Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Fri, 24 Apr - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok
Versus
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 6:30 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Jagiellonia Białystok host Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa (Regular Season) at Stadion Miejski. Domestically, Jagiellonia Białystok sit 2th in the table while Górnik Zabrze are 3th. Power ranking favours Górnik Zabrze by 2.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Jagiellonia Białystok occupy second place while Górnik Zabrze sit third in the Ekstraklasa table.
  • Form: Górnik Zabrze boast superior recent form at 29.44 versus Jagiellonia Białystok's 20.22.
  • Squad: Górnik Zabrze edge squad power rating with 29.73 against Jagiellonia Białystok's 27.45.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency metrics available for either team in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to absent detailed statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG data for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent as add-on not enabled for the season.
  • Market: Projection split: Jagiellonia Białystok 41.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Górnik Zabrze 31.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: W
Korona Kielce Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: L
Katowice Rank: W
Piast Gliwice Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
Widzew Lodz Rank: D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: W
Motor Lublin Rank: D
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 7 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Jagiellonia Białystok
41.53%
Draw
26.69%
Away Górnik Zabrze
31.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.45
29.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Jagiellonia Białystok
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
27.45
29.73
League Position
2
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Jagiellonia Białystok Górnik Zabrze

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Jagiellonia Białystok Jagiellonia Białystok Home
36 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
16
Wins
13
7
Draws
7
13
Losses
16
Goals
51
Goals Scored
51
51
Goals Conceded
51
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:01:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
S. Abramowicz
50 S. Abramowicz
N. Wojtuszek
15 N. Wojtuszek
B. Cardoso Vital
13 B. Cardoso Vital
Y. Kobayashi
4 Y. Kobayashi
G. Serrão Montóia
23 G. Serrão Montóia
T. Romanczuk
6 T. Romanczuk
B. Mazurek
86 B. Mazurek
A. Pozo Pozo
7 A. Pozo Pozo
J. Imaz Ballesté
11 J. Imaz Ballesté
K. Szmyt
77 K. Szmyt
A. Pululu
10 A. Pululu
M. Łubik
1 M. Łubik
O. Zmrzlý
67 O. Zmrzlý
J. Sánchez Guillén
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
R. Janicki
26 R. Janicki
P. Olkowski
16 P. Olkowski
L. Ambros
18 L. Ambros
P. Hellebrand
8 P. Hellebrand
J. Kubicki
14 J. Kubicki
Y. Ikia Dimi
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
S. Liseth
23 S. Liseth
M. Khlan
33 M. Khlan

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
22372
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

50
Slawomir Abramowicz
Slawomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
6.94
10
Afimico Pululu
Afimico Pululu Centre Forward
7.04
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Left Back
6.65
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Right Back
6.92
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk Defensive Midfield
7.04
7
Álex Pozo
Álex Pozo Right Wing
6.82
86
Bartosz Mazurek
Bartosz Mazurek Defensive Midfield
6.82
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Attacking Midfield
7.3
13
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital Right Back
7.07
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Left Back
6.91
77
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Left Wing
6.69

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.61
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Centre Forward
6.93
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi Attacker
6.58
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
6.97
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Right Back
6.85
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Central Midfield
6.91
20
Josema
Josema Left Back
6.88
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Central Midfield
7.34
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki Central Midfield
7.06
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Right Back
7.02
67
Ondrej Zmrzly
Ondrej Zmrzly Left Back
6.59

CONCLUSION

Górnik Zabrze enter as marginal favorites driven by higher power and form scores, yet Jagiellonia Białystok's home advantage and second-place standing could level the field at Stadion Miejski. Without set-piece or efficiency insights, the battle hinges on overall execution and transition phases. Expect a closely fought encounter where Górnik's edge might prevail narrowly, but Jagiellonia's resolve keeps it competitive. Key to watch: how each exploits the opponent's recent form dip.

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