szczecin by 5.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Pogoń Szczecin enters with a 5.6-point power advantage over Cracovia Kraków.
  • Form: Visitors hold a superior form score of 14 versus hosts' 10.39.
  • Squad: Cracovia Kraków sits 13th in the league, one spot above Pogoń Szczecin at 14th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available due to missing data.
  • Transition: Transition play details unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data absent as xG unavailable for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not provided for analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Cracovia Kraków 42.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Pogoń Szczecin 30.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cracovia Kraków L. Elsner
L. Elsner
VS
Pogoń Szczecin T. Thomasberg
T. Thomasberg
0.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: L
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: L
Katowice Rank: W
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Legia Warszawa Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Legia Warszawa Rank: L
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 8 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cracovia Kraków
42.78%
Draw
26.65%
Away Pogoń Szczecin
30.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.02
23.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cracovia Kraków
Pogoń Szczecin
Power Score
18.02
23.59
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cracovia Kraków Pogoń Szczecin

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Home
33 matches
Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Away
Match Record
12
Wins
13
8
Draws
8
13
Losses
12
Goals
45
Goals Scored
48
48
Goals Conceded
45
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:09:40+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
S. Madejski
13 S. Madejski
D. Piła
79 D. Piła
O. Wójcik
66 O. Wójcik
G. Henriksson
4 G. Henriksson
B. Šutalo
21 B. Šutalo
M. Perković
39 M. Perković
A. Hasić
14 A. Hasić
M. Klich
43 M. Klich
M. Praszelik
7 M. Praszelik
P. Sans Lopez
11 P. Sans Lopez
D. Kameri
70 D. Kameri
V. Cojocaru
77 V. Cojocaru
L. Borges da Silva
4 L. Borges da Silva
A. Szalai
41 A. Szalai
D. Lončar
22 D. Lončar
D. Keramitsis
13 D. Keramitsis
Natan Lawa
47 Natan Lawa
J. Biegański
6 J. Biegański
F. Ulvestad
8 F. Ulvestad
K. Acosta
3 K. Acosta
P. Mukairu
18 P. Mukairu
K. Grosicki
11 K. Grosicki

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
15016
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
6.89
11
Pau Sans
Pau Sans Midfielder
6.74
14
Ajdin Hasic
Ajdin Hasic Midfielder
6.97
70
Dijon Kameri
Dijon Kameri Centre Forward
6.69
4
Gustav Henriksson
Gustav Henriksson Centre Back
6.75
39
Mauro Perkovic
Mauro Perkovic Left Back
6.97
79
Dominik Pila
Dominik Pila Right Back
6.72
66
Oskar Wojcik
Oskar Wojcik Right Back
7.03
21
Bosko Sutalo
Bosko Sutalo Left Back
6.7
7
Mateusz Praszelik
Mateusz Praszelik Central Midfield
6.64
43
Mateusz Klich
Mateusz Klich Central Midfield
6.95

Starting XI ▼

77
Valentin Cojocaru
Valentin Cojocaru Goalkeeper
7.15
3
Kellyn Acosta
Kellyn Acosta Midfielder
6.71
47
N. Lawa
N. Lawa Midfielder
6.52
11
Kamil Grosicki
Kamil Grosicki Attacker
7.07
18
Paul Mukairu
Paul Mukairu Attacker
6.79
4
Léo Borges
Léo Borges Left Back
6.94
8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Fredrik Ulvestad Central Midfield
7.01
6
Jan Bieganski
Jan Bieganski Central Midfield
6.65
13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
Dimitrios Keramitsis Right Back
6.88
41
Attila Szalai
Attila Szalai Left Back
6.73
22
Danijel Loncar
Danijel Loncar Right Back
6.58

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Pogoń Szczecin holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Pogoń Szczecin a 5.6-point edge. External projection is Cracovia Kraków 42.8%, draw 26.7%, and Pogoń Szczecin 30.6%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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