Avellino vs Bari 1908 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Serie B
Avellino AVE
Versus
Bari 1908 BAR
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Avellino hosts Bari 1908 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in a Serie B regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side enters with clear superiority, holding a power score of 24.04 to Bari's 17.67, yielding a 6.4-point advantage that marks Avellino as the stronger team overall. Form metrics reinforce this, with Avellino at 21.33 against Bari's modest 13.5. League standings tell a similar story: Avellino in 10th place, Bari down in 17th. Absent recent outing details or detailed form records, attention turns to broader capabilities. Set piece analysis reveals low-confidence proxies without xG data, limiting insights into dead-ball threats. Avellino's home leverage could prove decisive in this mid-table versus bottom-half encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Avellino possesses a 6.4-point power advantage over Bari 1908, confirming them as the structurally stronger side.
  • Form: Avellino's form score stands at 21.33, superior to Bari 1908's 13.5.
  • Squad: Avellino occupies 10th in Serie B, while Bari 1908 sits in 17th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG availability for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market: Baseline split: Avellino 49.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.6% (Δ+0%) | Bari 1908 23.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Avellino D. Ballardini
D. Ballardini
VS
Bari 1908 M. Longo
M. Longo
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mantova Rank: W
Catanzaro Rank: D
Palermo Rank: L
Sampdoria Rank: L
Südtirol Rank: W
Virtus Entella Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Venezia Rank: L
Monza Rank: L
Modena Rank: W
Carrarese Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: L
Reggiana Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Avellino
49.07%
Draw
27.62%
Away Bari 1908
23.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.04
17.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Avellino
Bari 1908
Power Score
24.04
17.67
League Position
10
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Avellino — Opponent-weighted form score
Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Avellino Bari 1908

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Avellino AVE Home
19 matches
Bari 1908 BAR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
10
4
Draws
4
10
Losses
5
Goals
20
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
20
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:02:28+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Iannarilli
1 A. Iannarilli
T. Cancellotti
29 T. Cancellotti
L. Šimić
44 L. Šimić
A. Izzo
4 A. Izzo
A. Fontanarosa
63 A. Fontanarosa
L. Palmiero
6 L. Palmiero
M. Palumbo
20 M. Palumbo
D. Sounas
24 D. Sounas
T. Biasci
14 T. Biasci
C. Patierno
9 C. Patierno
R. Russo
10 R. Russo
M. Cerofolini
31 M. Cerofolini
V. Mantovani
13 V. Mantovani
C. Odenthal
26 C. Odenthal
A. Cistana
51 A. Cistana
K. Piscopo
28 K. Piscopo
M. Braunöder
27 M. Braunöder
G. Maggiore
18 G. Maggiore
D. Traoré
66 D. Traoré
B. Manè
30 B. Manè
E. Rao
17 E. Rao
G. Moncini
11 G. Moncini

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Capacity
26542
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Antony Iannarilli
Antony Iannarilli Goalkeeper
6.75
10
Raffaele Russo
Raffaele Russo Attacker
6.8
9
Cosimo Patierno
Cosimo Patierno Attacker
6.61
14
Tommaso Biasci
Tommaso Biasci Attacking Midfield
6.94
24
Dimitrios Sounas
Dimitrios Sounas Central Midfield
6.96
63
Alessandro Fontanarosa
Alessandro Fontanarosa Left Back
6.75
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
Tommaso Cancellotti Right Back
6.68
4
Armando Izzo
Armando Izzo Left Back
7.17
6
Luca Palmiero
Luca Palmiero Central Midfield
6.81
20
Martin Palumbo
Martin Palumbo Central Midfield
6.84
44
Lorenco Simic
Lorenco Simic Right Back
6.98

Starting XI ▼

31
Michele Cerofolini
Michele Cerofolini Goalkeeper
7.05
28
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Midfielder
6.8
30
Moussa Mané
Moussa Mané Midfielder
6.59
17
Emanuele Rao
Emanuele Rao Attacker
6.83
11
Gabriele Moncini
Gabriele Moncini Attacker
6.75
18
Giulio Maggiore
Giulio Maggiore Central Midfield
6.8
27
Matthias Braunöder
Matthias Braunöder Central Midfield
6.77
13
Valerio Mantovani
Valerio Mantovani Left Back
6.57
26
Cas Odenthal
Cas Odenthal Centre Back
6.81
51
Andrea Cistana
Andrea Cistana Right Back
6.5
66
Daouda Traore
Daouda Traore Central Midfield
6.49

CONCLUSION

Avellino's power, form, and positional edges make them firm favorites at home against struggling Bari 1908. The 6.4-point structural lead and better recent showings suggest the hosts will dictate play in this Serie B clash. Bari faces an uphill battle from 17th, needing to disrupt Avellino's rhythm without standout set-piece edges due to data gaps. Expect a controlled performance from the 10th-placed side, capitalizing on venue familiarity for a likely victory. This matchup underscores Avellino's mid-table solidity versus Bari's relegation skirmish.

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