Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Adelaarshorst Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles GAE
Versus
AZ AZ
KICKOFF : Thu, 23 Apr - 4:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Go Ahead Eagles face AZ in an Eredivisie match at De Adelaarshorst during the 2025/2026 Regular Season. The home team, placed 11th in the league, brings a form score of 55.56 into the game, highlighted by a recent draw against FC Groningen on the road. Their overall record from the last six matches stands at three wins, one draw, and two defeats. In contrast, sixth-placed AZ enter with a stronger power score of 33.7 against the hosts' 21.67, creating a 12-point power advantage. The away side, with a form score of 50, secured a win in their previous home outing versus SC Heerenveen and hold a form record of three wins and three losses. This fixture highlights a battle between a solid mid-table outfit and a more ambitious visiting squad. Factors such as home support for Go Ahead Eagles and AZ's quality on the ball will likely influence the flow. Both teams have shown flashes of quality recently, setting the stage for a tactical encounter where execution in key moments could decide the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AZ lead with a power score of 33.7 versus 21.67, holding a 12-point advantage as the stronger team.
  • Form: Go Ahead Eagles: W3 D1 L2. AZ: W3 L3. Hosts drew last away, visitors won at home.
  • Squad: No detailed squad information available; reliance on overall team power ratings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data not available for this matchup.
  • Transition: AZ expected to excel in transitional phases given their superior power metrics.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence in set piece metrics; both sides using proxy data with no xG available.
  • xVariable: Power advantage and league position favor AZ in this regular season meeting.
  • Market: Go Ahead Eagles 31% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | AZ 44.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Go Ahead Eagles M. Boel
M. Boel
VS
AZ L. Echteld
L. Echteld
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Groningen Rank: D
PEC Zwolle Rank: W
FC Utrecht Rank: L
NAC Breda Rank: W
FC Twente Rank: L
Excelsior Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: W
FC Groningen Rank: L
Heracles Almelo Rank: W
PSV Rank: L
FC Utrecht Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Go Ahead Eagles
30.97%
Draw
24.78%
Away AZ
44.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.67
33.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ
Power Score
21.67
33.7
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Go Ahead Eagles — Opponent-weighted form score
AZ — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Go Ahead Eagles AZ

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Go Ahead Eagles GAE Home
15 matches
AZ AZ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
11
3
Draws
3
11
Losses
1
Goals
12
Goals Scored
43
43
Goals Conceded
12
-31
Goal Difference
+31
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:15:04+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 23, 2026, 04:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
De Adelaarshorst
Capacity
10400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Jari De Busser
Jari De Busser Goalkeeper
30
Sven Jansen
Sven Jansen Goalkeeper
1
Luca Plogmann
Luca Plogmann Goalkeeper
33
Nando Verdoni
Nando Verdoni Goalkeeper
4
Joris Kramer
Joris Kramer Defender
3
Gerrit Nauber
Gerrit Nauber Defender
2
Alfons Sampsted
Alfons Sampsted Defender
5
Dean Ruben James
Dean Ruben James Defender
26
Julius Dirksen
Julius Dirksen Defender
25
Giovanni van Zwam
Giovanni van Zwam Defender
28
Pim Saathof
Pim Saathof Defender
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
20
Eus Waayers
Eus Waayers Defender
21
Melle Meulensteen
Melle Meulensteen Midfielder
24
Kenzo Goudmijn
Kenzo Goudmijn Midfielder
8
Evert Linthorst
Evert Linthorst Midfielder
10
Søren Tengstedt
Søren Tengstedt Midfielder
7
Jakob Breum
Jakob Breum Midfielder
15
Robbin Weijenberg
Robbin Weijenberg Midfielder
34
Yassir Rahmouni
Yassir Rahmouni Midfielder
27
Finn Stokkers
Finn Stokkers Attacker
16
Victor Edvardsen
Victor Edvardsen Attacker
18
Richonell Margaret
Richonell Margaret Attacker
9
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefan Ingi Sigurdarson Attacker
17
Mathis Suray
Mathis Suray Attacker
23
Thibo Baeten
Thibo Baeten Attacker
11
Oskar Siira Sivertsen
Oskar Siira Sivertsen Attacker
19
Jaden Fernando Slory
Jaden Fernando Slory Attacker
32
Ofosu Boakye
Ofosu Boakye Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Hobie Verhulst
Hobie Verhulst Goalkeeper
41
Jeroen Zoet
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper
31
Daniel Deen
Daniel Deen Goalkeeper
1
Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro
Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro Goalkeeper
34
Mees De Wit
Mees De Wit Defender
5
Alexandre Manuel Penetra Correia
Alexandre Manuel Penetra Correia Defender
30
Denso Kasius
Denso Kasius Defender
2
Seiya Maikuma
Seiya Maikuma Defender
4
Maxim Dekker
Maxim Dekker Defender
3
Wouter Goes
Wouter Goes Defender
23
Billy van Duijl
Billy van Duijl Defender
22
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra Defender
15
Mateo Chávez García
Mateo Chávez García Defender
18
Rion Ichihara
Rion Ichihara Defender
8
Jordy Clasie
Jordy Clasie Midfielder
6
Peer Koopmeiners
Peer Koopmeiners Midfielder
10
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Midfielder
26
Kees Smit
Kees Smit Midfielder
33
Matěj Šín
Matěj Šín Midfielder
20
Kasper Boogaard
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder
11
Ibrahim Sadiq
Ibrahim Sadiq Attacker
19
Jizz Hornkamp
Jizz Hornkamp Attacker
9
Troy Parrott
Troy Parrott Attacker
17
Isak Jensen
Isak Jensen Attacker
7
Weslley Pinto Batista
Weslley Pinto Batista Attacker
27
Ro-Zangelo Daal
Ro-Zangelo Daal Attacker
35
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink Attacker
75
Wassim Bouziane
Wassim Bouziane Attacker
24
Ayoub Oufkir
Ayoub Oufkir Attacker

CONCLUSION

AZ appear better equipped for this away fixture thanks to their higher league standing and power rating, suggesting they should dictate the tempo. Go Ahead Eagles, however, can be dangerous at home and will look to exploit any vulnerabilities in transition or set plays. With both sides coming off decent recent results, the match promises intensity and competitive spirit. The projection leans toward the visitors, yet the home advantage cannot be overlooked in the Eredivisie. Success may hinge on squad depth and efficiency in front of goal, areas where data remains somewhat limited. Ultimately, AZ hold the edge but must remain vigilant against a Go Ahead Eagles side eager to climb the table with a strong performance.

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