Leicester City vs Millwall Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
King Power Stadium Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Championship
Leicester City LEI
Versus
Millwall MLW
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 45 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Leicester City face a daunting task at home against third-placed Millwall in this Championship regular season fixture at King Power Stadium during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Foxes languish in 23rd position, burdened by a power score of just 17.48 and a form rating of 7.72, starkly inferior to the Lions' robust 30.53 power metric and 24.78 form score. This translates to a 13.1-point power advantage for Millwall, cementing their status as the stronger outfit. League standings underscore the gulf, with Leicester battling relegation woes while Millwall chase promotion. Recent outing details remain scarce for both, heightening intrigue. Set piece evaluations draw from low-confidence proxy data without xG availability, obscuring dead-ball threats. Home support offers Leicester faint hope amid Millwall's dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Millwall commands a 13.1-point power advantage, establishing structural superiority over Leicester City.
  • Form: Millwall's form score of 24.78 vastly outpaces Leicester's 7.72.
  • Squad: Third-placed Millwall significantly outranks 23rd-positioned Leicester in the Championship.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent, leaving play style contrasts speculative.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG data.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to disabled add-on and proxy reliance.
  • Market: Leicester City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Millwall 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
VS
Millwall A. Neil
A. Neil
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.73
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hull City Rank: D
Portsmouth Rank: L
Swansea City Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: D
Watford Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Stoke City Rank: D
Queens Park Rangers Rank: W
West Bromwich Albion Rank: D
Norwich City Rank: L
Middlesbrough Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Leicester City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Millwall
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.48
30.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Leicester City
Millwall
Power Score
17.48
30.53
League Position
23
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Millwall — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Leicester City Millwall

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Leicester City LEI Home
16 matches
Millwall MLW Away
Match Record
7
Wins
8
1
Draws
1
8
Losses
7
Goals
21
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
21
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:02:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium
King Power Stadium
Capacity
32312
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
Asmir Begović
Asmir Begović Goalkeeper
13
Francisco Barbosa Vieites
Francisco Barbosa Vieites Goalkeeper
1
Jakub Stolarczyk
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper
24
Jamaal Lascelles
Jamaal Lascelles Defender
23
Jannik Vestergaard
Jannik Vestergaard Defender
21
Ricardo Domingos Barbosa Pereira
Ricardo Domingos Barbosa Pereira Defender
15
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar Defender
33
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas Defender
5
Memeh Caleb Okoli
Memeh Caleb Okoli Defender
16
Victor Bernth Kristansen
Victor Bernth Kristansen Defender
4
Ben Nelson
Ben Nelson Defender
56
Olabade Aluko
Olabade Aluko Defender
8
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Midfielder
14
Bobby Reid
Bobby Reid Midfielder
17
Hamza Choudhury
Hamza Choudhury Midfielder
18
Joe Aribo
Joe Aribo Midfielder
22
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp Midfielder
30
Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder
6
Jordan James
Jordan James Midfielder
34
Michael Heinz Golding
Michael Heinz Golding Midfielder
29
Divine Mukasa
Divine Mukasa Midfielder
25
Louis Page
Louis Page Midfielder
9
Jordan Ayew
Jordan Ayew Attacker
10
Stephy Alvaro Mavididi
Stephy Alvaro Mavididi Attacker
20
Patson Daka
Patson Daka Attacker
27
Wanya Marcal-Madivadua
Wanya Marcal-Madivadua Attacker
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku Attacker
12
Dujuan Odile Richards
Dujuan Odile Richards Attacker
28
Jeremy Monga
Jeremy Monga Attacker

Squad ▼

43
Joel Coleman
Joel Coleman Goalkeeper
15
Maxime Teremoana Crocombe
Maxime Teremoana Crocombe Goalkeeper
13
Anthony Patterson
Anthony Patterson Goalkeeper
1
Lukas Jensen
Lukas Jensen Goalkeeper
41
George Evans
George Evans Goalkeeper
23
Joe Bryan
Joe Bryan Defender
18
Ryan Leonard
Ryan Leonard Defender
5
Jake Cooper
Jake Cooper Defender
2
Dan McNamara
Dan McNamara Defender
6
Caleb Taylor
Caleb Taylor Defender
4
Tristan Crama
Tristan Crama Defender
3
Zak Norton Sturge
Zak Norton Sturge Defender
67
Barry Bannan
Barry Bannan Midfielder
21
Massimo Corey Luongo
Massimo Corey Luongo Midfielder
24
Casper De Norre
Casper De Norre Midfielder
39
William Smallbone
William Smallbone Midfielder
14
Alfie Doughty
Alfie Doughty Midfielder
25
Luke Cundle
Luke Cundle Midfielder
11
Femi Azeez
Femi Azeez Midfielder
8
Billy Mitchell
Billy Mitchell Midfielder
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
Derek Mazou-Sacko Midfielder
16
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly Midfielder
17
Macaulay Langstaff
Macaulay Langstaff Attacker
7
Thierno Mamadou Lamarana Ballo
Thierno Mamadou Lamarana Ballo Attacker
19
Josh Coburn
Josh Coburn Attacker
26
Benicio Baker-Boatiey
Benicio Baker-Boatiey Attacker
10
Camiel Neghli
Camiel Neghli Attacker
22
Tom Watson
Tom Watson Attacker
29
Zakariya Lovelace
Zakariya Lovelace Attacker
9
Mihailo Ivanović
Mihailo Ivanović Attacker
31
Raees Bangura-Williams
Raees Bangura-Williams Attacker

CONCLUSION

Millwall arrives at King Power Stadium as overwhelming favorites, wielding a 13.1 power edge, superior 24.78 form against Leicester's 7.72, and a commanding third-place standing over the hosts' 23rd spot. This disparity signals potential Lions control, exploiting Foxes' vulnerabilities despite home backing. Lacking granular efficiency, transition, or set piece insights from proxy-limited data, core metrics paint a clear picture of Millwall's ascent versus Leicester's strife. Expect the visitors to dictate tempo, convert advantages into points, and solidify promotion credentials while Leicester grapples deeper into relegation peril.

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